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Home › Football › Ligat Ha'al › Ironi Tiberias v Maccabi Netanya

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Ironi Tiberias v Maccabi Netanya

Ironi Tiberias
1–1Full time
Maccabi Netanya

Ligat Ha'al · SAT 24 OCT · Tiberias Municipal Stadium

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 19:48
Ironi Tiberias 1–1 Maccabi Netanya MACCABI NETANYA WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Maccabi Netanya win40%
The market said60%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.824
The market’s Brier score1.006

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay15 notes · 25 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Maccabi Netanya win at 40%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Maccabi Netanya 40% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 34–26–40
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Ironi Tiberias v Maccabi Netanya
  4. 16′A goal for Ironi Tiberias on 16′. 0–0 · 33–28–39
  5. 21′8 shots for Maccabi Netanya, 2 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 33–29–38
  6. 30′Maccabi Netanya have had 13 attempts to 2 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 32–32–37
  7. 42′SUBSTITUTION · 42' Ironi Tiberias · On: Eden Shamir · Off: Chris Kouakou
  8. 43′16 shots for Maccabi Netanya, 3 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 30–36–34
  9. 45′Maccabi Netanya ahead on 45′ through Oz Bilu. 0–1. 0–1 · 9–21–71
  10. 45′We said Maccabi Netanya at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 71%. 0–1 · 9–21–71
  11. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45+1' Ironi Tiberias 0–1 Maccabi Netanya · Oz Bilu
  12. 45′HALF-TIME Ironi Tiberias 0–1 Maccabi Netanya
  13. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Maccabi Netanya win: 40% at kick-off, 71% now
  14. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Maccabi Netanya win is now our likeliest result at 71% (was Draw 38%)
  15. 46′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+1' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Maccabi Netanya win 35%)
  16. 46′SECOND HALF Ironi Tiberias 0–1 Maccabi Netanya
  17. 59′We said Maccabi Netanya at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 0–1 · 6–20–75
  18. 61′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Valentin Simion · Maccabi Netanya
  19. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Maccabi Netanya · On: Basam Zaarura · Off: Dor Hugy
  20. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Maccabi Netanya · On: Yarin Abuhatzera · Off: Isaac Rodrigues de Lima
  21. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Ironi Tiberias · On: Guy Sanker · Off: ron unger
  22. 70′We said Maccabi Netanya at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 0–1 · 3–17–80
  23. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Maccabi Netanya · On: Maor Levi · Off: Valentin Simion
  24. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Maccabi Netanya · On: Karm Jaber · Off: alon azugi
  25. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' Maccabi Netanya win: 40% at kick-off, 80% now
  26. 77′We said Maccabi Netanya at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 0–1 · 1–14–85
  27. 77′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Aziz Ouattara Mohammed · Maccabi Netanya
  28. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Ironi Tiberias · On: M. Badjie · Off: Artur Miranyan
  29. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Ironi Tiberias · On: bar cohen · Off: niv gotlieb
  30. 82′We said Maccabi Netanya at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 0–1 · 1–10–90
  31. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Maccabi Netanya win: 40% at kick-off, 90% now
  32. 83′🟨 YELLOW · 82' David Keltjens · Ironi Tiberias
  33. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Maccabi Netanya · On: Eylon Almog · Off: Oz Bilu
  34. 89′We said Maccabi Netanya at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
  35. 92′We said Maccabi Netanya at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 3%. 1–1 · 3–94–3
  36. 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Ironi Tiberias 1–1 Maccabi Netanya
  37. 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' Maccabi Netanya win: 40% at kick-off, 3% now
  38. 92′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+2' Draw is now our likeliest result at 94% (was Maccabi Netanya win 97%)
  39. 93′Maccabi Netanya have had 35 attempts to 13 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 2–95–3
  40. 93′bar cohen scores for Ironi Tiberias on 90′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 2–95–3
  41. FTFULL TIME Ironi Tiberias 1–1 Maccabi Netanya
  42. FTIroni Tiberias 1–1 Maccabi Netanya · Maccabi Netanya win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Maccabi Netanya are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Ironi Tiberias 34%, draw 26%, Maccabi Netanya 40%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on Ironi Tiberias v Maccabi NetanyaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Ironi Tiberias win34%
Draw26%
Maccabi Netanya win40%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 17:00

RoundMatchday 8

VenueTiberias Municipal Stadium

Line-ups

Ironi Tiberias

5-3-2

Maccabi Netanya

4-2-3-1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Ironi Tiberias

Maccabi Netanya

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Ligat Ha'al

Last match: 17 Oct · Ligat Ha'al

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
6Maccabi Netanya7+19
14Ironi Tiberias7−41

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Ironi Tiberias

5-3-2

22 I. Sharon

12 K. Ganem

17 R. Unger

37 O. Bačo

13 Z. Morgan

47 D. Golani

23 C. Kouakou

11 niv gotlieb

3 D. Keltjens

84 N. Gbamblé

9 A. Miranyan

Coach · A. Ziv

Substitutes

27 · Y. Swisa

10 · B. Cohen

1 · G. Amos

8 · A. Cohen

5 · N. Chen

18 · E. Shamir

30 · M. Badjie

14 · G. Sanker

77 · A. Yehuda

Maccabi Netanya

4-2-3-1

22 Samu

12 A. Azugi

23 O. Verdon

6 B. Konaté

2 G. Morozov

32 A. Ouattara

98 G. Simion

10 O. Bilu

11 D. Hugi

7 Isaac

83 Matheus Davó

Coach · R. Levy

Substitutes

17 · Y. Abuhazira

9 · E. Almog

1 · N. Antman

44 · Benny Feldman

26 · K. Jaber

5 · D. Kulikov

15 · M. Levi

13 · N. Niddam

16 · B. Zaarura

Our number · maccabi netanya winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
40% The market60%
Us40%
Market60%

We make Maccabi Netanya a 40% chance to win. The market has them at 60%. We are 20 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.6.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Ironi Tiberias v Maccabi Netanya1.42 – 1.56
Form · last six in Ligat Ha'al this season · since 29 AugW1 D1 L4 · W2 D2 L2
Table places · points 1 v 914 v 6
The market · Maccabi Netanya win60% · ours 40%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45%50%55%60%65% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 16:03
Our probability · Maccabi Netanya win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 60% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Ironi Tiberias win34%18%+16
Draw26%22%+4
Maccabi Netanya win40%60%−20
Over 2.5 goals57%62%−5
Both teams to score60%59%+1
Over 1.5 goals80%82%−2
Over 3.5 goals35%41%−6
Ironi Tiberias or draw60%40%+20
Ironi Tiberias clean sheet21%––
Maccabi Netanya clean sheet25%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.0%
0123450 6.2 7.2 6.2 3.3 1 6.4 12.0 8.6 4.5 2 5.1 7.9 6.1 3.2 3 2.4 3.7 2.9 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Ironi Tiberias down, Maccabi Netanya across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting5.00
Over 2.54 of 5
Both scored4 of 5
Last meetingsIRO 4–3 MAC · IRO 4–0 MAC · MAC 5–2 IRO · MAC 1–1 IRO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Ligat Ha'al this season · since 29 Aug

IRONI TIBERIAS

LWDLLL0–2 · 2–1 · 2–2 · 2–3 · 0–2 · 0–1

MACCABI NETANYA

WDLLDW4–1 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 1–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Maccabi Haifa7+918
2Maccabi Tel Aviv7+1217
3Hapoel Tel Aviv7+1016
4Hapoel Beer Sheva7+416
5Beitar Jerusalem7+213
6Maccabi Netanya7+19
7Hapoel Haifa709
8Bnei Sakhnin7−18
9Hapoel Katamon7−47
10Maccabi Petah Tikva7−56
11Hapoel Ramat Gan7−76
12Hapoel Petah Tikva7−84
13Ironi Kiryat Shmona7−93
14Ironi Tiberias7−41

The competition's standings before kick-off.