Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed v Ironi Nesher
Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedIroni NesherLiga Alef · FRI 23 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Ironi Nesher win at 58%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Ironi Nesher was 58% before kick-off and our model makes it 58% now. 0–0 · 19–23–58
- 1′KICK-OFF Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed v Ironi Nesher
- 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Ironi Nesher win: 58% at kick-off, 48% now
- 45′We said Ironi Nesher at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 46%. 0–0 · 19–35–46
- 49′We said Ironi Nesher at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 18–37–44
- 55′We expected about 3.1 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 17–41–41
- 58′We said Ironi Nesher at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 17–44–39
- 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+13' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Ironi Nesher win 42%)
- 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+15' Ironi Nesher win: 58% at kick-off, 38% now
- 65′We said Ironi Nesher at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 15–50–34
- FTFULL TIME Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 1–2 Ironi Nesher
- FTMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 1–2 Ironi Nesher · Ironi Nesher win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Ironi Nesher are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 19%, draw 23%, Ironi Nesher 58%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 54%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed win19%Ironi Nesher win58%Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 12:00
RoundNorth · matchday 8
Match timeline
All events
Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedMINIroni NesherEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
Ironi Nesher
Last match: 19 Oct · Liga Alef
Last match: 16 Oct · Liga Alef
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ironi Nesher | 7 | +17 | 16 |
| 25 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | 7 | −3 | 7 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Ironi Nesher a 58% chance to win. The market has them at 61%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.0–2.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 59%, 58% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 61% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed win | 19% | 16% | +3 |
| Draw | 23% | 23% | 0 |
| Ironi Nesher win | 58% | 61% | −3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 53% | +5 |
| Both teams to score | 54% | 50% | +4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 75% | +5 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 31% | +5 |
| Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed or draw | 42% | 39% | +3 |
| Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed clean sheet | 15% | – | – |
| Ironi Nesher clean sheet | 37% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
6 meetings since 2022/23Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Liga Alef this season · since 9 Sept
MACCABI NUJEIDAT AHMED
IRONI NESHER
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tira | 8 | +10 | 20 |
| 2 | Ironi Nesher | 7 | +17 | 16 |
| 3 |  Beitar Nahariya | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 4 |  Shimshon Tel Aviv | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |  Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | 7 | +9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Dimona | 6 | +4 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hapoel Ramat HaSharon | 7 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | 7 | +6 | 13 |
| 9 |  Holon Yermiyahu | 7 | +5 | 13 |
| 10 |  Hapoel Herzliya | 8 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 |  Hapoel Hadera | 7 | +5 | 12 |
| 12 |  FC Jerusalem | 7 | +2 | 11 |
| 13 |  Hapoel Nazareth Illit | 6 | +2 | 11 |
| 14 |  Hapoel Azor | 7 | +2 | 11 |
| 15 |  Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 16 |  Maccabi Yavne | 7 | +4 | 9 |
| 17 |  Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 6 | +2 | 9 |
| 18 |  Hapoel Beit Shean | 5 | +4 | 8 |
| 19 |  Hapoel Marmorek | 7 | +1 | 8 |
| 20 |  Ironi Baka El Garbiya | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 21 |  Hapoel Sderot | 7 | −1 | 8 |
| 22 |  Ironi Beit Shemesh | 7 | −6 | 8 |
| 23 |  Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 24 |  Maccabi Ashdod | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 25 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | 7 | −3 | 7 |
| 26 |  Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | 7 | −2 | 6 |
| 27 |  Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt | 7 | −4 | 6 |
| 28 |  Maccabi Neve Sha'anan | 7 | −4 | 6 |
| 29 |  Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 7 | −4 | 6 |
| 30 |  Tzeirey Tamra | 7 | −10 | 6 |
| 31 |  Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 7 | −11 | 5 |
| 32 |  Kfar Saba 1928 | 7 | −4 | 4 |
| 33 |  Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | 8 | −11 | 4 |
| 34 |  Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | 4 | −4 | 3 |
| 35 |  Tzeirey Tira | 7 | −12 | 0 |
| 36 |  Nordia Jerusalem | 7 | −19 | 0 |
Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.