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Kfar Saba 1928 v Hapoel Ramat HaSharon

Kfar Saba 1928

0–1Full time

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon

Liga Alef · MON 19 OCT

Full timeGraded 19 Oct 20:00

Kfar Saba 1928 0–1 Hapoel Ramat HaSharon KFAR SABA 1928 WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Kfar Saba 1928 win~~39%

~~The market said~~25%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.671

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.390

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 10 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Kfar Saba 1928 win at 39%.
1′Much as we predicted: Kfar Saba 1928 was 39% before kick-off and our model makes it 39% now. 0–0 · 39–28–33
1′KICK-OFF Kfar Saba 1928 v Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
40′THE CALL SWINGS · 40' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Kfar Saba 1928 win 35%)
45′HALF-TIME Kfar Saba 1928 0–0 Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
46′SECOND HALF Kfar Saba 1928 0–0 Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Kfar Saba 1928 win: 39% at kick-off, 29% now
55′We expected about 2.7 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 28–46–25
58′We said Kfar Saba 1928 at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 27%. 0–0 · 27–48–24
64′We said Kfar Saba 1928 at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–54–22
72′We said Kfar Saba 1928 at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–63–18
72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Kfar Saba 1928 win: 39% at kick-off, 19% now
78′We said Kfar Saba 1928 at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–72–13
83′We said Kfar Saba 1928 at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–82–8
83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Kfar Saba 1928 win: 39% at kick-off, 9% now
87′Hapoel Ramat HaSharon find the net on 87′. 0–1. 0–1 · 0–6–94
87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Kfar Saba 1928 0–1 Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
87′THE CALL SWINGS · 87' Hapoel Ramat HaSharon win is now our likeliest result at 94% (was Draw 88%)
88′We said Kfar Saba 1928 at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at under 1%. 0–1 · 0–5–94
FTFULL TIME Kfar Saba 1928 0–1 Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
FTKfar Saba 1928 0–1 Hapoel Ramat HaSharon · Kfar Saba 1928 win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Kfar Saba 1928 are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Kfar Saba 1928 39%, draw 28%, Hapoel Ramat HaSharon 33%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Kfar Saba 1928 v Hapoel Ramat HaSharonBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 13 Oct 05:25 · locked at kick-off

Kfar Saba 1928 win39%

Draw28%

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon win33%

Kick-offMON 19 OCT · 17:00

RoundSouth · matchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kfar Saba 1928

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon

6Days since last match7

Last match: 13 Oct · State Cup

Last match: 12 Oct · State Cup

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Hapoel Ramat HaSharon	6	+3	12
30	Kfar Saba 1928	6	−3	4

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kfar saba 1928 winFirst published 13 Oct 05:25 · locked at kick-off

39% The market25%

Us39%

~~Market~~25%

We make Kfar Saba 1928 a 39% chance to win. The market has them at 25%. We are 14 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.3.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Kfar Saba 1928 v Hapoel Ramat HaSharon~~1.39 – 1.27

~~Form · Liga Alef this season · since 4 Sept~~W1 D1 L4 · W3 D3 L0

~~Table places · points 4 v 12~~30 v 9

~~The market · Kfar Saba 1928 win~~25% · ours 39%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Kfar Saba 1928 win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 25% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kfar Saba 1928 win	39%	25%	+14
Draw	28%	26%	+2
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon win	33%	49%	−16
Over 2.5 goals	49%	53%	−4
Both teams to score	53%	56%	−3
Over 1.5 goals	75%	76%	−1
Over 3.5 goals	28%	33%	−5
Kfar Saba 1928 or draw	67%	51%	+16
Kfar Saba 1928 clean sheet	29%	–	–
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.9%

0123450 8.7 8.0 5.7 2.5 1 8.8 12.9 7.4 3.2 2 6.8 8.1 5.1 2.2 3 3.2 3.9 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Kfar Saba 1928 down, Hapoel Ramat HaSharon across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,457 Liga Alef matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga Alef matches have gone over 2.5 in 47.7% of games this season, across 109 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 6.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Kfar Saba 1928 at home: 1.33 scored, 2.33 conceded a game (last 6). Hapoel Ramat HaSharon away: 1.33 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.39 goals for Kfar Saba 1928, 1.27 for Hapoel Ramat HaSharon. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~6.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~KFA 5–1 HAP

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Liga Alef this season · since 4 Sept

KFAR SABA 1928

LWLLDL1–2 · 4–1 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 2–2 · 0–3

HAPOEL RAMAT HASHARON

DDWWWD0–0 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tira	7	+8	17
2	Ironi Nesher	7	+17	16
3	Shimshon Tel Aviv	7	+8	16
4	Maccabi Kiryat Malachi	7	+9	15
5	Dimona	6	+4	15
6	Beitar Nahariya	6	+4	13
7	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	6	+6	12
8	Hapoel Herzliya	6	+4	12
9	Hapoel Ramat HaSharon	6	+3	12
10	FC Jerusalem	6	+4	11
11	Hapoel Nazareth Illit	6	+2	11
12	Holon Yermiyahu	6	+3	10
13	Maccabi K. Ata Bialik	7	+2	10
14	Maccabi Yavne	6	+6	9
15	Hapoel Hadera	6	+4	9
16	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	5	+2	8
17	Ironi Baka El Garbiya	7	0	8
18	Hapoel Azor	6	−2	8
19	Ironi Beit Shemesh	7	−6	8
20	Hapoel Beit Shean	4	+4	7
21	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	6	0	7
22	Maccabi Ashdod	7	0	7
23	Hapoel Sderot	6	−1	7
24	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	7	−3	7
25	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	6	−3	6
26	Maccabi Neve Sha'anan	7	−4	6
27	Tzeirey Tamra	7	−10	6
28	Hapoel Marmorek	6	−2	5
29	Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt	6	−4	5
30	Kfar Saba 1928	6	−3	4
31	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	6	−5	4
32	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	6	−4	3
33	Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm	4	−4	3
34	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	6	−12	2
35	Tzeirey Tira	6	−11	0
36	Nordia Jerusalem	6	−16	0