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Ironi Tiberias v Maccabi Netanya
Ironi Tiberias
Maccabi NetanyaLigat Ha'al · SAT 24 OCT · Tiberias Municipal Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Maccabi Netanya win at 40%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Maccabi Netanya 40% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 34–26–40
- 1′KICK-OFF Ironi Tiberias v Maccabi Netanya
- 16′A goal for Ironi Tiberias on 16′. 0–0 · 33–28–39
- 21′8 shots for Maccabi Netanya, 2 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 33–29–38
- 30′Maccabi Netanya have had 13 attempts to 2 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 32–32–37
- 42′SUBSTITUTION · 42' Ironi Tiberias · On: Eden Shamir · Off: Chris Kouakou
- 43′16 shots for Maccabi Netanya, 3 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 30–36–34
- 45′Maccabi Netanya ahead on 45′ through Oz Bilu. 0–1. 0–1 · 9–21–71
- 45′We said Maccabi Netanya at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 71%. 0–1 · 9–21–71
- 45′⚽ GOAL · 45+1' Ironi Tiberias 0–1 Maccabi Netanya · Oz Bilu
- 45′HALF-TIME Ironi Tiberias 0–1 Maccabi Netanya
- 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Maccabi Netanya win: 40% at kick-off, 71% now
- 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Maccabi Netanya win is now our likeliest result at 71% (was Draw 38%)
- 46′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+1' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Maccabi Netanya win 35%)
- 46′SECOND HALF Ironi Tiberias 0–1 Maccabi Netanya
- 59′We said Maccabi Netanya at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 0–1 · 6–20–75
- 61′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Valentin Simion · Maccabi Netanya
- 63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Maccabi Netanya · On: Basam Zaarura · Off: Dor Hugy
- 63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Maccabi Netanya · On: Yarin Abuhatzera · Off: Isaac Rodrigues de Lima
- 68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Ironi Tiberias · On: Guy Sanker · Off: ron unger
- 70′We said Maccabi Netanya at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 0–1 · 3–17–80
- 70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Maccabi Netanya · On: Maor Levi · Off: Valentin Simion
- 70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Maccabi Netanya · On: Karm Jaber · Off: alon azugi
- 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' Maccabi Netanya win: 40% at kick-off, 80% now
- 77′We said Maccabi Netanya at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 0–1 · 1–14–85
- 77′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Aziz Ouattara Mohammed · Maccabi Netanya
- 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Ironi Tiberias · On: M. Badjie · Off: Artur Miranyan
- 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Ironi Tiberias · On: bar cohen · Off: niv gotlieb
- 82′We said Maccabi Netanya at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 0–1 · 1–10–90
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Maccabi Netanya win: 40% at kick-off, 90% now
- 83′🟨 YELLOW · 82' David Keltjens · Ironi Tiberias
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Maccabi Netanya · On: Eylon Almog · Off: Oz Bilu
- 89′We said Maccabi Netanya at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
- 92′We said Maccabi Netanya at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 3%. 1–1 · 3–94–3
- 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Ironi Tiberias 1–1 Maccabi Netanya
- 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' Maccabi Netanya win: 40% at kick-off, 3% now
- 92′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+2' Draw is now our likeliest result at 94% (was Maccabi Netanya win 97%)
- 93′Maccabi Netanya have had 35 attempts to 13 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 2–95–3
- 93′bar cohen scores for Ironi Tiberias on 90′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 2–95–3
- FTFULL TIME Ironi Tiberias 1–1 Maccabi Netanya
- FTIroni Tiberias 1–1 Maccabi Netanya · Maccabi Netanya win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Maccabi Netanya are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Ironi Tiberias 34%, draw 26%, Maccabi Netanya 40%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 60%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Ironi Tiberias win34%
Maccabi Netanya win40%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 17:00
RoundMatchday 8
VenueTiberias Municipal Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Ironi TiberiasMIN
Maccabi NetanyaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Ironi Tiberias
5-3-2
Maccabi Netanya
4-2-3-1
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Ironi Tiberias
Maccabi Netanya
Last match: 17 Oct · Ligat Ha'al
Last match: 17 Oct · Ligat Ha'al
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Ironi Tiberias
5-3-2
22 I. Sharon
12 K. Ganem
17 R. Unger
37 O. Bačo
13 Z. Morgan
47 D. Golani
23 C. Kouakou
11 niv gotlieb
3 D. Keltjens
84 N. Gbamblé
9 A. Miranyan
Coach · A. Ziv
Substitutes
27 · Y. Swisa
10 · B. Cohen
1 · G. Amos
8 · A. Cohen
5 · N. Chen
18 · E. Shamir
30 · M. Badjie
14 · G. Sanker
77 · A. Yehuda
Maccabi Netanya
4-2-3-1
22 Samu
12 A. Azugi
23 O. Verdon
6 B. Konaté
2 G. Morozov
32 A. Ouattara
98 G. Simion
10 O. Bilu
11 D. Hugi
7 Isaac
83 Matheus Davó
Coach · R. Levy
Substitutes
17 · Y. Abuhazira
9 · E. Almog
1 · N. Antman
44 · Benny Feldman
26 · K. Jaber
5 · D. Kulikov
15 · M. Levi
13 · N. Niddam
16 · B. Zaarura
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Ironi Tiberias
5-3-2
22 I. Sharon
12 K. Ganem
17 R. Unger
37 O. Bačo
13 Z. Morgan
47 D. Golani
23 C. Kouakou
11 niv gotlieb
3 D. Keltjens
84 N. Gbamblé
9 A. Miranyan
Coach · A. Ziv
Substitutes
27 · Y. Swisa
10 · B. Cohen
1 · G. Amos
8 · A. Cohen
5 · N. Chen
18 · E. Shamir
30 · M. Badjie
14 · G. Sanker
77 · A. Yehuda
Maccabi Netanya
4-2-3-1
22 Samu
12 A. Azugi
23 O. Verdon
6 B. Konaté
2 G. Morozov
32 A. Ouattara
98 G. Simion
10 O. Bilu
11 D. Hugi
7 Isaac
83 Matheus Davó
Coach · R. Levy
Substitutes
17 · Y. Abuhazira
9 · E. Almog
1 · N. Antman
44 · Benny Feldman
26 · K. Jaber
5 · D. Kulikov
15 · M. Levi
13 · N. Niddam
16 · B. Zaarura
We make Maccabi Netanya a 40% chance to win. The market has them at 60%. We are 20 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.6.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 60% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ironi Tiberias win | 34% | 18% | +16 |
| Draw | 26% | 22% | +4 |
| Maccabi Netanya win | 40% | 60% | −20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 62% | −5 |
| Both teams to score | 60% | 59% | +1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 82% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 41% | −6 |
| Ironi Tiberias or draw | 60% | 40% | +20 |
| Ironi Tiberias clean sheet | 21% | – | – |
| Maccabi Netanya clean sheet | 25% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
5 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Ligat Ha'al this season · since 29 Aug
IRONI TIBERIAS
MACCABI NETANYA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maccabi Haifa | 7 | +9 | 18 |
| 2 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 7 | +12 | 17 |
| 3 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 7 | +10 | 16 |
| 4 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 7 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 | Beitar Jerusalem | 7 | +2 | 13 |
| 6 | Maccabi Netanya | 7 | +1 | 9 |
| 7 | Hapoel Haifa | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 | Bnei Sakhnin | 7 | −1 | 8 |
| 9 | Hapoel Katamon | 7 | −4 | 7 |
| 10 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 7 | −5 | 6 |
| 11 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | 7 | −7 | 6 |
| 12 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 7 | −8 | 4 |
| 13 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 7 | −9 | 3 |
| 14 | Ironi Tiberias | 7 | −4 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Maccabi Haifa
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Beitar Jerusalem
Hapoel Haifa
Bnei Sakhnin
Hapoel Katamon
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Hapoel Ramat Gan
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Ironi Kiryat Shmona