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Home › Football › Ligat Ha'al › Hapoel Ramat Gan v Maccabi Petah Tikva

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Hapoel Ramat Gan v Maccabi Petah Tikva

Hapoel Ramat Gan
1–2Full time
Maccabi Petah Tikva

Ligat Ha'al · SAT 24 OCT · Rehovot stadium

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 19:48
Hapoel Ramat Gan 1–2 Maccabi Petah Tikva HAPOEL RAMAT GAN WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Hapoel Ramat Gan win39%
The market said37%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.668
The market’s Brier score0.611

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 24 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Hapoel Ramat Gan win at 39%.
  2. 1′KICK-OFF Hapoel Ramat Gan v Maccabi Petah Tikva
  3. 2′Much as we predicted: Hapoel Ramat Gan was 39% before kick-off and our model makes it 39% now. 0–0 · 39–27–34
  4. 3′Maccabi Petah Tikva score on 2′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 19–20–61
  5. 3′⚽ GOAL · 2' Hapoel Ramat Gan 0–1 Maccabi Petah Tikva
  6. 3′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 3' Hapoel Ramat Gan win: 39% at kick-off, 19% now
  7. 3′THE CALL SWINGS · 3' Maccabi Petah Tikva win is now our likeliest result at 61% (was Hapoel Ramat Gan win 39%)
  8. 4′Maccabi Petah Tikva score on 3′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 19–20–61
  9. 4′We said Hapoel Ramat Gan at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–20–61
  10. 27′We said Hapoel Ramat Gan at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–22–64
  11. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.8 we expected. 0–1 · 14–22–64
  12. 35′🟨 YELLOW · 34' Eloge Yao · Maccabi Petah Tikva
  13. 41′We said Hapoel Ramat Gan at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 3%. 0–2 · 3–8–89
  14. 41′Maccabi Petah Tikva ahead on 40′ through José Cortés. 0–2. 0–2 · 3–8–89
  15. 41′⚽ GOAL · 41' Hapoel Ramat Gan 0–2 Maccabi Petah Tikva
  16. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Hapoel Ramat Gan win: 39% at kick-off, 3% now
  17. 45′HALF-TIME Hapoel Ramat Gan 0–2 Maccabi Petah Tikva
  18. 46′SECOND HALF Hapoel Ramat Gan 0–2 Maccabi Petah Tikva
  19. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Maccabi Petah Tikva · On: Or dadia · Off: Eloge Yao
  20. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Hapoel Ramat Gan · On: Maxim Plakushchenko · Off: Fard Ibrahim
  21. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Hapoel Ramat Gan · On: Amit Zur · Off: Marius Noubissi
  22. 59′We said Hapoel Ramat Gan at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 6%. 1–2 · 6–21–72
  23. 59′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 6–21–72
  24. 59′⚽ GOAL · 59' Hapoel Ramat Gan 1–2 Maccabi Petah Tikva
  25. 60′Luan De Campos Cristino Da Silva scores for Hapoel Ramat Gan on 59′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 6–21–73
  26. 62′🟨 YELLOW · 61' José Cortés · Maccabi Petah Tikva
  27. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Hapoel Ramat Gan · On: Christopher Boniface · Off: Srdjan Mijailovic
  28. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Maccabi Petah Tikva · On: Pavlos Correa · Off: Bashar Abdach
  29. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Maccabi Petah Tikva · On: Guy Hadida · Off: Samuel Owusu
  30. 78′9 shots for Hapoel Ramat Gan, 4 the other way, and they still trail 1–2. 1–2 · 1–14–85
  31. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Hapoel Ramat Gan · On: idan baranes · Off: Moshe Semel
  32. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Hapoel Ramat Gan · On: Ofek Ovadia · Off: Getachew Yabelo
  33. 82′🟨 YELLOW · 78' Liran Hazan · Maccabi Petah Tikva
  34. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Maccabi Petah Tikva · On: Itay Baruch · Off: Liran Hazan
  35. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Maccabi Petah Tikva · On: Marko Rakonjac · Off: José Cortés
  36. 94′Hapoel Ramat Gan have had 12 attempts to 5 and it is still 1–2. 1–2 · 0–2–98
  37. 95′🟨 YELLOW · 90+4' Itay Baruch · Maccabi Petah Tikva
  38. FTFULL TIME Hapoel Ramat Gan 1–2 Maccabi Petah Tikva
  39. FTHapoel Ramat Gan 1–2 Maccabi Petah Tikva · Hapoel Ramat Gan win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Hapoel Ramat Gan are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Hapoel Ramat Gan 39%, draw 27%, Maccabi Petah Tikva 34%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Hapoel Ramat Gan v Maccabi Petah TikvaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Hapoel Ramat Gan win39%
Draw27%
Maccabi Petah Tikva win34%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 17:00

RoundMatchday 8

VenueRehovot stadium

Line-ups

Hapoel Ramat Gan

4-2-3-1

Maccabi Petah Tikva

4-4-2

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Hapoel Ramat Gan

Maccabi Petah Tikva

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Ligat Ha'al

Last match: 17 Oct · Ligat Ha'al

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
10Maccabi Petah Tikva7−56
11Hapoel Ramat Gan7−76

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Hapoel Ramat Gan

4-2-3-1

55 Amit Raif

2 Getachew Yabelo

5 Jota Gonçalves

4 Márcio Silva

3 D. Tischler

66 S. Mijailović

6 G. Naor

99 Luan Campos

10 M. Semel

11 D. Asanka

9 M. Noubissi

Coach · M. Dego

Substitutes

8 · I. Barnes

20 · C. Boniface

24 · T. Glazer

33 · F. Ibrahim

17 · O. Yitzhak

21 · I. Oli

7 · M. Plakushchenko

16 · A. Zur

22 · A. Yanko

Maccabi Petah Tikva

4-4-2

1 D. Hevron

6 E. Yao

18 E. Tibi

22 Bashar Abdach

17 A. Salem

9 S. Owusu

20 I. Cohen

99 Eyal Inbrum

26 G. Deznet

53 L. Hazan

77 J. Cortés

Coach · Z. Arie

Substitutes

97 · M. Rakonjac

44 · P. Korrea

27 · Y. Koren

24 · L. Kasa

23 · G. Hadida

39 · M. Erlich

30 · O. Dadya

12 · I. Baruch

7 · K. Spence

Our number · hapoel ramat gan winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 20 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
39% The market37%
Us39%
Market37%

We make Hapoel Ramat Gan a 39% chance to win. The market has them at 37%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.5–1.3.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Hapoel Ramat Gan v Maccabi Petah Tikva1.46 – 1.34
Form · last six in Ligat Ha'al this season · since 29 AugW2 D0 L4 · W1 D0 L5
Table places · points 6 v 611 v 10
The market · Hapoel Ramat Gan win37% · ours 39%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
30%35%40%45% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 16:03
Our probability · Hapoel Ramat Gan win The market, margin stripped

Published at 40%, 39% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 37% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Hapoel Ramat Gan win39%37%+2
Draw27%27%0
Maccabi Petah Tikva win34%36%−2
Over 2.5 goals53%57%−4
Both teams to score57%61%−4
Over 1.5 goals77%79%−2
Over 3.5 goals31%36%−5
Hapoel Ramat Gan or draw66%64%+2
Hapoel Ramat Gan clean sheet27%––
Maccabi Petah Tikva clean sheet24%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.6%
0123450 7.3 7.3 5.4 2.5 1 8.1 12.6 7.7 3.5 2 6.6 8.5 5.6 2.5 3 3.2 4.2 2.8 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Hapoel Ramat Gan down, Maccabi Petah Tikva across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.57
Over 2.54 of 7
Both scored3 of 7
Last meetingsMAC 2–1 HAP · HAP 1–1 MAC · MAC 2–2 HAP · HAP 0–3 MAC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Ligat Ha'al this season · since 29 Aug

HAPOEL RAMAT GAN

LLWLLW1–2 · 0–4 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 0–4 · 2–0

MACCABI PETAH TIKVA

WLLLLL2–1 · 1–2 · 1–3 · 2–4 · 1–2 · 1–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Maccabi Haifa7+918
2Maccabi Tel Aviv7+1217
3Hapoel Tel Aviv7+1016
4Hapoel Beer Sheva7+416
5Beitar Jerusalem7+213
6Maccabi Netanya7+19
7Hapoel Haifa709
8Bnei Sakhnin7−18
9Hapoel Katamon7−47
10Maccabi Petah Tikva7−56
11Hapoel Ramat Gan7−76
12Hapoel Petah Tikva7−84
13Ironi Kiryat Shmona7−93
14Ironi Tiberias7−41

The competition's standings before kick-off.