Hapoel Ramat Gan v Maccabi Tel Aviv prediction · Ligat Ha'al

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Hapoel Ramat GanDrawMaccabi Tel Aviv

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Maccabi Tel Aviv 70%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Maccabi Tel Aviv are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Hapoel Ramat Gan 12%, draw 18%, Maccabi Tel Aviv 70%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on Hapoel Ramat Gan v Maccabi Tel AvivBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Hapoel Ramat Gan win12%

Draw18%

Maccabi Tel Aviv win70%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 18:00

RoundMatchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Hapoel Ramat Gan

Maccabi Tel Aviv

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · Ligat Ha'al

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · maccabi tel aviv winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

70% The market–

Us70%

We make Maccabi Tel Aviv a 70% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–2.5, and 0–2 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Hapoel Ramat Gan v Maccabi Tel Aviv~~0.95 – 2.50

~~Form · last six in Ligat Ha'al this season · since 7 Sept~~W2 D0 L4 · W4 D2 L0

~~Table places · points 6 v 20~~11 v 1

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hapoel Ramat Gan win	12%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
Maccabi Tel Aviv win	70%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	66%	–	–
Both teams to score	56%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	45%	–	–
Hapoel Ramat Gan or draw	30%	–	–
Hapoel Ramat Gan clean sheet	9%	–	–
Maccabi Tel Aviv clean sheet	39%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 9.7%

0123450 4.0 7.5 9.7 8.1 5.2 2.71 2.6 8.2 9.1 7.4 4.7 2.42 3.7 4.3 3.5 2.2 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hapoel Ramat Gan down, Maccabi Tel Aviv across0–5 goals a side shown (95.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,253 Ligat Ha'al matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ligat Ha'al matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.1% of games this season, across 54 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021/22.

Home and away form

Hapoel Ramat Gan at home: 1.00 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 4). Maccabi Tel Aviv away: 2.50 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.95 goals for Hapoel Ramat Gan, 2.50 for Maccabi Tel Aviv. Most likely score 0–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Ligat Ha'al this season · since 7 Sept

HAPOEL RAMAT GAN

LWLLWL0–4 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 0–4 · 2–0 · 1–2

MACCABI TEL AVIV

WWWDDW4–1 · 4–1 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 0–0 · 6–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Maccabi Tel Aviv	8	+16	20
2	Hapoel Tel Aviv	8	+13	19
3	Maccabi Haifa	7	+9	18
4	Hapoel Beer Sheva	7	+4	16
5	Beitar Jerusalem	7	+2	13
6	Bnei Sakhnin	8	0	11
7	Maccabi Netanya	8	+1	10
8	Maccabi Petah Tikva	8	−4	9
9	Hapoel Haifa	8	−4	9
10	Hapoel Katamon	8	−7	7
11	Hapoel Ramat Gan	8	−8	6
12	Hapoel Petah Tikva	7	−8	4
13	Ironi Kiryat Shmona	8	−10	3
14	Ironi Tiberias	8	−4	2