Home › Football › Ligat Ha'al › Beitar Jerusalem v Maccabi Tel Aviv
Back

Beitar Jerusalem v Maccabi Tel Aviv
Beitar Jerusalem
Maccabi Tel AvivLigat Ha'al · MON 19 OCT · Taddi Malcha
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Maccabi Tel Aviv win at 48%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Maccabi Tel Aviv 48% before kick-off, 48% now. 0–0 · 29–23–48
- 1′KICK-OFF Beitar Jerusalem v Maccabi Tel Aviv
- 24′🟨 YELLOW · 23' Sagiv Yehezkel · Maccabi Tel Aviv
- 38′🟨 YELLOW · 38' Mohamed Ali Camara · Maccabi Tel Aviv
- 41′8 shots for Beitar Jerusalem, 3 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 27–32–41
- 45′HALF-TIME Beitar Jerusalem 0–0 Maccabi Tel Aviv
- 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Maccabi Tel Aviv win is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Draw 41%)
- 45′SECOND HALF Beitar Jerusalem 0–0 Maccabi Tel Aviv
- 47′🟨 YELLOW · 45+1' Issouf Bemba Sissokho · Maccabi Tel Aviv
- 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Maccabi Tel Aviv win: 48% at kick-off, 38% now
- 54′We said Maccabi Tel Aviv at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 36%. 0–0 · 25–39–36
- 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 3.5 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 25–39–36
- 55′🟨 YELLOW · 54' Alexis Serna · Beitar Jerusalem
- 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Maccabi Tel Aviv win 38%)
- 58′We said Maccabi Tel Aviv at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 24–41–34
- 60′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Beitar Jerusalem · On: Adi Menachem Yona · Off: Tomer Yosefi
- 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Maccabi Tel Aviv · On: Elad Madmon · Off: Ester Sokler
- 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Maccabi Tel Aviv · On: Osher Davida · Off: Sagiv Yehezkel
- 65′🟨 YELLOW · 64' Osher Davida · Maccabi Tel Aviv
- 67′We said Maccabi Tel Aviv at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 21–50–29
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Beitar Jerusalem · On: Shon Weissman · Off: Alexis Serna
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Beitar Jerusalem · On: Dagats Worko · Off: Johnbosco Samuel Kalu
- 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Maccabi Tel Aviv win: 48% at kick-off, 28% now
- 73′We said Maccabi Tel Aviv at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 18–58–24
- 74′Beitar Jerusalem have had 13 attempts to 8 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 17–59–23
- 78′We said Maccabi Tel Aviv at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 14–67–19
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Beitar Jerusalem · On: Gil Cohen · Off: Luka Gadrani
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Beitar Jerusalem · On: Azo natan ori · Off: Yarden Shua
- 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Maccabi Tel Aviv win: 48% at kick-off, 18% now
- 82′We said Maccabi Tel Aviv at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 11–75–14
- 83′Beitar Jerusalem have had 17 attempts to 12 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 10–78–13
- 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Maccabi Tel Aviv · On: Itai Ben·Hamo · Off: Raz Shlomo
- 87′We said Maccabi Tel Aviv at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 7–85–9
- 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Maccabi Tel Aviv win: 48% at kick-off, 8% now
- 92′We said Maccabi Tel Aviv at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 3–93–4
- FTFULL TIME Beitar Jerusalem 0–0 Maccabi Tel Aviv
- FTBeitar Jerusalem 0–0 Maccabi Tel Aviv · Maccabi Tel Aviv win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Maccabi Tel Aviv are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Beitar Jerusalem 29%, draw 23%, Maccabi Tel Aviv 48%. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 67%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Beitar Jerusalem win29%
Maccabi Tel Aviv win48%Kick-offMON 19 OCT · 18:30
RoundMatchday 7
VenueTaddi Malcha
Match timeline
All events
Beitar JerusalemMIN
Maccabi Tel AvivEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Beitar Jerusalem
4-3-3
Maccabi Tel Aviv
4-1-4-1
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Beitar Jerusalem
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Last match: 11 Oct · Ligat Ha'al
Last match: 10 Oct · Ligat Ha'al
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Beitar Jerusalem
4-3-3
55 Miguel Silva
2 N. Antwi
4 B. Carabalí
44 L. Gadrani
11 T. Muzi
30 T. Yosefi
80 Alexis Serna
40 B. Enow
77 O. Atzili
7 Y. Shua
9 J. Kalu
Coach · Almog Cohen
Substitutes
5 · G. Cohen
8 · Z. Shimol
23 · O. N. Azo
14 · R. Elimelech
15 · N. Muche
22 · Y. Ozer
19 · S. Weissman
26 · D. Worko
10 · A. Yona
Maccabi Tel Aviv
4-1-4-1
1 O. Melika
2 J. Tavernier
5 M. Camara
13 R. Shlomo
22 N. Ben Harush
28 I. Sissokho
11 S. Yehezkel
42 Dor Peretz
16 G. Kanichowsky
29 Hélio Varela
9 E. Sokler
Coach · Kenny Miller
Substitutes
41 · I. Ben Hamo
36 · I. Shahar
77 · O. Davida
18 · D. Glazer
33 · H. Layous
45 · Noam Levy
19 · E. Madmon
90 · R. Mishpati
30 · I. Noy
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Beitar Jerusalem
4-3-3
55 Miguel Silva
2 N. Antwi
4 B. Carabalí
44 L. Gadrani
11 T. Muzi
30 T. Yosefi
80 Alexis Serna
40 B. Enow
77 O. Atzili
7 Y. Shua
9 J. Kalu
Coach · Almog Cohen
Substitutes
5 · G. Cohen
8 · Z. Shimol
23 · O. N. Azo
14 · R. Elimelech
15 · N. Muche
22 · Y. Ozer
19 · S. Weissman
26 · D. Worko
10 · A. Yona
Maccabi Tel Aviv
4-1-4-1
1 O. Melika
2 J. Tavernier
5 M. Camara
13 R. Shlomo
22 N. Ben Harush
28 I. Sissokho
11 S. Yehezkel
42 Dor Peretz
16 G. Kanichowsky
29 Hélio Varela
9 E. Sokler
Coach · Kenny Miller
Substitutes
41 · I. Ben Hamo
36 · I. Shahar
77 · O. Davida
18 · D. Glazer
33 · H. Layous
45 · Noam Levy
19 · E. Madmon
90 · R. Mishpati
30 · I. Noy
We make Maccabi Tel Aviv a 48% chance to win. The market has them at 44%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–2.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 44% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beitar Jerusalem win | 29% | 31% | −2 |
| Draw | 23% | 24% | −1 |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv win | 48% | 44% | +4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 67% | 0 |
| Both teams to score | 67% | 69% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 85% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45% | 48% | −3 |
| Beitar Jerusalem or draw | 52% | 56% | −4 |
| Beitar Jerusalem clean sheet | 15% | – | – |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Ligat Ha'al this season · since 23 Aug
BEITAR JERUSALEM
MACCABI TEL AVIV
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maccabi Haifa | 7 | +9 | 18 |
| 2 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 6 | +12 | 16 |
| 3 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 7 | +10 | 16 |
| 4 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 7 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 | Beitar Jerusalem | 6 | +2 | 12 |
| 6 | Maccabi Netanya | 7 | +1 | 9 |
| 7 | Hapoel Haifa | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 | Bnei Sakhnin | 7 | −1 | 8 |
| 9 | Hapoel Katamon | 7 | −4 | 7 |
| 10 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 7 | −5 | 6 |
| 11 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | 7 | −7 | 6 |
| 12 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 7 | −8 | 4 |
| 13 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 7 | −9 | 3 |
| 14 | Ironi Tiberias | 7 | −4 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Maccabi Haifa
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Maccabi Netanya
Hapoel Haifa
Bnei Sakhnin
Hapoel Katamon
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Hapoel Ramat Gan
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Ironi Tiberias