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Bnei Yehuda v Kiryat Yam SC
Bnei Yehuda
Kiryat Yam SCLiga Leumit · FRI 23 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Bnei Yehuda win at 40%.
- 1′KICK-OFF Bnei Yehuda v Kiryat Yam SC
- 2′Little has changed for our model: Bnei Yehuda 40% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 40–27–33
- 16′A goal for Bnei Yehuda on 16′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 68–19–13
- 16′⚽ GOAL · 16' Bnei Yehuda 1–0 Kiryat Yam SC
- 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 16' Bnei Yehuda win: 40% at kick-off, 68% now
- 17′We said Bnei Yehuda at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 68%. 1–0 · 68–19–13
- 21′Bnei Yehuda find the net on 21′. 1–0 · 68–19–12
- 23′We said Bnei Yehuda at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 88%. 2–0 · 88–9–4
- 23′⚽ GOAL · 21' Bnei Yehuda 2–0 Kiryat Yam SC
- 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Bnei Yehuda win: 40% at kick-off, 88% now
- 33′We said Bnei Yehuda at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–0 · 90–8–3
- 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' Bnei Yehuda win: 40% at kick-off, 90% now
- 43′A goal for Kiryat Yam SC on 43′. 2–0 · 91–7–2
- 43′We said Bnei Yehuda at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 71%. 2–1 · 71–20–9
- 43′⚽ GOAL · 43' Bnei Yehuda 2–1 Kiryat Yam SC
- 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Bnei Yehuda win: 40% at kick-off, 71% now
- 44′3 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 71–20–8
- 45′HALF-TIME Bnei Yehuda 2–1 Kiryat Yam SC
- 45′SECOND HALF Bnei Yehuda 2–1 Kiryat Yam SC
- 54′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 94–5–1
- 54′A goal for Bnei Yehuda on 54′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 94–5–1
- 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Bnei Yehuda 3–1 Kiryat Yam SC
- 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' Bnei Yehuda win: 40% at kick-off, 94% now
- 57′Bnei Yehuda score on 57′ to make it 4–1. 4–1 · 99–1–0
- 57′⚽ GOAL · 57' Bnei Yehuda 4–1 Kiryat Yam SC
- 58′We said Bnei Yehuda at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 4–1 · 99–1–0
- 59′5 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 4–1 · 99–1–0
- 65′We said Bnei Yehuda at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 65' Bnei Yehuda win: 40% at kick-off, over 99% now
- 90′Bnei Yehuda find the net on 90′. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 90′That is 6, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 5–1 · 100–0–0
- 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Bnei Yehuda 5–1 Kiryat Yam SC
- 91′A goal for Bnei Yehuda on 90′. 5–1 · 100–0–0
- 93′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90+3' Bnei Yehuda
- FTFULL TIME Bnei Yehuda 5–1 Kiryat Yam SC
- FTBnei Yehuda 5–1 Kiryat Yam SC · Bnei Yehuda win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Bnei Yehuda are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Bnei Yehuda 40%, draw 27%, Kiryat Yam SC 33%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
Bnei Yehuda win40%
Kiryat Yam SC win33%Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 14:00
RoundMatchday 11
Match timeline
All events
Bnei YehudaMIN
Kiryat Yam SCEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Bnei Yehuda
Kiryat Yam SC
Last match: 19 Oct · Liga Leumit
Last match: 16 Oct · Liga Leumit
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Bnei Yehuda a 40% chance to win. The market has them at 54%. We are 14 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 54% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bnei Yehuda win | 40% | 54% | −14 |
| Draw | 27% | 24% | +3 |
| Kiryat Yam SC win | 33% | 22% | +11 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 60% | −6 |
| Both teams to score | 58% | 60% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 80% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 40% | −8 |
| Bnei Yehuda or draw | 67% | 78% | −11 |
| Bnei Yehuda clean sheet | 27% | – | – |
| Kiryat Yam SC clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
3 meetings since 2023/24Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Liga Leumit this season · since 10 Sept
BNEI YEHUDA
KIRYAT YAM SC
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ashdod | 10 | +14 | 25 |
| 2 | Bnei Yehuda | 10 | +13 | 24 |
| 3 | Hapoel Rishon LeZion | 10 | +9 | 21 |
| 4 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 10 | +5 | 20 |
| 5 | Kiryat Yam SC | 10 | +11 | 19 |
| 6 | Hapoel Afula | 10 | +5 | 18 |
| 7 | Hapoel Ra'anana | 10 | +7 | 16 |
| 8 | Maccabi Bnei Raina | 10 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Kafr Qasim | 10 | +2 | 13 |
| 10 | Ironi Modi'in | 10 | −2 | 11 |
| 11 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 10 | −2 | 10 |
| 12 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | 10 | −7 | 10 |
| 13 | Maccabi Herzliya | 10 | −4 | 9 |
| 14 | Hapoel Kfar Saba | 10 | −9 | 9 |
| 15 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 10 | −15 | 6 |
| 16 | Hapoel Acre | 10 | −27 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Ashdod
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Hapoel Afula
Hapoel Ra'anana
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Kafr Qasim
Ironi Modi'in
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Maccabi Herzliya
Hapoel Kfar Saba
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Hapoel Acre