Beitar Jerusalem v Ironi Kiryat Shmona prediction · Ligat Ha'al

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Beitar JerusalemDrawIroni Kiryat Shmona

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Beitar Jerusalem 61%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Beitar Jerusalem are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Beitar Jerusalem 61%, draw 21%, Ironi Kiryat Shmona 18%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Beitar Jerusalem v Ironi Kiryat ShmonaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Beitar Jerusalem win61%

Draw21%

Ironi Kiryat Shmona win18%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 18:00

RoundMatchday 9

VenueTeddy Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Beitar Jerusalem

Ironi Kiryat Shmona

12Days since last match7

Last match: 19 Oct · Ligat Ha'al

Last match: 24 Oct · Ligat Ha'al

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Beitar Jerusalem	7	+2	13
13	Ironi Kiryat Shmona	8	−10	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · beitar jerusalem winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

61% The market–

Us61%

We make Beitar Jerusalem a 61% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.1, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Beitar Jerusalem v Ironi Kiryat Shmona~~2.20 – 1.10

~~Form · last six in Ligat Ha'al this season · since 3 Sept~~W4 D1 L1 · W0 D0 L6

~~Table places · points 13 v 3~~5 v 13

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Beitar Jerusalem win	61%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Ironi Kiryat Shmona win	18%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	64%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	42%	–	–
Beitar Jerusalem or draw	82%	–	–
Beitar Jerusalem clean sheet	34%	–	–
Ironi Kiryat Shmona clean sheet	12%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.6%

0123450 4.6 3.5 2.3 1 7.5 9.6 4.9 2 8.9 9.6 5.3 3 6.5 7.0 3.8 4 3.6 3.9 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Beitar Jerusalem down, Ironi Kiryat Shmona across0–5 goals a side shown (97.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,253 Ligat Ha'al matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ligat Ha'al matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.1% of games this season, across 54 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.30 goals a meeting; 7 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Beitar Jerusalem at home: 1.33 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Ironi Kiryat Shmona away: 1.33 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.20 goals for Beitar Jerusalem, 1.10 for Ironi Kiryat Shmona. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.30

~~Over 2.5~~7 of 10

~~Both scored~~6 of 10

~~Last meetings~~IRO 0–2 BEI · IRO 1–2 BEI · BEI 2–1 IRO · IRO 0–3 BEI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Ligat Ha'al this season · since 3 Sept

BEITAR JERUSALEM

LWWWWD0–3 · 1–0 · 3–1 · 2–1 · 4–0 · 0–0

IRONI KIRYAT SHMONA

LLLLLL2–4 · 0–4 · 0–1 · 1–3 · 0–1 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Maccabi Tel Aviv	8	+16	20
2	Hapoel Tel Aviv	8	+13	19
3	Maccabi Haifa	7	+9	18
4	Hapoel Beer Sheva	7	+4	16
5	Beitar Jerusalem	7	+2	13
6	Bnei Sakhnin	8	0	11
7	Maccabi Netanya	8	+1	10
8	Maccabi Petah Tikva	8	−4	9
9	Hapoel Haifa	8	−4	9
10	Hapoel Katamon	8	−7	7
11	Hapoel Ramat Gan	8	−8	6
12	Hapoel Petah Tikva	7	−8	4
13	Ironi Kiryat Shmona	8	−10	3
14	Ironi Tiberias	8	−4	2