Home › Football › Liga Alef › Hapoel Marmorek v Maccabi Yavne

Hapoel Marmorek v Maccabi Yavne

Hapoel Marmorek

17:00Upcoming

Maccabi Yavne

Liga Alef · SUN 25 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Hapoel MarmorekDrawMaccabi Yavne

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Maccabi Yavne 49%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Maccabi Yavne are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Hapoel Marmorek 24%, draw 27%, Maccabi Yavne 49%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Hapoel Marmorek v Maccabi YavneBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 20 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Hapoel Marmorek win24%

Draw27%

Maccabi Yavne win49%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 17:00

RoundSouth · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Hapoel Marmorek

Maccabi Yavne

6Days since last match6

Last match: 19 Oct · Liga Alef

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
22	Maccabi Yavne	7	+4	9
25	Hapoel Marmorek	7	+1	8

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · maccabi yavne winFirst published 20 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

49% The market–

Us49%

We make Maccabi Yavne a 49% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Hapoel Marmorek v Maccabi Yavne~~1.02 – 1.58

~~Form · last six in Liga Alef this season · since 9 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W1 D3 L2

~~Table places · points 8 v 9~~25 v 22

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hapoel Marmorek win	24%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Maccabi Yavne win	49%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	48%	–	–
Both teams to score	50%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	73%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	27%	–	–
Hapoel Marmorek or draw	51%	–	–
Hapoel Marmorek clean sheet	22%	–	–
Maccabi Yavne clean sheet	37%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.5%

0123450 9.1 10.9 9.1 4.9 2.1 1 6.8 12.5 8.8 4.7 2 4.0 5.9 4.5 2.4 3 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hapoel Marmorek down, Maccabi Yavne across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,485 Liga Alef matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga Alef matches have gone over 2.5 in 52.6% of games this season, across 137 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.50 goals a meeting; 5 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Hapoel Marmorek at home: 0.83 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Maccabi Yavne away: 1.17 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.02 goals for Hapoel Marmorek, 1.58 for Maccabi Yavne. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 10

~~Both scored~~7 of 10

~~Last meetings~~HAP 0–2 MAC · HAP 1–1 MAC · MAC 4–4 HAP · HAP 1–4 MAC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga Alef this season · since 9 Sept

HAPOEL MARMOREK

LLLDDW0–1 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 4–1

MACCABI YAVNE

LDDWDL0–1 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 5–1 · 0–0 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tira	8	+10	20
2	Ironi Nesher	8	+18	19
3	Shimshon Tel Aviv	8	+11	19
4	Dimona	7	+6	18
5	Holon Yermiyahu	8	+8	16
6	Beitar Nahariya	8	+6	16
7	Maccabi Kiryat Malachi	8	+8	15
8	Hapoel Hadera	8	+6	15
9	Hapoel Ramat HaSharon	8	+2	15
10	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	8	+6	14
11	Hapoel Herzliya	8	0	13
12	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	7	+3	12
13	Hapoel Nazareth Illit	7	+2	12
14	Hapoel Beit Shean	6	+6	11
15	Hapoel Sderot	8	+4	11
16	Hapoel Azor	7	+2	11
17	Ironi Beit Shemesh	8	−1	11
18	FC Jerusalem	8	−3	11
19	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	7	+2	10
20	Maccabi Ashdod	8	+2	10
21	Maccabi K. Ata Bialik	8	0	10
22	Maccabi Yavne	7	+4	9
23	Maccabi Neve Sha'anan	8	0	9
24	Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt	8	−2	9
25	Hapoel Marmorek	7	+1	8
26	Ironi Baka El Garbiya	8	−1	8
27	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	8	−4	7
28	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	8	−6	6
29	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	8	−7	6
30	Tzeirey Tamra	7	−10	6
31	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	8	−15	5
32	Kfar Saba 1928	8	−6	4
33	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	8	−11	4
34	Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm	4	−4	3
35	Tzeirey Tira	8	−15	0
36	Nordia Jerusalem	8	−22	0