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Home › Football › State Cup › Beitar Nahariya v Hapoel Afula

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Beitar Nahariya v Hapoel Afula

Beitar Nahariya
15:00Upcoming
Hapoel Afula

State Cup · MON 26 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Beitar NahariyaDrawHapoel Afula
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Hapoel Afula 38%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Hapoel Afula just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Beitar Nahariya 35%, draw 27%, Hapoel Afula 38%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Beitar Nahariya v Hapoel AfulaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Beitar Nahariya win35%
Draw27%
Hapoel Afula win38%

Kick-offMON 26 OCT · 15:00

RoundRound of 64

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Beitar Nahariya

Hapoel Afula

3Days since last match3

Last match: 23 Oct · Liga Alef

Last match: 23 Oct · Liga Leumit

3Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hapoel afula winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off
38% The market–
Us38%

We make Hapoel Afula a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Beitar Nahariya v Hapoel Afula1.29 – 1.36

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Beitar Nahariya win35%––
Draw27%––
Hapoel Afula win38%––
Over 2.5 goals49%––
Both teams to score54%––
Over 1.5 goals75%––
Over 3.5 goals28%––
Beitar Nahariya or draw62%––
Beitar Nahariya clean sheet26%––
Hapoel Afula clean sheet27%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.8%
0123450 7.5 9.2 6.5 2.9 1 8.7 12.8 8.4 3.8 2 5.9 8.0 5.4 2.5 3 2.6 3.5 2.3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Beitar Nahariya down, Hapoel Afula across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · State Cup this season · since 12 Oct

BEITAR NAHARIYA

W1–0

HAPOEL AFULA

No matches in our record yet.