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Hapoel Petah Tikva v Beitar Jerusalem
Hapoel Petah TikvaBeitar JerusalemLigat Ha'al · SUN 25 OCT · HaMoshava Stadium
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Beitar Jerusalem are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Hapoel Petah Tikva 22%, draw 25%, Beitar Jerusalem 53%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 55%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Hapoel Petah Tikva win22%Beitar Jerusalem win53%Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 18:15
RoundMatchday 8
VenueHaMoshava Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Hapoel Petah TikvaMINBeitar JerusalemEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Beitar Jerusalem
Last match: 17 Oct · Ligat Ha'al
Last match: 19 Oct · Ligat Ha'al
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Beitar Jerusalem | 7 | +2 | 13 |
| 12 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 7 | −8 | 4 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Beitar Jerusalem a 53% chance to win. The market has them at 61%. We are 8 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–1.8.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 61% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Petah Tikva win | 22% | 17% | +5 |
| Draw | 25% | 22% | +3 |
| Beitar Jerusalem win | 53% | 61% | −8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 58% | −3 |
| Both teams to score | 55% | 55% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 78% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 36% | −3 |
| Hapoel Petah Tikva or draw | 47% | 39% | +8 |
| Hapoel Petah Tikva clean sheet | 17% | – | – |
| Beitar Jerusalem clean sheet | 34% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
7 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Ligat Ha'al this season · since 29 Aug
HAPOEL PETAH TIKVA
BEITAR JERUSALEM
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Maccabi Haifa | 7 | +9 | 18 |
| 2 |  Maccabi Tel Aviv | 7 | +12 | 17 |
| 3 |  Hapoel Tel Aviv | 7 | +10 | 16 |
| 4 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 7 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 | Beitar Jerusalem | 7 | +2 | 13 |
| 6 |  Maccabi Netanya | 7 | +1 | 9 |
| 7 |  Hapoel Haifa | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 |  Bnei Sakhnin | 7 | −1 | 8 |
| 9 |  Hapoel Katamon | 7 | −4 | 7 |
| 10 |  Maccabi Petah Tikva | 7 | −5 | 6 |
| 11 |  Hapoel Ramat Gan | 7 | −7 | 6 |
| 12 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 7 | −8 | 4 |
| 13 |  Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 7 | −9 | 3 |
| 14 |  Ironi Tiberias | 7 | −4 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.