Hapoel Ramat Gan v Beitar Jerusalem prediction · Ligat Ha'al

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 21:47

Hapoel Ramat Gan 0–4 Beitar Jerusalem BEITAR JERUSALEM WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Beitar Jerusalem win~~54%

~~The market said~~62%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.318

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.218

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 29 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Beitar Jerusalem win at 54%.
2′Little has changed for our model: Beitar Jerusalem 54% before kick-off, 55% now. 0–0 · 23–23–55
3′Omer Atzili scores for Beitar Jerusalem on 4′ — 0–0. 0–0 · 23–23–55
24′We said Beitar Jerusalem at 54% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 77%. 0–1 · 7–15–77
28′Omer Atzili scores for Beitar Jerusalem on 4′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 7–16–78
45′45′ and it is 0–2: Boris Enow Takang on the scoresheet for Beitar Jerusalem. 0–2 · 1–4–95
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Beitar Jerusalem win: 54% at kick-off, 77% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Beitar Jerusalem win: 54% at kick-off, 95% now
45′⚽ GOAL · 46' Hapoel Ramat Gan 0–2 Beitar Jerusalem · Boris Enow Takang
47′⚽ GOAL · 47' Hapoel Ramat Gan 0–3 Beitar Jerusalem · Boris Enow Takang
47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 47' Beitar Jerusalem win: 54% at kick-off, 95% now
47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 47' Beitar Jerusalem win: 54% at kick-off, 77% now
48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 48' Beitar Jerusalem win: 54% at kick-off, 77% now
48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 48' Beitar Jerusalem win: 54% at kick-off, 95% now
49′Beitar Jerusalem ahead on 46′ through Boris Enow Takang. 0–3. 0–3 · 0–1–99
49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' Beitar Jerusalem win: 54% at kick-off, 77% now
49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' Beitar Jerusalem win: 54% at kick-off, 95% now
49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' Beitar Jerusalem win: 54% at kick-off, 99% now
50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Beitar Jerusalem win: 54% at kick-off, 99% now
50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Beitar Jerusalem win: 54% at kick-off, 77% now
51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Beitar Jerusalem win: 54% at kick-off, 77% now
51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Beitar Jerusalem win: 54% at kick-off, 99% now
52′Beitar Jerusalem ahead on 46′ through Boris Enow Takang. 0–3. 0–3 · 0–1–99
52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 52' Beitar Jerusalem win: 54% at kick-off, 99% now
52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 52' Beitar Jerusalem win: 54% at kick-off, 77% now
52′🟨 YELLOW · 53' Srdjan Mijailovic · Hapoel Ramat Gan
57′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Hapoel Ramat Gan · On: Moshe Semel · Off: Maxim Plakushchenko Corrected
57′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Hapoel Ramat Gan · On: Daniel Tishler · Off: Srdjan Mijailovic Corrected
63′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Beitar Jerusalem · On: Eugene Ansah · Off: Shon Weissman Corrected
63′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Beitar Jerusalem · On: Adi Menachem Yona · Off: Tomer Yosefi Corrected
64′⚽ GOAL · 65' Hapoel Ramat Gan 0–3 Beitar Jerusalem · Eugene Ansah
65′⚽ GOAL · 65' Hapoel Ramat Gan 0–4 Beitar Jerusalem · Eugene Ansah
67′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Beitar Jerusalem · On: Azo natan ori · Off: Yarden Shua Corrected
67′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Beitar Jerusalem · On: Dagats Worko · Off: Boris Enow Takang Corrected
72′Eugene Ansah scores for Beitar Jerusalem on 65′ — 0–4. 0–4 · 0–0–100
73′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Hapoel Ramat Gan · On: Tamir Glazer · Off: David Asanka Corrected
77′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Beitar Jerusalem · On: roey elimelech · Off: Nana Kwame Antwi Corrected
84′Eugene Ansah scores for Beitar Jerusalem on 65′ — 0–4. 0–4 · 0–0–100
FTFULL TIME Hapoel Ramat Gan 0–4 Beitar Jerusalem
FTHapoel Ramat Gan 0–4 Beitar Jerusalem · Beitar Jerusalem win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Hapoel Ramat Gan win22%

Draw24%

Beitar Jerusalem win54%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 18:15

VenueRamat Gan Stadium

Line-ups

Hapoel Ramat Gan

4-2-3-1

Beitar Jerusalem

4-2-3-1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Hapoel Ramat Gan

Beitar Jerusalem

22Days since last match22

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Beitar Jerusalem	5	−2	9
13	Hapoel Ramat Gan	5	−5	3

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Hapoel Ramat Gan

4-2-3-1

55 A. Raif

66 S. Mijailovic

5 Jota

4 Marcio Silva

33 F. Ibrahim

21 I. Oli

6 G. Naor

28 M. Hozez

7 M. Plakushchenko

11 D. Asanka

99 Luan

Coach · Messay Dego

Substitutes

22 · A. Yanko

2 · G. Yabelo

17 · O. Itzhak

3 · D. Tishler

20 · C. Boniface

10 · M. Semel

24 · T. Glazer

9 · M. Noubissi

16 · A. Zur

Beitar Jerusalem

4-2-3-1

55 Miguel Silva

2 N. Antwi

44 L. Gadrani

5 G. Cohen

11 T. Muzie

80 A. Serna

40 Boris Enow

77 O. Atzili

30 T. Yosefi

7 Y. Shua

19 S. Weissman

Coach · Almog Cohen

Substitutes

22 · Y. Ozer

14 · R. Elimelech

25 · L. Deri

10 · A. Yona

23 · O. N. Azo

8 · Z. Ben Shimol

26 · D. Worko

13 · E. Ansah

9 · J. Kalu

Our number · beitar jerusalem winPublished 11 Oct 17:22

54% The market62%

Us54%

~~Market~~62%

We make Beitar Jerusalem a 54% chance to win. The market has them at 62%. We are 8 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–1.9.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · beitar jerusalem win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 62% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hapoel Ramat Gan win	22%	17%	+5
Draw	24%	21%	+3
Beitar Jerusalem win	54%	62%	−8
Over 2.5 goals	59%	64%	−6
Both teams to score	58%	59%	−1
Over 1.5 goals	81%	83%	−2
Over 3.5 goals	37%	44%	−7
Hapoel Ramat Gan or draw	46%	38%	+8
Hapoel Ramat Gan clean sheet	16%	–	–
Beitar Jerusalem clean sheet	32%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.0%

0123450 5.8 8.2 8.4 5.4 2.7 1 4.8 11.0 9.4 6.0 3.0 2 3.2 5.9 5.4 3.4 3 2.3 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hapoel Ramat Gan down, Beitar Jerusalem across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,239 Ligat Ha'al matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Ligat Ha'al matches have gone over 2.5 in 65.0% of games this season, across 40 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Hapoel Ramat Gan at home: 1.50 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 2). Beitar Jerusalem away: 0.67 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.15 goals for Hapoel Ramat Gan, 1.91 for Beitar Jerusalem. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Ligat Ha'al

HAPOEL RAMAT GAN

LLLWL1–2 · 1–2 · 0–4 · 2–0 · 0–1

BEITAR JERUSALEM

DLLWWW1–1 · 1–4 · 0–3 · 1–0 · 3–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Maccabi Tel Aviv	6	+12	16
2	Hapoel Tel Aviv	6	+9	13
3	Hapoel Beer Sheva	6	+3	13
4	Maccabi Haifa	5	+5	12
5	Hapoel Haifa	6	+2	9
6	Beitar Jerusalem	5	−2	9
7	Hapoel Katamon	5	0	7
8	Ironi Tiberias	6	−3	7
9	Maccabi Netanya	6	0	6
10	Maccabi Petah Tikva	6	−4	6
11	Bnei Sakhnin	6	−3	5
12	Hapoel Petah Tikva	6	−6	4
13	Hapoel Ramat Gan	5	−5	3
14	Ironi Kiryat Shmona	6	−8	3