Pitchside Lab
Model 1.1
Back

Home › Football › Liga Leumit › Maccabi Kiryat Gat v Kiryat Yam SC

Israel flag

Maccabi Kiryat Gat v Kiryat Yam SC

Maccabi Kiryat Gat
2–2Full time
Kiryat Yam SC

Liga Leumit · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 16:34
Maccabi Kiryat Gat 2–2 Kiryat Yam SC KIRYAT YAM SC WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Kiryat Yam SC win41%
The market said50%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.798
The market’s Brier score0.867

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Maccabi Kiryat Gat win32%
Draw27%
Kiryat Yam SC win41%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 14:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kiryat yam sc winPublished 9 Oct 14:02
41% The market50%
Us41%
Market50%

We make Kiryat Yam SC a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 50%. We are 9 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–1.4.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45%50%55% 9 OCT 06:199 OCT 11:07
Our probability · kiryat yam sc win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 51% to 50% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Maccabi Kiryat Gat win32%25%+7
Draw27%25%+2
Kiryat Yam SC win41%50%−9
Over 2.5 goals49%56%−6
Both teams to score54%57%−4
Over 1.5 goals75%77%−2
Over 3.5 goals28%36%−8
Maccabi Kiryat Gat or draw59%50%+9
Maccabi Kiryat Gat clean sheet25%––
Kiryat Yam SC clean sheet30%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.8%
0123450 8.0 9.3 7.1 3.4 1 8.0 12.8 8.5 4.1 2 5.4 7.4 5.2 2.5 3 2.2 3.1 2.2 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Maccabi Kiryat Gat down, Kiryat Yam SC across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Liga Leumit

MACCABI KIRYAT GAT

DDLWLL1–1 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 1–2

KIRYAT YAM SC

LWLWWW2–3 · 5–0 · 2–4 · 3–2 · 3–1 · 2–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Ashdod8+1221
2Bnei Yehuda8+1220
3Hapoel Rishon LeZion8+617
4Kiryat Yam SC8+1015
5Hapoel Ra'anana8+815
6Hapoel Afula8+414
7Hapoel Kfar Shalem8014
8Kafr Qasim8+413
9Maccabi Bnei Raina8012
10Maccabi Kiryat Gat8−28
11Ironi Modi'in8−38
12Maccabi Herzliya8−38
13Maccabi Ahi Nazareth8−47
14Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa8−106
15Hapoel Kfar Saba8−116
16Hapoel Acre8−230

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.