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Hapoel Rishon LeZion v Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa

Hapoel Rishon LeZion
3–0Full time
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa

Liga Leumit · MON 12 OCT

Full timeGraded 12 Oct 19:31
Hapoel Rishon LeZion 3–0 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa HAPOEL RISHON LEZION WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Hapoel Rishon LeZion win43%
The market said60%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.483
The market’s Brier score0.245

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay7 notes · 46 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Hapoel Rishon LeZion win at 43%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Hapoel Rishon LeZion was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 44% now. 0–0 · 44–23–33
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Hapoel Rishon LeZion v Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
  4. 4′⚽ GOAL · 5' Hapoel Rishon LeZion 0–0 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
  5. 5′Hapoel Rishon LeZion find the net on 5′. 0–0. 0–0 · 44–24–33
  6. 5′⚽ GOAL · 5' Hapoel Rishon LeZion 1–0 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
  7. 7′We published Hapoel Rishon LeZion at 43%. Our model now makes it 68%. 1–0 · 68–18–14
  8. 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 7' Hapoel Rishon LeZion win: 43% at kick-off, 68% now
  9. 8′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 8' Hapoel Rishon LeZion win: 43% at kick-off, 68% now
  10. 9′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 9' Hapoel Rishon LeZion win: 43% at kick-off, 68% now
  11. 10′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 10' Hapoel Rishon LeZion win: 43% at kick-off, 68% now
  12. 11′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 11' Hapoel Rishon LeZion win: 43% at kick-off, 68% now
  13. 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 12' Hapoel Rishon LeZion win: 43% at kick-off, 68% now
  14. 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 13' Hapoel Rishon LeZion win: 43% at kick-off, 68% now
  15. 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 14' Hapoel Rishon LeZion win: 43% at kick-off, 68% now
  16. 15′Hapoel Rishon LeZion find the net on 5′. 1–0. 1–0 · 68–19–13
  17. 15′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 15' Hapoel Rishon LeZion win: 43% at kick-off, 68% now
  18. 16′Hapoel Rishon LeZion find the net on 5′. 1–0. 1–0 · 68–19–13
  19. 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 16' Hapoel Rishon LeZion win: 43% at kick-off, 68% now
  20. 18′We published Hapoel Rishon LeZion at 43%. Our model now makes it 68%. 1–0 · 68–19–13
  21. 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.2 we expected. 1–0 · 69–19–11
  22. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' Hapoel Rishon LeZion win: 43% at kick-off, 68% now
  23. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 34' Hapoel Rishon LeZion win: 43% at kick-off, 68% now
  24. 34′⚽ GOAL · 5' Hapoel Rishon LeZion 1–0 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
  25. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' Hapoel Rishon LeZion win: 43% at kick-off, 68% now
  26. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 36' Hapoel Rishon LeZion win: 43% at kick-off, 68% now
  27. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' Hapoel Rishon LeZion win: 43% at kick-off, 68% now
  28. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 38' Hapoel Rishon LeZion win: 43% at kick-off, 68% now
  29. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Hapoel Rishon LeZion win: 43% at kick-off, 68% now
  30. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 40' Hapoel Rishon LeZion win: 43% at kick-off, 68% now
  31. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Hapoel Rishon LeZion win: 43% at kick-off, 68% now
  32. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' Hapoel Rishon LeZion win: 43% at kick-off, 68% now
  33. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' Hapoel Rishon LeZion win: 43% at kick-off, 68% now
  34. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Hapoel Rishon LeZion win: 43% at kick-off, 68% now
  35. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Hapoel Rishon LeZion win: 43% at kick-off, 68% now
  36. 45′SECOND HALF Hapoel Rishon LeZion 1–0 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
  37. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 46' Hapoel Rishon LeZion win: 43% at kick-off, 68% now
  38. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 47' Hapoel Rishon LeZion win: 43% at kick-off, 68% now
  39. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 48' Hapoel Rishon LeZion win: 43% at kick-off, 68% now
  40. 48′SECOND HALF Hapoel Rishon LeZion 1–0 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
  41. 49′SECOND HALF Hapoel Rishon LeZion 1–0 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
  42. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' Hapoel Rishon LeZion win: 43% at kick-off, 68% now
  43. 50′SECOND HALF Hapoel Rishon LeZion 1–0 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
  44. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Hapoel Rishon LeZion win: 43% at kick-off, 68% now
  45. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Hapoel Rishon LeZion win: 43% at kick-off, 68% now
  46. 54′⚽ GOAL · 55' Hapoel Rishon LeZion 2–0 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
  47. 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Hapoel Rishon LeZion 2–0 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
  48. 62′🟥 RED CARD · 63' Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
  49. 63′🟥 RED CARD · 63' Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
  50. 82′⚽ GOAL · 83' Hapoel Rishon LeZion 2–0 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
  51. 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Hapoel Rishon LeZion 3–0 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa · E. Henty
  52. 93′🟥 RED CARD · 93' Hapoel Rishon LeZion
  53. 93′🟥 RED CARD · 94' Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
  54. FTFULL TIME Hapoel Rishon LeZion 3–0 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
  55. FTHapoel Rishon LeZion 3–0 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa · Hapoel Rishon LeZion win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with a pass — 7 days or 30 days.

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Pre-match prediction

Published 12 Oct 17:02 · locked at kick-off

Hapoel Rishon LeZion win43%
Draw24%
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa win32%

Kick-offMON 12 OCT · 17:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Hapoel Rishon LeZion

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa

11Days since last match11
1Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
3Hapoel Rishon LeZion8+617
14Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa8−106

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hapoel rishon lezion winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 11 Oct 04:03 · locked at kick-off
43% The market60%
Us43%
Market60%

We make Hapoel Rishon LeZion a 43% chance to win. The market has them at 60%. We are 16 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.5.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50%55%60%65% 9 OCT 06:1912 OCT 14:07
Our probability · hapoel rishon lezion win The market, margin stripped

Published at 44%, 43% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 60% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Hapoel Rishon LeZion win43%60%−16
Draw24%22%+2
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa win32%19%+14
Over 2.5 goals62%61%+1
Both teams to score63%58%+5
Over 1.5 goals83%81%+2
Over 3.5 goals40%41%−1
Hapoel Rishon LeZion or draw68%81%−14
Hapoel Rishon LeZion clean sheet23%––
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa clean sheet18%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.8%
0123450 4.8 5.4 4.4 2.2 1 6.4 10.8 7.4 3.7 2 6.0 8.7 6.4 3.2 3 3.5 5.1 3.7 4 2.3 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Hapoel Rishon LeZion down, Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022
Goals a meeting2.62
Over 2.53 of 8
Both scored5 of 8
Last meetingsMAC 1–1 HAP · HAP 4–1 MAC · HAP 1–1 MAC · MAC 2–0 HAP

Form · last six in Liga Leumit

HAPOEL RISHON LEZION

WDWLWD2–1 · 0–0 · 4–2 · 2–3 · 1–0 · 2–2

MACCABI KABILIO JAFFA

LWLLLW1–2 · 1–0 · 1–3 · 0–2 · 1–3 · 1–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Bnei Yehuda9+1323
2Ashdod8+1221
3Hapoel Rishon LeZion8+617
4Hapoel Afula9+517
5Kiryat Yam SC9+1016
6Hapoel Ra'anana8+815
7Hapoel Kfar Shalem8014
8Kafr Qasim9+313
9Maccabi Bnei Raina9013
10Maccabi Ahi Nazareth9−310
11Maccabi Kiryat Gat9−29
12Ironi Modi'in9−48
13Maccabi Herzliya9−48
14Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa8−106
15Hapoel Kfar Saba8−116
16Hapoel Acre9−231

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.