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Hapoel Migdal HaEmek v Hapoel Beit Shean

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek

17:00Upcoming

Hapoel Beit Shean

Liga Alef · MON 26 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Hapoel Migdal HaEmekDrawHapoel Beit Shean

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 39%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 39%, draw 28%, Hapoel Beit Shean 33%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Hapoel Migdal HaEmek v Hapoel Beit SheanBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek win39%

Draw28%

Hapoel Beit Shean win33%

Kick-offMON 26 OCT · 17:00

RoundNorth · matchday 2

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek

Hapoel Beit Shean

3Days since last match3

Last match: 23 Oct · Liga Alef

2Matches in previous 14 days4

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
12	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	7	+3	12
14	Hapoel Beit Shean	6	+6	11

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hapoel migdal haemek winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · updated 24 Oct 00:18 · locked at kick-off

39% The market–

Us39%

We make Hapoel Migdal HaEmek a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Hapoel Migdal HaEmek v Hapoel Beit Shean~~1.38 – 1.25

~~Form · last six in Liga Alef this season · since 18 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 12 v 11~~12 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Hapoel Migdal HaEmek win

Published at 41%, 39% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek win	39%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Hapoel Beit Shean win	33%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	48%	–	–
Both teams to score	53%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	74%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	27%	–	–
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek or draw	67%	–	–
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek clean sheet	30%	–	–
Hapoel Beit Shean clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.9%

0123450 8.9 8.1 5.7 2.4 1 9.1 12.9 7.4 3.2 2 6.9 8.1 5.0 2.2 3 3.2 3.8 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hapoel Migdal HaEmek down, Hapoel Beit Shean across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,485 Liga Alef matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga Alef matches have gone over 2.5 in 52.6% of games this season, across 137 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek at home: 2.33 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Hapoel Beit Shean away: 1.83 scored, 0.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.38 goals for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek, 1.25 for Hapoel Beit Shean. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~MIG 0–0 BEI · BEI 1–3 MIG

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga Alef this season · since 18 Sept

HAPOEL MIGDAL HAEMEK

WLDWDW4–2 · 2–3 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 2–1

HAPOEL BEIT SHEAN

LWWDDW0–1 · 2–1 · 4–0 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tira	8	+10	20
2	Ironi Nesher	8	+18	19
3	Shimshon Tel Aviv	8	+11	19
4	Dimona	7	+6	18
5	Holon Yermiyahu	8	+8	16
6	Beitar Nahariya	8	+6	16
7	Maccabi Kiryat Malachi	8	+8	15
8	Hapoel Hadera	8	+6	15
9	Hapoel Ramat HaSharon	8	+2	15
10	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	8	+6	14
11	Hapoel Herzliya	8	0	13
12	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	7	+3	12
13	Hapoel Nazareth Illit	7	+2	12
14	Hapoel Beit Shean	6	+6	11
15	Hapoel Sderot	8	+4	11
16	Hapoel Azor	7	+2	11
17	Ironi Beit Shemesh	8	−1	11
18	FC Jerusalem	8	−3	11
19	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	7	+2	10
20	Maccabi Ashdod	8	+2	10
21	Maccabi K. Ata Bialik	8	0	10
22	Maccabi Yavne	7	+4	9
23	Maccabi Neve Sha'anan	8	0	9
24	Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt	8	−2	9
25	Hapoel Marmorek	7	+1	8
26	Ironi Baka El Garbiya	8	−1	8
27	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	8	−4	7
28	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	8	−6	6
29	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	8	−7	6
30	Tzeirey Tamra	7	−10	6
31	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	8	−15	5
32	Kfar Saba 1928	8	−6	4
33	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	8	−11	4
34	Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm	4	−4	3
35	Tzeirey Tira	8	−15	0
36	Nordia Jerusalem	8	−22	0