Hapoel Acre v Hapoel Rishon LeZion prediction · Liga Leumit

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Hapoel AcreDrawHapoel Rishon LeZion

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Hapoel Rishon LeZion 48%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Hapoel Rishon LeZion are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Hapoel Acre 25%, draw 27%, Hapoel Rishon LeZion 48%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 51%.

The AI’s read on Hapoel Acre v Hapoel Rishon LeZionBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Hapoel Acre win25%

Draw27%

Hapoel Rishon LeZion win48%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Hapoel Acre

Hapoel Rishon LeZion

7Days since last match7

Last match: 23 Oct · Liga Leumit

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Hapoel Rishon LeZion	11	+6	21
16	Hapoel Acre	11	−28	1

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hapoel rishon lezion winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Hapoel Rishon LeZion a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Hapoel Acre v Hapoel Rishon LeZion~~1.04 – 1.55

~~Form · last six in Liga Leumit this season · since 17 Sept~~W0 D1 L5 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 1 v 21~~16 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hapoel Acre win	25%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Hapoel Rishon LeZion win	48%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	48%	–	–
Both teams to score	51%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	73%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	26%	–	–
Hapoel Acre or draw	52%	–	–
Hapoel Acre clean sheet	22%	–	–
Hapoel Rishon LeZion clean sheet	36%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.7%

0123450 8.6 10.9 8.9 4.6 1 7.2 12.7 9.1 4.7 2 4.2 6.2 4.7 2.5 3 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hapoel Acre down, Hapoel Rishon LeZion across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,572 Liga Leumit matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga Leumit matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.0% of games this season, across 88 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.80 goals a meeting; 5 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Hapoel Acre at home: 0.00 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). Hapoel Rishon LeZion away: 1.33 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.04 goals for Hapoel Acre, 1.55 for Hapoel Rishon LeZion. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.80

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 10

~~Both scored~~7 of 10

~~Last meetings~~RIS 3–1 ACR · ACR 1–1 RIS · ACR 1–2 RIS · RIS 0–1 ACR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga Leumit this season · since 17 Sept

HAPOEL ACRE

LLLDLL0–1 · 0–3 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 0–4 · 0–1

HAPOEL RISHON LEZION

LWDWDL2–3 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 3–0 · 1–1 · 0–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ashdod	11	+15	28
2	Bnei Yehuda	11	+17	27
3	Hapoel Kfar Shalem	11	+8	23
4	Hapoel Rishon LeZion	11	+6	21
5	Hapoel Ra'anana	11	+8	19
6	Kiryat Yam SC	11	+7	19
7	Hapoel Afula	11	+3	18
8	Maccabi Bnei Raina	11	+6	17
9	Kafr Qasim	11	+1	13
10	Hapoel Kfar Saba	11	−7	12
11	Maccabi Kiryat Gat	11	−2	11
12	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	11	−7	11
13	Ironi Modi'in	11	−8	11
14	Maccabi Herzliya	11	−5	9
15	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa	11	−14	9
16	Hapoel Acre	11	−28	1