Maccabi Kiryat Gat v Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Maccabi Kiryat Gat win at 50%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Maccabi Kiryat Gat was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 50% now. 0–0 · 50–27–23
3. 1′KICK-OFF Maccabi Kiryat Gat v Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
4. 7′Maccabi Ahi Nazareth find the net on 7′. 0–0 · 49–28–23
5. 8′We said Maccabi Kiryat Gat at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 25%. 0–1 · 25–24–52
6. 8′⚽ GOAL · 7' Maccabi Kiryat Gat 0–1 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
7. 8′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 8' Maccabi Kiryat Gat win: 50% at kick-off, 25% now
8. 8′THE CALL SWINGS · 8' Maccabi Ahi Nazareth win is now our likeliest result at 52% (was Maccabi Kiryat Gat win 48%)
9. 9′We said Maccabi Kiryat Gat at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–24–52
10. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Maccabi Kiryat Gat win: 50% at kick-off, 20% now
11. 26′We said Maccabi Kiryat Gat at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–25–55
12. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.5 we expected. 0–1 · 18–26–56
13. 41′We said Maccabi Kiryat Gat at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–26–60
14. 45′HALF-TIME Maccabi Kiryat Gat 0–1 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
15. 45′SECOND HALF Maccabi Kiryat Gat 0–1 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
16. 50′Maccabi Ahi Nazareth ahead on 8′ through M. Sabah. 0–1. 0–1 · 13–26–61
17. 52′A goal for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth on 52′. 0–1 · 10–25–64
18. 52′We said Maccabi Kiryat Gat at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 2%. 0–2 · 2–8–90
19. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Maccabi Kiryat Gat win: 50% at kick-off, 10% now
20. 52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Maccabi Kiryat Gat 0–2 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
21. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Maccabi Kiryat Gat win: 50% at kick-off, under 1% now
22. 74′Maccabi Kiryat Gat score on 74′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 3–18–79
23. 74′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 3–18–79
24. 74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Maccabi Kiryat Gat 1–2 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
25. 89′A red card for Maccabi Kiryat Gat on 89′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 1–2 · 0–5–94
26. 89′🟥 RED CARD · 89' Maccabi Kiryat Gat
27. 90′Full time, 2–2. We called Maccabi Kiryat Gat at 50% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 2–2 · 0–100–0
28. 93′A goal for Maccabi Kiryat Gat on 90′. 1–2 · 0–2–97 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
29. 93′4 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 3–96–2
30. 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' Maccabi Kiryat Gat 2–2 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
31. 93′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+3' Draw is now our likeliest result at 96% (was Maccabi Ahi Nazareth win 97%)
32. FTFULL TIME Maccabi Kiryat Gat 2–2 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
33. FTMaccabi Kiryat Gat 2–2 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth · Maccabi Kiryat Gat win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.