Ashdod v Maccabi Kiryat Gat

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Ashdod win at 52%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Ashdod was 52% before kick-off and our model makes it 52% now. 0–0 · 52–24–24
3. 1′KICK-OFF Ashdod v Maccabi Kiryat Gat
4. 37′PENALTY MISSED · 37' Maccabi Kiryat Gat
5. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Ashdod win: 52% at kick-off, 42% now
6. 45′HALF-TIME Ashdod 0–0 Maccabi Kiryat Gat
7. 45′SECOND HALF Ashdod 0–0 Maccabi Kiryat Gat
8. 46′We said Ashdod at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 40%. 0–0 · 40–38–22
9. 49′We said Ashdod at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–40–21
10. 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Ashdod win 37%)
11. 55′We expected about 2.8 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 36–44–20
12. 59′We said Ashdod at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–47–19
13. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Ashdod win: 52% at kick-off, 32% now
14. 66′We said Ashdod at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–54–17
15. 72′We said Ashdod at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–61–14
16. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Ashdod win: 52% at kick-off, 22% now
17. 77′We said Ashdod at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–69–12
18. 81′We said Ashdod at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–77–9
19. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Ashdod win: 52% at kick-off, 12% now
20. 85′We said Ashdod at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–85–6
21. 90′Full time, 0–0. We called Ashdod at 52% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 0–0 · 0–100–0
22. 92′We said Ashdod at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–94–2
23. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+4' Ashdod win: 52% at kick-off, 2% now
24. FTFULL TIME Ashdod 0–0 Maccabi Kiryat Gat
25. FTAshdod 0–0 Maccabi Kiryat Gat · Ashdod win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.