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Maccabi Tel Aviv v Hapoel Haifa

Maccabi Tel Aviv
6–2Full time
Hapoel Haifa

Ligat Ha'al · SAT 24 OCT · Bloomfield Stadium

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 20:17
Maccabi Tel Aviv 6–2 Hapoel Haifa MACCABI TEL AVIV WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Maccabi Tel Aviv win66%
The market said74%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.174
The market’s Brier score0.103

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay23 notes · 35 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Maccabi Tel Aviv win at 66%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Maccabi Tel Aviv was 66% before kick-off and our model makes it 66% now. 0–0 · 66–20–14
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Maccabi Tel Aviv v Hapoel Haifa
  4. 15′Maccabi Tel Aviv find the net on 15′. 0–0 · 63–23–15
  5. 16′We published Maccabi Tel Aviv at 66%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–0 · 85–10–5
  6. 16′⚽ GOAL · 15' Maccabi Tel Aviv 1–0 Hapoel Haifa
  7. 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 16' Maccabi Tel Aviv win: 66% at kick-off, 85% now
  8. 22′🟨 YELLOW · 19' Ivan Kričak · Hapoel Haifa
  9. 24′⚽ GOAL · 24' Maccabi Tel Aviv 1–1 Hapoel Haifa
  10. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' Maccabi Tel Aviv win: 66% at kick-off, 60% now
  11. 25′Alon Turgeman scores for Hapoel Haifa on 24′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 60–25–15
  12. 26′GOAL DISALLOWED · 26' Hapoel Haifa
  13. 26′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 26' Maccabi Tel Aviv win: 66% at kick-off, 85% now
  14. 38′7 shots for Maccabi Tel Aviv, 2 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 55–29–15
  15. 38′GOAL DISALLOWED · 24' Alon Turgeman · Hapoel Haifa
  16. 38′⚽ GOAL · 38' Maccabi Tel Aviv 1–1 Hapoel Haifa
  17. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Maccabi Tel Aviv win: 66% at kick-off, 55% now
  18. 39′Arial Mendy scores for Hapoel Haifa on 38′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 55–30–15
  19. 40′We said Maccabi Tel Aviv at 66%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 54%. 1–1 · 54–30–15
  20. 42′🟨 YELLOW · 41' Sagiv Yehezkel · Maccabi Tel Aviv
  21. 45′HALF-TIME Maccabi Tel Aviv 1–1 Hapoel Haifa
  22. 45′SECOND HALF Maccabi Tel Aviv 1–1 Hapoel Haifa
  23. 48′9 shots for Maccabi Tel Aviv, 4 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 52–33–15
  24. 49′🟨 YELLOW · 47' Mohamed Ali Camara · Maccabi Tel Aviv
  25. 50′We said Maccabi Tel Aviv at 66%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 49%. 1–1 · 49–36–15
  26. 52′Maccabi Tel Aviv have had 12 attempts to 6 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 48–37–15
  27. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Maccabi Tel Aviv win: 66% at kick-off, 46% now
  28. 55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Maccabi Tel Aviv 2–1 Hapoel Haifa
  29. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Maccabi Tel Aviv win: 66% at kick-off, 85% now
  30. 57′55′: Mohamed Ali Camara on the scoresheet for Maccabi Tel Aviv, making it 2–1. 2–1 · 85–12–2
  31. 57′We published Maccabi Tel Aviv at 66%. Our model now makes it 98%. 3–1 · 98–2–0
  32. 57′⚽ GOAL · 57' Maccabi Tel Aviv 3–1 Hapoel Haifa
  33. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 57' Maccabi Tel Aviv win: 66% at kick-off, 98% now
  34. 59′4 goals already, more than the 3.2 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 98–2–0
  35. 59′Maccabi Tel Aviv ahead on 58′ through Dor Peretz. 3–1. 3–1 · 98–2–0
  36. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Hapoel Haifa · On: Wahib·Habiballa · Off: Shai Elias
  37. 62′We published Maccabi Tel Aviv at 66%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 4–1 · 100–0–0
  38. 62′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.2 across ninety minutes. 4–1 · 100–0–0
  39. 62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Maccabi Tel Aviv 4–1 Hapoel Haifa
  40. 63′Sagiv Yehezkel scores for Maccabi Tel Aviv on 62′ — 4–1. 4–1 · 100–0–0
  41. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Maccabi Tel Aviv · On: Dan Glazer · Off: Gabi Kanikovski
  42. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Maccabi Tel Aviv · On: Osher Davida · Off: Sagiv Yehezkel
  43. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Maccabi Tel Aviv · On: Ido Shahar · Off: Issouf Bemba Sissokho
  44. 72′6 goals already, more than the 3.2 we expected for the whole match. 4–2 · 99–1–0
  45. 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Maccabi Tel Aviv 4–2 Hapoel Haifa
  46. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Maccabi Tel Aviv · On: Ester Sokler · Off: Elad Madmon
  47. 75′72′: Alon Turgeman on the scoresheet for Hapoel Haifa, making it 4–2. 4–2 · 99–1–0
  48. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Maccabi Tel Aviv · On: Itamar Noy · Off: Dor Peretz
  49. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Hapoel Haifa · On: C Diakité · Off: Noam Cohen
  50. 80′🟨 YELLOW · 79' Liran Rotman · Hapoel Haifa
  51. 82′That is 7, and we only asked for 3.2 across ninety minutes. 5–2 · 100–0–0
  52. 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Maccabi Tel Aviv 5–2 Hapoel Haifa
  53. 83′Maccabi Tel Aviv ahead on 82′ through Mohamed Ali Camara. 5–2. 5–2 · 100–0–0
  54. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Hapoel Haifa · On: Israel Sali Pahima · Off: Alon Turgeman
  55. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Hapoel Haifa · On: Itai Zafrani · Off: naor sabag
  56. 88′8 goals already, more than the 3.2 we expected for the whole match. 6–2 · 100–0–0
  57. 88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Maccabi Tel Aviv 6–2 Hapoel Haifa
  58. 89′Itamar Noy scores for Maccabi Tel Aviv on 88′ — 6–2. 6–2 · 100–0–0
  59. FTFULL TIME Maccabi Tel Aviv 6–2 Hapoel Haifa
  60. FTMaccabi Tel Aviv 6–2 Hapoel Haifa · Maccabi Tel Aviv win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Maccabi Tel Aviv are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Maccabi Tel Aviv 66%, draw 20%, Hapoel Haifa 14%. Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Maccabi Tel Aviv v Hapoel HaifaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Maccabi Tel Aviv win66%
Draw20%
Hapoel Haifa win14%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 17:30

RoundMatchday 8

VenueBloomfield Stadium

Line-ups

Maccabi Tel Aviv

4-1-4-1

Hapoel Haifa

4-2-3-1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Hapoel Haifa

5Days since last match7

Last match: 19 Oct · Ligat Ha'al

Last match: 17 Oct · Ligat Ha'al

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
2Maccabi Tel Aviv7+1217
7Hapoel Haifa709

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Maccabi Tel Aviv

4-1-4-1

1 O. Melika

2 J. Tavernier

5 M. Camara

13 R. Shlomo

22 N. Ben Harush

28 I. Sissokho

11 S. Yehezkel

42 Dor Peretz

16 G. Kanichowsky

29 Hélio Varela

19 E. Madmon

Coach · Kenny Miller

Substitutes

90 · R. Mishpati

41 · I. Ben Hamo

77 · O. Davida

30 · I. Noy

33 · H. Layous

36 · I. Shahar

18 · D. Glazer

45 · N. Levi

9 · E. Sokler

Hapoel Haifa

4-2-3-1

1 Y. Gerafi

2 N. Cohen

25 G. Diba

5 I. Kričak

13 D. Župarić

55 N. Sabag

77 A. Mendy

15 Y. Gonen

10 S. Elias

7 L. Rotman

17 A. Turgeman

Coach · H. Silbas

Substitutes

21 · Cheickna diakite

12 · A. Ayias

14 · W. Habiballa

4 · D. Malul

23 · M. Ambar

3 · T. Arbel

42 · T. Naim

11 · I. S. Fahima

18 · Itay Zafrani

Our number · maccabi tel aviv winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 23 Oct 04:19 · locked at kick-off
66% The market74%
Us66%
Market74%

We make Maccabi Tel Aviv a 66% chance to win. The market has them at 74%. We are 8 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.3–0.9.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Maccabi Tel Aviv v Hapoel Haifa2.27 – 0.95
Form · last six in Ligat Ha'al this season · since 31 AugW4 D2 L0 · W2 D2 L2
Table places · points 17 v 92 v 7
The market · Maccabi Tel Aviv win74% · ours 66%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
65%70%75%80% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 16:58
Our probability · Maccabi Tel Aviv win The market, margin stripped

Published at 67%, 66% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 74% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Maccabi Tel Aviv win66%74%−8
Draw20%16%+4
Hapoel Haifa win14%10%+4
Over 2.5 goals62%70%−8
Both teams to score55%56%−1
Over 1.5 goals83%86%−3
Over 3.5 goals40%49%−9
Maccabi Tel Aviv or draw86%90%−4
Maccabi Tel Aviv clean sheet39%––
Hapoel Haifa clean sheet11%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 10.2%
0123450 4.8 3.2 1 8.5 9.3 4.1 2 10.2 9.6 4.6 3 7.7 7.2 3.4 4 4.4 4.1 5 2.1
under 2% 5% 12%+Maccabi Tel Aviv down, Hapoel Haifa across0–5 goals a side shown (96.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting3.50
Over 2.58 of 10
Both scored5 of 10
Last meetingsHAP 1–4 MAC · MAC 5–0 HAP · MAC 2–1 HAP · HAP 1–3 MAC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Ligat Ha'al this season · since 31 Aug

MACCABI TEL AVIV

WWWWDD3–1 · 4–1 · 4–1 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 0–0

HAPOEL HAIFA

DDWLWL2–2 · 1–1 · 3–1 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 0–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Maccabi Haifa7+918
2Maccabi Tel Aviv7+1217
3Hapoel Tel Aviv7+1016
4Hapoel Beer Sheva7+416
5Beitar Jerusalem7+213
6Maccabi Netanya7+19
7Hapoel Haifa709
8Bnei Sakhnin7−18
9Hapoel Katamon7−47
10Maccabi Petah Tikva7−56
11Hapoel Ramat Gan7−76
12Hapoel Petah Tikva7−84
13Ironi Kiryat Shmona7−93
14Ironi Tiberias7−41

The competition's standings before kick-off.