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Hapoel Ramat HaSharon v Dimona

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon

0–2Full time

Dimona

Liga Alef · FRI 23 OCT

Full timeGraded 23 Oct 14:26

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon 0–2 Dimona DIMONA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Dimona win~~42%

~~The market said~~33%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.497

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.676

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 13 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Dimona win at 42%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Dimona 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 30–28–42
1′KICK-OFF Hapoel Ramat HaSharon v Dimona
30′Hapoel Ramat HaSharon are down to ten from 30′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–0 · 28–34–38
30′🟥 RED CARD · 30' Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Dimona win 37%)
45′HALF-TIME Hapoel Ramat HaSharon 0–0 Dimona
46′SECOND HALF Hapoel Ramat HaSharon 0–0 Dimona
51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Dimona win: 42% at kick-off, 32% now
55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.7 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 24–46–31
56′We said Dimona at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 30%. 0–0 · 23–46–30
58′We said Dimona at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 23–48–29
67′We said Dimona at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 19–57–24
70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Dimona win: 42% at kick-off, 22% now
74′We said Dimona at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 15–66–19
74′A goal for Dimona on 74′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 2–14–85
74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Hapoel Ramat HaSharon 0–1 Dimona
74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Dimona win: 42% at kick-off, 85% now
74′THE CALL SWINGS · 74' Dimona win is now our likeliest result at 85% (was Draw 66%)
75′We said Dimona at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 0–1 · 1–13–85
81′We said Dimona at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 0–1 · 1–9–90
83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Dimona win: 42% at kick-off, 92% now
87′We said Dimona at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
93′Dimona score on 90′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 0–0–100
93′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' Hapoel Ramat HaSharon 0–2 Dimona
95′We said Dimona at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 0–2 · 0–0–100
FTFULL TIME Hapoel Ramat HaSharon 0–2 Dimona
FTHapoel Ramat HaSharon 0–2 Dimona · Dimona win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Dimona are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Hapoel Ramat HaSharon 30%, draw 27%, Dimona 42%. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Hapoel Ramat HaSharon v DimonaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 17 Oct 05:16 · locked at kick-off

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon win30%

Draw27%

Dimona win42%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 11:30

RoundSouth · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon

Dimona

4Days since last match11

Last match: 19 Oct · Liga Alef

Last match: 12 Oct · State Cup

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Dimona	6	+4	15
7	Hapoel Ramat HaSharon	7	+4	15

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · dimona winFirst published 17 Oct 05:16 · updated 20 Oct 00:13 · locked at kick-off

42% The market33%

Us42%

~~Market~~33%

We make Dimona a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 33%. We are 9 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–1.5.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Hapoel Ramat HaSharon v Dimona~~1.21 – 1.49

~~Form · last six in Liga Alef this season · since 3 Sept~~W4 D2 L0 · W5 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 15 v 15~~7 v 6

~~The market · Dimona win~~33% · ours 42%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Dimona win The market, margin stripped

Published at 43%, 42% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 33% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon win	30%	38%	−8
Draw	27%	28%	−1
Dimona win	42%	33%	+9
Over 2.5 goals	50%	46%	+4
Both teams to score	54%	52%	+2
Over 1.5 goals	75%	70%	+5
Over 3.5 goals	29%	26%	+3
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon or draw	58%	67%	−9
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon clean sheet	24%	–	–
Dimona clean sheet	31%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.7%

0123450 8.4 9.2 7.4 3.7 1 7.3 12.7 8.5 4.3 2 5.0 7.0 5.1 2.6 3 2.1 2.9 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hapoel Ramat HaSharon down, Dimona across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,471 Liga Alef matches up to 22 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga Alef matches have gone over 2.5 in 49.6% of games this season, across 123 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon at home: 1.33 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Dimona away: 1.67 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.21 goals for Hapoel Ramat HaSharon, 1.49 for Dimona. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~HAP 1–2 DIM · DIM 2–0 HAP

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga Alef this season · since 3 Sept

HAPOEL RAMAT HASHARON

DWWWDW1–1 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 1–0

DIMONA

WWWLWW2–0 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 1–5 · 3–2 · 4–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tira	8	+10	20
2	Ironi Nesher	7	+17	16
3	Beitar Nahariya	7	+8	16
4	Shimshon Tel Aviv	7	+8	16
5	Maccabi Kiryat Malachi	7	+9	15
6	Dimona	6	+4	15
7	Hapoel Ramat HaSharon	7	+4	15
8	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	7	+6	13
9	Holon Yermiyahu	7	+5	13
10	Hapoel Herzliya	8	0	13
11	Hapoel Hadera	7	+5	12
12	FC Jerusalem	7	+2	11
13	Hapoel Nazareth Illit	6	+2	11
14	Hapoel Azor	7	+2	11
15	Maccabi K. Ata Bialik	7	+2	10
16	Maccabi Yavne	7	+4	9
17	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	6	+2	9
18	Hapoel Beit Shean	5	+4	8
19	Hapoel Marmorek	7	+1	8
20	Ironi Baka El Garbiya	7	0	8
21	Hapoel Sderot	7	−1	8
22	Ironi Beit Shemesh	7	−6	8
23	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	6	0	7
24	Maccabi Ashdod	7	0	7
25	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	7	−3	7
26	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	7	−2	6
27	Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt	7	−4	6
28	Maccabi Neve Sha'anan	7	−4	6
29	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	7	−4	6
30	Tzeirey Tamra	7	−10	6
31	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	7	−11	5
32	Kfar Saba 1928	7	−4	4
33	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	8	−11	4
34	Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm	4	−4	3
35	Tzeirey Tira	7	−12	0
36	Nordia Jerusalem	7	−19	0