Hapoel Migdal HaEmek v Ironi Baka El Garbiya

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Hapoel Migdal HaEmek win at 44%.
2. 1′KICK-OFF Hapoel Migdal HaEmek v Ironi Baka El Garbiya
3. 2′Little has changed for our model: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 44% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 43–26–30
4. 12′Ironi Baka El Garbiya score on 12′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 21–21–58
5. 12′⚽ GOAL · 12' Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 0–1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya
6. 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 12' Hapoel Migdal HaEmek win: 44% at kick-off, 21% now
7. 12′THE CALL SWINGS · 12' Ironi Baka El Garbiya win is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Hapoel Migdal HaEmek win 42%)
8. 13′We said Hapoel Migdal HaEmek at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 21%. 0–1 · 21–21–58
9. 18′We said Hapoel Migdal HaEmek at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–22–59
10. 22′11′: O. Bonder on the scoresheet for Ironi Baka El Garbiya, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 18–22–59
11. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 0–1 · 16–23–61
12. 37′We said Hapoel Migdal HaEmek at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–23–62
13. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Hapoel Migdal HaEmek win: 44% at kick-off, 14% now
14. 40′Hapoel Migdal HaEmek find the net on 39′. 1–1. 1–1 · 37–36–27
15. 40′⚽ GOAL · 39' Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 1–1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya
16. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 40' Hapoel Migdal HaEmek win: 44% at kick-off, 37% now
17. 45′HALF-TIME Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 1–1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya
18. 46′SECOND HALF Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 1–1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya
19. 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Ironi Baka El Garbiya win 63%)
20. 54′We said Hapoel Migdal HaEmek at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 32%. 1–1 · 32–43–25
21. 59′A goal for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek on 59′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 77–18–5
22. 59′⚽ GOAL · 59' Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 2–1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya
23. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 59' Hapoel Migdal HaEmek win: 44% at kick-off, 77% now
24. 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Hapoel Migdal HaEmek win is now our likeliest result at 77% (was Draw 47%)
25. 60′We said Hapoel Migdal HaEmek at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 77%. 2–1 · 77–18–5
26. 61′3 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 78–18–4
27. 67′We said Hapoel Migdal HaEmek at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 2–1 · 80–17–3
28. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Hapoel Migdal HaEmek win: 44% at kick-off, 84% now
29. 75′We said Hapoel Migdal HaEmek at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–14–2
30. 81′We said Hapoel Migdal HaEmek at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–10–1
31. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' Hapoel Migdal HaEmek win: 44% at kick-off, 94% now
32. 88′We said Hapoel Migdal HaEmek at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
33. FTFULL TIME Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 2–1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya
34. FTHapoel Migdal HaEmek 2–1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya · Hapoel Migdal HaEmek win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.