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Home › Football › Ligat Ha'al › Hapoel Haifa v Hapoel Ramat Gan

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Hapoel Haifa v Hapoel Ramat Gan

Hapoel Haifa
0–2Full time
Hapoel Ramat Gan

Ligat Ha'al · SAT 17 OCT · Sammy Ofer Stadium

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 19:40
Hapoel Haifa 0–2 Hapoel Ramat Gan HAPOEL HAIFA WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Hapoel Haifa win50%
The market said54%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.895
The market’s Brier score0.920

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 27 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Hapoel Haifa win at 50%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Hapoel Haifa was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 50% now. 0–0 · 50–26–24
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Hapoel Haifa v Hapoel Ramat Gan
  4. 35′🟨 YELLOW · 34' Hapoel Ramat Gan
  5. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Hapoel Haifa win: 50% at kick-off, 40% now
  6. 45′HALF-TIME Hapoel Haifa 0–0 Hapoel Ramat Gan
  7. 46′SECOND HALF Hapoel Haifa 0–0 Hapoel Ramat Gan
  8. 47′We said Hapoel Haifa at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 38%. 0–0 · 38–40–22
  9. 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Hapoel Haifa win 37%)
  10. 52′🟨 YELLOW · 51' Marcio Silva · Hapoel Ramat Gan
  11. 54′🟨 YELLOW · 53' Dario Župarić · Hapoel Haifa
  12. 55′We expected about 2.7 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 35–45–20
  13. 56′We said Hapoel Haifa at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–46–20
  14. 58′🟥 RED CARD · 58' Hapoel Haifa
  15. 59′A red card for Hapoel Haifa on 57′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–0 · 33–48–19
  16. 61′Hapoel Ramat Gan ahead on 59′ through David Asanka. 0–1. 0–1 · 8–24–69
  17. 61′We said Hapoel Haifa at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 0–1 · 8–24–69
  18. 61′⚽ GOAL · 59' Hapoel Haifa 0–1 Hapoel Ramat Gan · David Asanka (assist Getachew Yabelo)
  19. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Hapoel Haifa win: 50% at kick-off, 8% now
  20. 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Hapoel Ramat Gan win is now our likeliest result at 69% (was Draw 24%)
  21. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Hapoel Haifa · On: C Diakité · Off: Shai Elias
  22. 66′🟨 YELLOW · 64' Arial Mendy · Hapoel Haifa
  23. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Hapoel Haifa · On: Noam Cohen · Off: Dor Malul
  24. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Hapoel Haifa · On: Israel Sali Pahima · Off: yaad gonen
  25. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Hapoel Haifa · On: Itai Zafrani · Off: Liran Rotman
  26. 70′We said Hapoel Haifa at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 1%. 0–2 · 1–4–96
  27. 70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Hapoel Haifa 0–2 Hapoel Ramat Gan
  28. 71′Luan De Campos Cristino Da Silva scores for Hapoel Ramat Gan on 69′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 0–4–96
  29. 71′Goals are coming at about the 2.7 we expected. 0–2 · 0–4–96
  30. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Hapoel Haifa win: 50% at kick-off, under 1% now
  31. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Hapoel Haifa · On: Wahib·Habiballa · Off: Alon Turgeman
  32. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Hapoel Ramat Gan · On: Tamir Glazer · Off: Goni Naor
  33. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Hapoel Ramat Gan · On: omer yizhak · Off: Daniel Tishler
  34. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Hapoel Ramat Gan · On: Christopher Boniface · Off: Marius Noubissi
  35. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Hapoel Ramat Gan · On: idan baranes · Off: Luan De Campos Cristino Da Silva
  36. 84′🟨 YELLOW · 84' David Asanka · Hapoel Ramat Gan
  37. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Hapoel Ramat Gan · On: Maxim Plakushchenko · Off: Moshe Semel
  38. FTFULL TIME Hapoel Haifa 0–2 Hapoel Ramat Gan
  39. FTHapoel Haifa 0–2 Hapoel Ramat Gan · Hapoel Haifa win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Hapoel Haifa are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Hapoel Haifa 50%, draw 26%, Hapoel Ramat Gan 24%. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Hapoel Haifa v Hapoel Ramat GanBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Hapoel Haifa win50%
Draw26%
Hapoel Ramat Gan win24%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 17:00

RoundMatchday 7

VenueSammy Ofer Stadium

Line-ups

Hapoel Haifa

4-2-3-1

Hapoel Ramat Gan

5-3-2

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Hapoel Haifa

Hapoel Ramat Gan

7Days since last match6

Last match: 10 Oct · Ligat Ha'al

Last match: 11 Oct · Ligat Ha'al

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
6Hapoel Haifa6+29
13Hapoel Ramat Gan6−93

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Hapoel Haifa

4-2-3-1

1 Y. Gerafi

4 D. Malul

13 D. Župarić

5 I. Kričak

77 A. Mendy

55 N. Sabag

8 Cheick Keita

15 Y. Gonen

10 S. Elias

7 L. Rotman

17 A. Turgeman

Coach · H. Silbas

Substitutes

18 · Itay Zafrani

23 · M. Ambar

3 · T. Arbel

2 · N. Cohen

21 · C Diakité

25 · G. Diba

14 · W. Habiballa

11 · I. S. Fahima

12 · A. Ayias

Hapoel Ramat Gan

5-3-2

55 Amit Raif

2 Getachew Yabelo

4 Márcio Silva

5 Jota Gonçalves

3 D. Tischler

11 D. Asanka

6 G. Naor

66 S. Mijailović

10 M. Semel

99 Luan Campos

9 M. Noubissi

Coach · M. Dego

Substitutes

22 · A. Yanko

8 · I. Barnes

20 · C. Boniface

24 · T. Glazer

33 · F. Ibrahim

17 · O. Yitzhak

21 · I. Oli

7 · M. Plakushchenko

16 · A. Zur

Our number · hapoel haifa winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 12 Oct 04:02 · locked at kick-off
50% The market54%
Us50%
Market54%

We make Hapoel Haifa a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 54%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.1.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Hapoel Haifa v Hapoel Ramat Gan1.64 – 1.06
Form · Ligat Ha'al this season · since 22 AugW2 D3 L1 · W1 D0 L5
Table places · points 9 v 36 v 13
The market · Hapoel Haifa win54% · ours 50%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55%60% 11 OCT 04:0317 OCT 15:59
Our probability · Hapoel Haifa win The market, margin stripped

Published at 47%, 50% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 54% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Hapoel Haifa win50%54%−4
Draw26%22%+4
Hapoel Ramat Gan win24%24%0
Over 2.5 goals50%62%−12
Both teams to score53%62%−9
Over 1.5 goals75%82%−7
Over 3.5 goals29%41%−12
Hapoel Haifa or draw76%76%0
Hapoel Haifa clean sheet35%––
Hapoel Ramat Gan clean sheet20%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.4%
0123450 8.0 6.4 3.9 1 10.2 12.4 6.1 2.2 2 9.0 9.2 4.9 3 5.0 5.1 2.7 4 2.1 2.1 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Hapoel Haifa down, Hapoel Ramat Gan across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Ligat Ha'al this season · since 22 Aug

HAPOEL HAIFA

DDDWLW0–0 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 3–1 · 1–2 · 2–1

HAPOEL RAMAT GAN

LLLWLL1–2 · 1–2 · 0–4 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 0–4

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Maccabi Tel Aviv6+1216
2Maccabi Haifa6+815
3Hapoel Tel Aviv6+913
4Hapoel Beer Sheva6+313
5Beitar Jerusalem6+212
6Hapoel Haifa6+29
7Hapoel Katamon6−37
8Maccabi Netanya606
9Maccabi Petah Tikva6−46
10Bnei Sakhnin6−35
11Hapoel Petah Tikva6−64
12Ironi Kiryat Shmona6−83
13Hapoel Ramat Gan6−93
14Ironi Tiberias6−31

The competition's standings before kick-off.