Home › Football › Liga Leumit › Maccabi Ahi Nazareth v Hapoel Kfar Saba
Back

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth v Hapoel Kfar Saba
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Hapoel Kfar SabaLiga Leumit · FRI 16 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Hapoel Kfar Saba win at 37%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Hapoel Kfar Saba 37% before kick-off, 38% now. 0–0 · 37–26–38
- 1′KICK-OFF Maccabi Ahi Nazareth v Hapoel Kfar Saba
- 36′A goal for Hapoel Kfar Saba on 36′. 0–0 · 32–35–33
- 37′We said Hapoel Kfar Saba at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 68%. 0–1 · 10–22–68
- 37′The goal count is tracking the 2.7 we expected. 0–1 · 10–22–68
- 37′⚽ GOAL · 36' Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 0–1 Hapoel Kfar Saba
- 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' Hapoel Kfar Saba win: 37% at kick-off, 68% now
- 41′38′: Y. Brosh on the scoresheet for Hapoel Kfar Saba, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 10–22–69
- 45′We said Hapoel Kfar Saba at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 0–1 · 9–22–70
- 45′HALF-TIME Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 0–1 Hapoel Kfar Saba
- 46′SECOND HALF Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 0–1 Hapoel Kfar Saba
- 60′We said Hapoel Kfar Saba at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 0–1 · 5–20–75
- 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 65' Hapoel Kfar Saba win: 37% at kick-off, 77% now
- 70′We said Hapoel Kfar Saba at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 0–1 · 3–17–80
- 77′We said Hapoel Kfar Saba at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 0–1 · 1–14–85
- 78′We said Hapoel Kfar Saba at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 0–2 · 0–1–99
- 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 0–2 Hapoel Kfar Saba
- 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Hapoel Kfar Saba win: 37% at kick-off, 99% now
- 79′Hapoel Kfar Saba find the net on 78′. 0–2. 0–2 · 0–1–99
- 82′Maccabi Ahi Nazareth are down to ten from 82′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–2 · 0–1–99
- 82′🟥 RED CARD · 82' Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
- 83′We said Hapoel Kfar Saba at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 0–2 · 0–0–100
- 84′A goal for Hapoel Kfar Saba on 83′ — 0–3. 0–3 · 0–0–100
- 84′3 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 0–3 · 0–0–100
- 84′⚽ GOAL · 83' Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 0–3 Hapoel Kfar Saba
- 87′Hapoel Kfar Saba find the net on 87′. 0–3 · 0–0–100
- 87′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 0–4 · 0–0–100
- 87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 0–4 Hapoel Kfar Saba
- FTFULL TIME Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 0–4 Hapoel Kfar Saba
- FTMaccabi Ahi Nazareth 0–4 Hapoel Kfar Saba · Hapoel Kfar Saba win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassClose to call, with Hapoel Kfar Saba just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 36%, draw 27%, Hapoel Kfar Saba 37%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 55%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth win36%
Hapoel Kfar Saba win37%Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 14:00
RoundMatchday 10
Match timeline
All events
Maccabi Ahi NazarethMIN
Hapoel Kfar SabaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Hapoel Kfar Saba
Last match: 9 Oct · Liga Leumit
Last match: 12 Oct · Liga Leumit
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Hapoel Kfar Saba a 37% chance to win. The market has them at 36%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.4–1.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 36% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Ahi Nazareth win | 36% | 37% | −1 |
| Draw | 27% | 28% | −1 |
| Hapoel Kfar Saba win | 37% | 36% | +1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 54% | −3 |
| Both teams to score | 55% | 59% | −4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 77% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 34% | −4 |
| Maccabi Ahi Nazareth or draw | 63% | 64% | −1 |
| Maccabi Ahi Nazareth clean sheet | 26% | – | – |
| Hapoel Kfar Saba clean sheet | 26% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Liga Leumit this season · since 6 Sept
MACCABI AHI NAZARETH
HAPOEL KFAR SABA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ashdod | 9 | +14 | 24 |
| 2 | Bnei Yehuda | 9 | +13 | 23 |
| 3 | Hapoel Rishon LeZion | 9 | +9 | 20 |
| 4 | Hapoel Afula | 9 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 9 | +1 | 17 |
| 6 | Kiryat Yam SC | 9 | +10 | 16 |
| 7 | Hapoel Ra'anana | 9 | +7 | 15 |
| 8 | Kafr Qasim | 9 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 | Maccabi Bnei Raina | 9 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | 9 | −3 | 10 |
| 11 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 9 | −2 | 9 |
| 12 | Ironi Modi'in | 9 | −4 | 8 |
| 13 | Maccabi Herzliya | 9 | −4 | 8 |
| 14 | Hapoel Kfar Saba | 9 | −13 | 6 |
| 15 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 9 | −13 | 6 |
| 16 | Hapoel Acre | 9 | −23 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Ashdod
Bnei Yehuda
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
Hapoel Afula
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Kiryat Yam SC
Hapoel Ra'anana
Kafr Qasim
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
Ironi Modi'in
Maccabi Herzliya
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Hapoel Acre