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Ironi Modi'in v Hapoel Afula

Ironi Modi'in
1–2Full time
Hapoel Afula

Liga Leumit · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 16:34
Ironi Modi'in 1–2 Hapoel Afula IRONI MODI'IN WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Ironi Modi'in win42%
The market said33%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.728
The market’s Brier score0.545

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Ironi Modi'in win42%
Draw28%
Hapoel Afula win31%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 14:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ironi modi'in winPublished 9 Oct 14:02
42% The market33%
Us42%
Market33%

We make Ironi Modi'in a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 33%. We are 9 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.2.

How the number movedSince we published
30%35%40%45% 9 OCT 06:199 OCT 11:07
Our probability · ironi modi'in win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 33% to 32% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Ironi Modi'in win42%33%+9
Draw28%28%0
Hapoel Afula win31%40%−9
Over 2.5 goals47%54%−6
Both teams to score52%58%−6
Over 1.5 goals73%76%−3
Over 3.5 goals26%33%−7
Ironi Modi'in or draw69%60%+9
Ironi Modi'in clean sheet31%––
Hapoel Afula clean sheet25%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.0%
0123450 8.6 8.3 5.3 2.1 1 10.0 13.0 7.2 2.8 2 7.5 8.5 5.0 3 3.5 4.0 2.4 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Ironi Modi'in down, Hapoel Afula across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025
Goals a meeting1.33
Over 2.51 of 3
Both scored1 of 3
Last meetingsHAP 0–0 IRO · HAP 0–0 IRO · IRO 3–1 HAP

Form · last six in Liga Leumit

IRONI MODI'IN

DDLLLW1–1 · 0–0 · 2–4 · 2–3 · 1–3 · 2–1

HAPOEL AFULA

WLLDWD3–2 · 0–1 · 2–4 · 3–3 · 3–0 · 2–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Ashdod8+1221
2Bnei Yehuda8+1220
3Hapoel Rishon LeZion8+617
4Kiryat Yam SC8+1015
5Hapoel Ra'anana8+815
6Hapoel Afula8+414
7Hapoel Kfar Shalem8014
8Kafr Qasim8+413
9Maccabi Bnei Raina8012
10Maccabi Kiryat Gat8−28
11Ironi Modi'in8−38
12Maccabi Herzliya8−38
13Maccabi Ahi Nazareth8−47
14Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa8−106
15Hapoel Kfar Saba8−116
16Hapoel Acre8−230

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.