Add to your Home ScreenGet the appFree · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.1

Home › Football › Liga Alef › Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel v Hapoel Beit Shean

Back
Israel flag

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel v Hapoel Beit Shean

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
0–4Full time
Hapoel Beit Shean

Liga Alef · MON 12 OCT

Full timeGraded 12 Oct 21:52
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 0–4 Hapoel Beit Shean HAPOEL BEIT SHEAN WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Hapoel Beit Shean win46%
The market said40%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.432
The market’s Brier score0.540

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay6 notes · 34 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Hapoel Beit Shean win at 46%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Hapoel Beit Shean 46% before kick-off, 48% now. 0–0 · 25–27–48
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel v Hapoel Beit Shean
  4. 4′⚽ GOAL · 4' Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 0–1 Hapoel Beit Shean
  5. 5′Hapoel Beit Shean find the net on 4′. 0–1. 0–1 · 9–17–75
  6. 6′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 6' Hapoel Beit Shean win: 46% at kick-off, 75% now
  7. 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 7' Hapoel Beit Shean win: 46% at kick-off, 75% now
  8. 8′We said Hapoel Beit Shean at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 0–1 · 8–17–75
  9. 8′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 8' Hapoel Beit Shean win: 46% at kick-off, 75% now
  10. 9′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 9' Hapoel Beit Shean win: 46% at kick-off, 75% now
  11. 10′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 10' Hapoel Beit Shean win: 46% at kick-off, 75% now
  12. 11′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 11' Hapoel Beit Shean win: 46% at kick-off, 75% now
  13. 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 12' Hapoel Beit Shean win: 46% at kick-off, 75% now
  14. 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 13' Hapoel Beit Shean win: 46% at kick-off, 75% now
  15. 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 14' Hapoel Beit Shean win: 46% at kick-off, 75% now
  16. 15′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 15' Hapoel Beit Shean win: 46% at kick-off, 75% now
  17. 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 16' Hapoel Beit Shean win: 46% at kick-off, 75% now
  18. 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 17' Hapoel Beit Shean win: 46% at kick-off, 75% now
  19. 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 18' Hapoel Beit Shean win: 46% at kick-off, 75% now
  20. 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' Hapoel Beit Shean win: 46% at kick-off, 75% now
  21. 20′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 20' Hapoel Beit Shean win: 46% at kick-off, 75% now
  22. 20′⚽ GOAL · 20' Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 0–2 Hapoel Beit Shean
  23. 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 21' Hapoel Beit Shean win: 46% at kick-off, 75% now
  24. 22′A goal for Hapoel Beit Shean on 20′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 2–6–93
  25. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Hapoel Beit Shean win: 46% at kick-off, 75% now
  26. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Hapoel Beit Shean win: 46% at kick-off, 93% now
  27. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Hapoel Beit Shean win: 46% at kick-off, 93% now
  28. 24′A goal for Hapoel Beit Shean on 20′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 1–6–93
  29. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' Hapoel Beit Shean win: 46% at kick-off, 93% now
  30. 26′We said Hapoel Beit Shean at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 93%. 0–2 · 1–5–93
  31. 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 29' Hapoel Beit Shean win: 46% at kick-off, 93% now
  32. 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 30' Hapoel Beit Shean win: 46% at kick-off, 93% now
  33. 44′⚽ GOAL · 44' Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 0–3 Hapoel Beit Shean
  34. 45′HALF-TIME Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 0–3 Hapoel Beit Shean
  35. 46′SECOND HALF Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 0–3 Hapoel Beit Shean
  36. 53′⚽ GOAL · 4' Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 0–3 Hapoel Beit Shean · E. Berkman
  37. 53′⚽ GOAL · 20' Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 0–3 Hapoel Beit Shean · R. Tahaish
  38. 53′⚽ GOAL · 44' Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 0–3 Hapoel Beit Shean · R. Tahaish
  39. 81′PENALTY MISSED · 81' Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
  40. 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 0–4 Hapoel Beit Shean
  41. FTFULL TIME Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 0–4 Hapoel Beit Shean
  42. FTHapoel Tirat HaCarmel 0–4 Hapoel Beit Shean · Hapoel Beit Shean win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with a pass — 7 days or 30 days.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

Get a pass ›

Pre-match prediction

Published 12 Oct 18:50 · locked at kick-off

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel win25%
Draw29%
Hapoel Beit Shean win46%

Kick-offMON 12 OCT · 19:15

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel

Hapoel Beit Shean

4Days since last match12
2Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
28Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel5−14
31Hapoel Beit Shean203

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hapoel beit shean winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 12 Oct 18:50 · locked at kick-off
46% The market40%
Us46%
Market40%

We make Hapoel Beit Shean a 46% chance to win. The market has them at 40%. We are 6 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.0–1.4.

How the number movedSince we published
30%35%40%45%50% 9 OCT 06:1912 OCT 18:56
Our probability · hapoel beit shean win The market, margin stripped

Published at 47%, 46% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 40% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel win25%32%−7
Draw29%28%+1
Hapoel Beit Shean win46%40%+6
Over 2.5 goals43%48%−5
Both teams to score47%53%−6
Over 1.5 goals69%72%−2
Over 3.5 goals23%27%−4
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel or draw54%60%−6
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel clean sheet25%––
Hapoel Beit Shean clean sheet39%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.9%
0123450 11.0 11.9 9.1 4.5 1 7.7 12.9 8.4 4.1 2 4.3 5.8 4.1 2.0 3 2.0 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel down, Hapoel Beit Shean across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored0 of 2
Last meetingsHAP 0–1 HAP · HAP 0–3 HAP

Form · last six in Liga Alef

HAPOEL TIRAT HACARMEL

LLWLDL0–1 · 0–1 · 4–1 · 1–3 · 0–0 · 0–1

HAPOEL BEIT SHEAN

WWWDLW1–0 · 3–2 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Dimona6+415
2Maccabi Kiryat Malachi6+914
3Tira6+714
4Ironi Nesher6+1313
5Shimshon Tel Aviv6+713
6Beitar Nahariya6+413
7Hapoel Ironi Karmiel6+612
8Hapoel Herzliya6+412
9Hapoel Ramat HaSharon6+312
10FC Jerusalem6+411
11Maccabi K. Ata Bialik6+610
12Holon Yermiyahu6+310
13Hapoel Nazareth Illit5+210
14Maccabi Yavne6+69
15Hapoel Hadera6+49
16Hapoel Migdal HaEmek5+28
17Hapoel Azor6−28
18Hapoel Umm al-Fahm5+17
19Maccabi Ashdod6+17
20Hapoel Sderot6−17
21Ironi Beit Shemesh6−67
22Maccabi Neve Sha'anan6−36
23Hapoel Bnei Musmus6−36
24Tzeirey Tamra6−86
25Ironi Baka El Garbiya6−25
26Hapoel Marmorek6−25
27Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt6−45
28Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel5−14
29Kfar Saba 19286−34
30Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed6−44
31Hapoel Beit Shean203
32Hapoel Mahane Yehuda6−43
33Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm4−43
34Hapoel Ironi Arraba6−122
35Tzeirey Tira6−110
36Nordia Jerusalem6−160

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.