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Beitar Jerusalem v Maccabi Tel Aviv

Beitar Jerusalem
0–0Full time
Maccabi Tel Aviv

Ligat Ha'al · MON 19 OCT · Taddi Malcha

Full timeGraded 19 Oct 21:01
Beitar Jerusalem 0–0 Maccabi Tel Aviv MACCABI TEL AVIV WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Maccabi Tel Aviv win48%
The market said44%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.904
The market’s Brier score0.872

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 23 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Maccabi Tel Aviv win at 48%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Maccabi Tel Aviv 48% before kick-off, 48% now. 0–0 · 29–23–48
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Beitar Jerusalem v Maccabi Tel Aviv
  4. 24′🟨 YELLOW · 23' Sagiv Yehezkel · Maccabi Tel Aviv
  5. 38′🟨 YELLOW · 38' Mohamed Ali Camara · Maccabi Tel Aviv
  6. 41′8 shots for Beitar Jerusalem, 3 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 27–32–41
  7. 45′HALF-TIME Beitar Jerusalem 0–0 Maccabi Tel Aviv
  8. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Maccabi Tel Aviv win is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Draw 41%)
  9. 45′SECOND HALF Beitar Jerusalem 0–0 Maccabi Tel Aviv
  10. 47′🟨 YELLOW · 45+1' Issouf Bemba Sissokho · Maccabi Tel Aviv
  11. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Maccabi Tel Aviv win: 48% at kick-off, 38% now
  12. 54′We said Maccabi Tel Aviv at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 36%. 0–0 · 25–39–36
  13. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 3.5 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 25–39–36
  14. 55′🟨 YELLOW · 54' Alexis Serna · Beitar Jerusalem
  15. 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Maccabi Tel Aviv win 38%)
  16. 58′We said Maccabi Tel Aviv at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 24–41–34
  17. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Beitar Jerusalem · On: Adi Menachem Yona · Off: Tomer Yosefi
  18. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Maccabi Tel Aviv · On: Elad Madmon · Off: Ester Sokler
  19. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Maccabi Tel Aviv · On: Osher Davida · Off: Sagiv Yehezkel
  20. 65′🟨 YELLOW · 64' Osher Davida · Maccabi Tel Aviv
  21. 67′We said Maccabi Tel Aviv at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 21–50–29
  22. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Beitar Jerusalem · On: Shon Weissman · Off: Alexis Serna
  23. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Beitar Jerusalem · On: Dagats Worko · Off: Johnbosco Samuel Kalu
  24. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Maccabi Tel Aviv win: 48% at kick-off, 28% now
  25. 73′We said Maccabi Tel Aviv at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 18–58–24
  26. 74′Beitar Jerusalem have had 13 attempts to 8 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 17–59–23
  27. 78′We said Maccabi Tel Aviv at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 14–67–19
  28. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Beitar Jerusalem · On: Gil Cohen · Off: Luka Gadrani
  29. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Beitar Jerusalem · On: Azo natan ori · Off: Yarden Shua
  30. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Maccabi Tel Aviv win: 48% at kick-off, 18% now
  31. 82′We said Maccabi Tel Aviv at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 11–75–14
  32. 83′Beitar Jerusalem have had 17 attempts to 12 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 10–78–13
  33. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Maccabi Tel Aviv · On: Itai Ben·Hamo · Off: Raz Shlomo
  34. 87′We said Maccabi Tel Aviv at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 7–85–9
  35. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Maccabi Tel Aviv win: 48% at kick-off, 8% now
  36. 92′We said Maccabi Tel Aviv at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 3–93–4
  37. FTFULL TIME Beitar Jerusalem 0–0 Maccabi Tel Aviv
  38. FTBeitar Jerusalem 0–0 Maccabi Tel Aviv · Maccabi Tel Aviv win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Maccabi Tel Aviv are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Beitar Jerusalem 29%, draw 23%, Maccabi Tel Aviv 48%. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 67%.

The AI’s read on Beitar Jerusalem v Maccabi Tel AvivBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Beitar Jerusalem win29%
Draw23%
Maccabi Tel Aviv win48%

Kick-offMON 19 OCT · 18:30

RoundMatchday 7

VenueTaddi Malcha

Line-ups

Beitar Jerusalem

4-3-3

Maccabi Tel Aviv

4-1-4-1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Beitar Jerusalem

Maccabi Tel Aviv

8Days since last match9

Last match: 11 Oct · Ligat Ha'al

Last match: 10 Oct · Ligat Ha'al

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
2Maccabi Tel Aviv6+1216
5Beitar Jerusalem6+212

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Beitar Jerusalem

4-3-3

55 Miguel Silva

2 N. Antwi

4 B. Carabalí

44 L. Gadrani

11 T. Muzi

30 T. Yosefi

80 Alexis Serna

40 B. Enow

77 O. Atzili

7 Y. Shua

9 J. Kalu

Coach · Almog Cohen

Substitutes

5 · G. Cohen

8 · Z. Shimol

23 · O. N. Azo

14 · R. Elimelech

15 · N. Muche

22 · Y. Ozer

19 · S. Weissman

26 · D. Worko

10 · A. Yona

Maccabi Tel Aviv

4-1-4-1

1 O. Melika

2 J. Tavernier

5 M. Camara

13 R. Shlomo

22 N. Ben Harush

28 I. Sissokho

11 S. Yehezkel

42 Dor Peretz

16 G. Kanichowsky

29 Hélio Varela

9 E. Sokler

Coach · Kenny Miller

Substitutes

41 · I. Ben Hamo

36 · I. Shahar

77 · O. Davida

18 · D. Glazer

33 · H. Layous

45 · Noam Levy

19 · E. Madmon

90 · R. Mishpati

30 · I. Noy

Our number · maccabi tel aviv winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 17 Oct 05:24 · locked at kick-off
48% The market44%
Us48%
Market44%

We make Maccabi Tel Aviv a 48% chance to win. The market has them at 44%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–2.0.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Beitar Jerusalem v Maccabi Tel Aviv1.50 – 1.95
Form · Ligat Ha'al this season · since 23 AugW4 D0 L2 · W5 D1 L0
Table places · points 12 v 165 v 2
The market · Maccabi Tel Aviv win44% · ours 48%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50% 11 OCT 04:0319 OCT 18:09
Our probability · Maccabi Tel Aviv win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 44% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Beitar Jerusalem win29%31%−2
Draw23%24%−1
Maccabi Tel Aviv win48%44%+4
Over 2.5 goals67%67%0
Both teams to score67%69%−2
Over 1.5 goals86%85%+1
Over 3.5 goals45%48%−3
Beitar Jerusalem or draw52%56%−4
Beitar Jerusalem clean sheet15%––
Maccabi Tel Aviv clean sheet23%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.9%
0123450 4.0 5.6 6.1 3.9 1 4.2 9.9 8.9 5.8 2.9 2 3.6 6.9 6.6 4.3 2.1 3 3.4 3.3 2.2 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Beitar Jerusalem down, Maccabi Tel Aviv across0–5 goals a side shown (97.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting3.40
Over 2.56 of 10
Both scored6 of 10
Last meetingsMAC 1–2 BEI · BEI 4–2 MAC · BEI 0–0 MAC · MAC 2–6 BEI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Ligat Ha'al this season · since 23 Aug

BEITAR JERUSALEM

LLWWWW1–4 · 0–3 · 1–0 · 3–1 · 2–1 · 4–0

MACCABI TEL AVIV

WWWWWD5–2 · 3–1 · 4–1 · 4–1 · 2–1 · 0–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Maccabi Haifa7+918
2Maccabi Tel Aviv6+1216
3Hapoel Tel Aviv7+1016
4Hapoel Beer Sheva7+416
5Beitar Jerusalem6+212
6Maccabi Netanya7+19
7Hapoel Haifa709
8Bnei Sakhnin7−18
9Hapoel Katamon7−47
10Maccabi Petah Tikva7−56
11Hapoel Ramat Gan7−76
12Hapoel Petah Tikva7−84
13Ironi Kiryat Shmona7−93
14Ironi Tiberias7−41

The competition's standings before kick-off.