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Hapoel Mahane Yehuda v Hapoel Hadera

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda

10:35Upcoming

Hapoel Hadera

Liga Alef · FRI 30 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Hapoel Mahane YehudaDrawHapoel Hadera

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 10:35

Before kick-off · Match result · Hapoel Hadera 45%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Hapoel Hadera are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 27%, draw 28%, Hapoel Hadera 45%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 51%.

The AI’s read on Hapoel Mahane Yehuda v Hapoel HaderaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda win27%

Draw28%

Hapoel Hadera win45%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 10:35

RoundSouth · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda

Hapoel Hadera

7Days since last match7

Last match: 23 Oct · Liga Alef

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Hapoel Hadera	8	+6	15
29	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	8	−7	6

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hapoel hadera winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Hapoel Hadera a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Hapoel Mahane Yehuda v Hapoel Hadera~~1.08 – 1.48

~~Form · last six in Liga Alef this season · since 17 Sept~~W1 D1 L4 · W4 D2 L0

~~Table places · points 6 v 15~~29 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda win	27%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Hapoel Hadera win	45%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	47%	–	–
Both teams to score	51%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	73%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	26%	–	–
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda or draw	55%	–	–
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda clean sheet	24%	–	–
Hapoel Hadera clean sheet	35%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.0%

0123450 9.3 10.5 8.4 4.2 1 7.5 13.0 8.7 4.4 2 4.6 6.4 4.7 2.3 3 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hapoel Mahane Yehuda down, Hapoel Hadera across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,484 Liga Alef matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga Alef matches have gone over 2.5 in 52.2% of games this season, across 136 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda at home: 2.00 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 3). Hapoel Hadera away: 1.50 scored, 0.25 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

1.08 goals for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda, 1.48 for Hapoel Hadera. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga Alef this season · since 17 Sept

HAPOEL MAHANE YEHUDA

LLLDWL0–1 · 0–2 · 2–3 · 0–0 · 4–2 · 0–5

HAPOEL HADERA

WDWDWW1–0 · 1–1 · 4–0 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tira	8	+10	20
2	Ironi Nesher	8	+18	19
3	Shimshon Tel Aviv	8	+11	19
4	Dimona	7	+6	18
5	Holon Yermiyahu	8	+8	16
6	Beitar Nahariya	8	+6	16
7	Maccabi Kiryat Malachi	8	+8	15
8	Hapoel Hadera	8	+6	15
9	Hapoel Ramat HaSharon	8	+2	15
10	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	8	+6	14
11	Hapoel Herzliya	8	0	13
12	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	7	+3	12
13	Hapoel Nazareth Illit	7	+2	12
14	Hapoel Beit Shean	6	+6	11
15	Hapoel Sderot	8	+4	11
16	Hapoel Azor	7	+2	11
17	Ironi Beit Shemesh	8	−1	11
18	FC Jerusalem	8	−3	11
19	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	7	+2	10
20	Maccabi Ashdod	8	+2	10
21	Maccabi K. Ata Bialik	8	0	10
22	Maccabi Yavne	7	+4	9
23	Maccabi Neve Sha'anan	8	0	9
24	Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt	8	−2	9
25	Hapoel Marmorek	7	+1	8
26	Ironi Baka El Garbiya	8	−1	8
27	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	8	−4	7
28	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	8	−6	6
29	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	8	−7	6
30	Tzeirey Tamra	7	−10	6
31	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	8	−15	5
32	Kfar Saba 1928	8	−6	4
33	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	8	−11	4
34	Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm	4	−4	3
35	Tzeirey Tira	8	−15	0
36	Nordia Jerusalem	8	−22	0