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Maccabi Ashdod v Hapoel Ramat HaSharon

Maccabi Ashdod

13:00Upcoming

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon

Liga Alef · FRI 30 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Maccabi AshdodDrawHapoel Ramat HaSharon

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Maccabi Ashdod 45%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Maccabi Ashdod are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Maccabi Ashdod 45%, draw 27%, Hapoel Ramat HaSharon 28%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Maccabi Ashdod v Hapoel Ramat HaSharonBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Maccabi Ashdod win45%

Draw27%

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon win28%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 13:00

RoundSouth · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Maccabi Ashdod

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon

6Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · Liga Alef

Last match: 23 Oct · Liga Alef

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Hapoel Ramat HaSharon	8	+2	15
20	Maccabi Ashdod	8	+2	10

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · maccabi ashdod winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · updated 25 Oct 00:19 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Maccabi Ashdod a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Maccabi Ashdod v Hapoel Ramat HaSharon~~1.51 – 1.13

~~Form · last six in Liga Alef this season · since 18 Sept~~W2 D3 L1 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 10 v 15~~20 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Maccabi Ashdod win

Published at 43%, 45% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Maccabi Ashdod win	45%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon win	28%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	49%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	74%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	28%	–	–
Maccabi Ashdod or draw	72%	–	–
Maccabi Ashdod clean sheet	33%	–	–
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.7%

0123450 8.8 7.2 4.6 1 9.9 12.7 6.6 2.6 2 8.0 8.7 4.9 3 4.1 4.4 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Maccabi Ashdod down, Hapoel Ramat HaSharon across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,485 Liga Alef matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga Alef matches have gone over 2.5 in 52.6% of games this season, across 137 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Maccabi Ashdod at home: 1.00 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Hapoel Ramat HaSharon away: 1.17 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.51 goals for Maccabi Ashdod, 1.13 for Hapoel Ramat HaSharon. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~HAP 2–3 MAC · MAC 0–1 HAP

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga Alef this season · since 18 Sept

MACCABI ASHDOD

DDWDLW2–2 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 3–1

HAPOEL RAMAT HASHARON

WWWDWL1–0 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tira	8	+10	20
2	Ironi Nesher	8	+18	19
3	Shimshon Tel Aviv	8	+11	19
4	Dimona	7	+6	18
5	Holon Yermiyahu	8	+8	16
6	Beitar Nahariya	8	+6	16
7	Maccabi Kiryat Malachi	8	+8	15
8	Hapoel Hadera	8	+6	15
9	Hapoel Ramat HaSharon	8	+2	15
10	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	8	+6	14
11	Hapoel Herzliya	8	0	13
12	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	7	+3	12
13	Hapoel Nazareth Illit	7	+2	12
14	Hapoel Beit Shean	6	+6	11
15	Hapoel Sderot	8	+4	11
16	Hapoel Azor	7	+2	11
17	Ironi Beit Shemesh	8	−1	11
18	FC Jerusalem	8	−3	11
19	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	7	+2	10
20	Maccabi Ashdod	8	+2	10
21	Maccabi K. Ata Bialik	8	0	10
22	Maccabi Yavne	7	+4	9
23	Maccabi Neve Sha'anan	8	0	9
24	Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt	8	−2	9
25	Hapoel Marmorek	7	+1	8
26	Ironi Baka El Garbiya	8	−1	8
27	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	8	−4	7
28	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	8	−6	6
29	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	8	−7	6
30	Tzeirey Tamra	7	−10	6
31	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	8	−15	5
32	Kfar Saba 1928	8	−6	4
33	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	8	−11	4
34	Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm	4	−4	3
35	Tzeirey Tira	8	−15	0
36	Nordia Jerusalem	8	−22	0