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Maccabi Tel Aviv v Bnei Sakhnin

Maccabi Tel Aviv

0–0Full time

Bnei Sakhnin

Ligat Ha'al · SAT 10 OCT · Bloomfield Stadium

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 20:02

Maccabi Tel Aviv 0–0 Bnei Sakhnin MACCABI TEL AVIV WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Maccabi Tel Aviv win~~73%

~~The market said~~82%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.217

~~The market’s Brier score~~1.434

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 31 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Maccabi Tel Aviv win at 73%.
0′KICK-OFF Maccabi Tel Aviv v Bnei Sakhnin
1′Much as we predicted: Maccabi Tel Aviv was 73% before kick-off and our model makes it 74% now. 0–0 · 74–17–10
2′Much as we predicted: Maccabi Tel Aviv was 73% before kick-off and our model makes it 73% now. 0–0 · 73–17–10
26′🟨 YELLOW · 26' Ahmad Taha · Bnei Sakhnin
26′🟨 YELLOW · 26' maroun gantus · Bnei Sakhnin
27′🟨 YELLOW · 27' Saná Gomes · Bnei Sakhnin
43′We said Maccabi Tel Aviv at 73%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 58%. 0–0 · 58–31–11
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Maccabi Tel Aviv win: 73% at kick-off, 58% now
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Maccabi Tel Aviv win: 73% at kick-off, 66% now
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Maccabi Tel Aviv win: 73% at kick-off, 58% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Maccabi Tel Aviv win: 73% at kick-off, 66% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Maccabi Tel Aviv win: 73% at kick-off, 58% now
45′SECOND HALF Maccabi Tel Aviv 0–0 Bnei Sakhnin
46′We said Maccabi Tel Aviv at 73%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 57%. 0–0 · 57–32–11
46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' Maccabi Tel Aviv win: 73% at kick-off, 58% now
46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' Maccabi Tel Aviv win: 73% at kick-off, 66% now
48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Maccabi Tel Aviv win: 73% at kick-off, 58% now
49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Maccabi Tel Aviv win: 73% at kick-off, 58% now
50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Maccabi Tel Aviv win: 73% at kick-off, 58% now
51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Maccabi Tel Aviv win: 73% at kick-off, 58% now
52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Maccabi Tel Aviv win: 73% at kick-off, 58% now
53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Maccabi Tel Aviv win: 73% at kick-off, 58% now
54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Maccabi Tel Aviv win: 73% at kick-off, 58% now
54′SUBSTITUTION · 55' Bnei Sakhnin · On: Daniel Paraschiv · Off: itamar shviro Corrected
55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Maccabi Tel Aviv win: 73% at kick-off, 58% now
63′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Maccabi Tel Aviv · On: Hisham Layous · Off: Osher Davida Corrected
68′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Bnei Sakhnin · On: Ilay Hajaj · Off: Ahmed Ibrahim Salman Corrected
73′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Maccabi Tel Aviv · On: Elad Madmon · Off: Ester Sokler Corrected
73′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Maccabi Tel Aviv · On: Hélio Varela · Off: Sagiv Yehezkel Corrected
79′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Bnei Sakhnin · On: Jubayer Bushnak · Off: Modestas Vorobjovas Corrected
80′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Bnei Sakhnin · On: Loai Halaf · Off: Mathew Anim Cudjoe Corrected
84′🟨 YELLOW · 85' Raz Shlomo · Maccabi Tel Aviv
89′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Ilay Hajaj · Bnei Sakhnin
89′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Hélio Varela · Maccabi Tel Aviv
FTFULL TIME Maccabi Tel Aviv 0–0 Bnei Sakhnin
FTMaccabi Tel Aviv 0–0 Bnei Sakhnin · Maccabi Tel Aviv win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Maccabi Tel Aviv win73%

Draw18%

Bnei Sakhnin win9%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 17:30

Venue · Bloomfield Stadium

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Maccabi Tel Aviv

4-1-4-1

1 O. Melika

2 J. Tavernier

5 M. Camara

13 R. Shlomo

22 N. Ben Harush

28 I. Sissokho

77 O. Davida

42 D. Peretz

16 G. Kanichowsky

11 S. Jehezkel

9 E. Sokler

Coach · Kenny Miller

Substitutes

90 · R. Mishpati

6 · T. Asante

41 · I. Ben Hamo

18 · D. Glazer

30 · I. Noy

36 · I. Shahar

33 · H. Layous

29 · H. Varela

19 · E. Madmon

Bnei Sakhnin

5-4-1

1 R. Balbarau

13 L. Owusu

2 M. Gantus

5 I. Abu Abaid

4 O. Dahan

92 Sana

10 M. Cudjoe

6 A. Taha

8 M. Vorobjovas

29 A. Salman

7 I. Shviro

Coach · Yossi Abukasis

Substitutes

22 · M. Abu Nil

20 · M. Ganame

28 · I. Hajaj

21 · M. Abu Riya

9 · D. Paraschiv

11 · J. Bushnaq

16 · L. Halaf

24 · B. Khuri

77 · A. Sefer

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Maccabi Tel Aviv

4-1-4-1

1 O. Melika

2 J. Tavernier

5 M. Camara

13 R. Shlomo

22 N. Ben Harush

28 I. Sissokho

77 O. Davida

42 D. Peretz

16 G. Kanichowsky

11 S. Jehezkel

9 E. Sokler

Coach · Kenny Miller

Substitutes

90 · R. Mishpati

6 · T. Asante

41 · I. Ben Hamo

18 · D. Glazer

30 · I. Noy

36 · I. Shahar

33 · H. Layous

29 · H. Varela

19 · E. Madmon

Bnei Sakhnin

5-4-1

1 R. Balbarau

13 L. Owusu

2 M. Gantus

5 I. Abu Abaid

4 O. Dahan

92 Sana

10 M. Cudjoe

6 A. Taha

8 M. Vorobjovas

29 A. Salman

7 I. Shviro

Coach · Yossi Abukasis

Substitutes

22 · M. Abu Nil

20 · M. Ganame

28 · I. Hajaj

21 · M. Abu Riya

9 · D. Paraschiv

11 · J. Bushnaq

16 · L. Halaf

24 · B. Khuri

77 · A. Sefer

Our number · maccabi tel aviv winPublished 10 Oct 17:54

73% The market82%

Us73%

~~Market~~82%

We make Maccabi Tel Aviv a 73% chance to win. The market has them at 82%. We are 9 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.4–0.7.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Maccabi Tel Aviv win	73%	82%	−9
Draw	18%	13%	+5
Bnei Sakhnin win	9%	5%	+4
Over 2.5 goals	59%	64%	−6
Both teams to score	46%	40%	+6
Over 1.5 goals	81%	83%	−2
Over 3.5 goals	37%	44%	−8
Maccabi Tel Aviv or draw	91%	95%	−4
Maccabi Tel Aviv clean sheet	49%	–	–
Bnei Sakhnin clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 12.7%

0123450 5.4 2.9 1 10.5 8.4 2.8 2 12.7 9.0 3.3 3 9.9 7.0 2.5 4 5.9 4.1 5 2.9

under 2% 5% 12%+Maccabi Tel Aviv down, Bnei Sakhnin across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number7 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,234 Ligat Ha'al matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Ligat Ha'al matches have gone over 2.5 in 68.6% of games this season, across 35 played.

Head to head

14 previous meetings, 2.14 goals a meeting; 4 of 14 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Maccabi Tel Aviv at home: 2.67 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Bnei Sakhnin away: 0.17 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.35 goals for Maccabi Tel Aviv, 0.72 for Bnei Sakhnin. Most likely score 2–0.

Line-ups

Confirmed 10 Oct 17:32. The model does not read them yet, so they did not move this number.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

14 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~2.14

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 14

~~Both scored~~7 of 14

~~Last meetings~~MAC 1–0 BNE · BNE 0–0 MAC · MAC 3–1 BNE · BNE 0–4 MAC

Form · last six in Ligat Ha'al

MACCABI TEL AVIV

DWWWWW2–2 · 5–2 · 3–1 · 4–1 · 4–1 · 2–1

BNEI SAKHNIN

LDLLLW0–3 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 1–3 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Maccabi Tel Aviv	5	+12	15
2	Maccabi Haifa	5	+5	12
3	Hapoel Tel Aviv	5	+7	10
4	Hapoel Beer Sheva	5	+1	10
5	Beitar Jerusalem	5	−2	9
6	Hapoel Katamon	5	0	7
7	Ironi Tiberias	5	−1	7
8	Hapoel Haifa	5	+1	6
9	Maccabi Petah Tikva	5	−3	6
10	Maccabi Netanya	5	0	5
11	Bnei Sakhnin	5	−3	4
12	Hapoel Ramat Gan	5	−5	3
13	Ironi Kiryat Shmona	5	−6	3
14	Hapoel Petah Tikva	5	−6	3