Hapoel Haifa v Hapoel Petah Tikva prediction · Ligat Ha'al

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Hapoel HaifaDrawHapoel Petah Tikva

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Hapoel Haifa 43%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Hapoel Haifa are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Hapoel Haifa 43%, draw 28%, Hapoel Petah Tikva 29%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Hapoel Haifa v Hapoel Petah TikvaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Hapoel Haifa win43%

Draw28%

Hapoel Petah Tikva win29%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 18:00

RoundMatchday 9

VenueSammy Ofer Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Hapoel Haifa

Hapoel Petah Tikva

7Days since last match14

Last match: 24 Oct · Ligat Ha'al

Last match: 17 Oct · Ligat Ha'al

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Hapoel Haifa	8	−4	9
12	Hapoel Petah Tikva	7	−8	4

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hapoel haifa winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Hapoel Haifa a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Hapoel Haifa v Hapoel Petah Tikva~~1.43 – 1.12

~~Form · last six in Ligat Ha'al this season · since 29 Aug~~W2 D1 L3 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 9 v 4~~9 v 12

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hapoel Haifa win	43%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Hapoel Petah Tikva win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	47%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	73%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	25%	–	–
Hapoel Haifa or draw	71%	–	–
Hapoel Haifa clean sheet	33%	–	–
Hapoel Petah Tikva clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.3%

0123450 9.0 7.9 4.9 1 10.2 13.3 6.9 2.6 2 7.9 8.8 4.9 3 3.8 4.2 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hapoel Haifa down, Hapoel Petah Tikva across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,253 Ligat Ha'al matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ligat Ha'al matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.1% of games this season, across 54 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 5 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.20 goals a meeting; 1 of 5 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Hapoel Haifa at home: 1.50 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Hapoel Petah Tikva away: 0.33 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.43 goals for Hapoel Haifa, 1.12 for Hapoel Petah Tikva. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.20

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 5

~~Both scored~~3 of 5

~~Last meetings~~PET 0–1 HAI · HAI 2–2 PET · HAI 1–1 PET · PET 0–2 HAI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Ligat Ha'al this season · since 29 Aug

HAPOEL HAIFA

DWLWLL1–1 · 3–1 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 0–2 · 2–6

HAPOEL PETAH TIKVA

WLLLDL1–0 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 0–3 · 1–1 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Maccabi Tel Aviv	8	+16	20
2	Hapoel Tel Aviv	8	+13	19
3	Maccabi Haifa	7	+9	18
4	Hapoel Beer Sheva	7	+4	16
5	Beitar Jerusalem	7	+2	13
6	Bnei Sakhnin	8	0	11
7	Maccabi Netanya	8	+1	10
8	Maccabi Petah Tikva	8	−4	9
9	Hapoel Haifa	8	−4	9
10	Hapoel Katamon	8	−7	7
11	Hapoel Ramat Gan	8	−8	6
12	Hapoel Petah Tikva	7	−8	4
13	Ironi Kiryat Shmona	8	−10	3
14	Ironi Tiberias	8	−4	2