Maccabi Netanya v Hapoel Katamon prediction · Ligat Ha'al

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Maccabi NetanyaDrawHapoel Katamon

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Maccabi Netanya 45%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Maccabi Netanya are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Maccabi Netanya 45%, draw 26%, Hapoel Katamon 29%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Maccabi Netanya v Hapoel KatamonBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Maccabi Netanya win45%

Draw26%

Hapoel Katamon win29%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 18:00

RoundMatchday 9

VenueNetanya Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Maccabi Netanya

Hapoel Katamon

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · Ligat Ha'al

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Maccabi Netanya	8	+1	10
10	Hapoel Katamon	8	−7	7

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · maccabi netanya winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Maccabi Netanya a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Maccabi Netanya v Hapoel Katamon~~1.60 – 1.24

~~Form · last six in Ligat Ha'al this season · since 5 Sept~~W1 D3 L2 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 10 v 7~~7 v 10

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Maccabi Netanya win	45%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Hapoel Katamon win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	54%	–	–
Both teams to score	57%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	78%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	32%	–	–
Maccabi Netanya or draw	71%	–	–
Maccabi Netanya clean sheet	29%	–	–
Hapoel Katamon clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.3%

0123450 6.9 6.4 4.5 1 8.5 12.3 7.1 3.0 2 7.4 9.1 5.6 2.4 3 4.0 4.9 3.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Maccabi Netanya down, Hapoel Katamon across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,253 Ligat Ha'al matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ligat Ha'al matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.1% of games this season, across 54 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.80 goals a meeting; 6 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Maccabi Netanya at home: 0.83 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Hapoel Katamon away: 1.33 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.60 goals for Maccabi Netanya, 1.24 for Hapoel Katamon. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.80

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 10

~~Both scored~~7 of 10

~~Last meetings~~MAC 3–1 HAP · MAC 1–0 HAP · MAC 1–1 HAP · HAP 1–2 MAC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Ligat Ha'al this season · since 5 Sept

MACCABI NETANYA

DLLDWD1–1 · 0–2 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 1–1

HAPOEL KATAMON

WDWLLL4–2 · 2–2 · 4–2 · 1–4 · 1–2 · 0–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Maccabi Tel Aviv	8	+16	20
2	Hapoel Tel Aviv	8	+13	19
3	Maccabi Haifa	7	+9	18
4	Hapoel Beer Sheva	7	+4	16
5	Beitar Jerusalem	7	+2	13
6	Bnei Sakhnin	8	0	11
7	Maccabi Netanya	8	+1	10
8	Maccabi Petah Tikva	8	−4	9
9	Hapoel Haifa	8	−4	9
10	Hapoel Katamon	8	−7	7
11	Hapoel Ramat Gan	8	−8	6
12	Hapoel Petah Tikva	7	−8	4
13	Ironi Kiryat Shmona	8	−10	3
14	Ironi Tiberias	8	−4	2