Hapoel Ironi Karmiel v Hapoel Nazareth Illit

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Hapoel Ironi Karmiel win at 45%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Hapoel Ironi Karmiel was 45% before kick-off and our model makes it 45% now. 0–0 · 45–28–27
3. 1′KICK-OFF Hapoel Ironi Karmiel v Hapoel Nazareth Illit
4. 15′A goal for Hapoel Ironi Karmiel on 15′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 74–17–9
5. 15′We published Hapoel Ironi Karmiel at 45%. Our model now makes it 74%. 1–0 · 74–17–9
6. 15′⚽ GOAL · 15' Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 1–0 Hapoel Nazareth Illit
7. 15′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 15' Hapoel Ironi Karmiel win: 45% at kick-off, 74% now
8. 18′Hapoel Ironi Karmiel score on 18′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 91–7–2
9. 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 2–0 Hapoel Nazareth Illit
10. 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 18' Hapoel Ironi Karmiel win: 45% at kick-off, 91% now
11. 19′We published Hapoel Ironi Karmiel at 45%. Our model now makes it 91%. 2–0 · 91–7–2
12. 34′Hapoel Ironi Karmiel find the net on 33′. 3–0. 3–0 · 98–1–0
13. 34′We published Hapoel Ironi Karmiel at 45%. Our model now makes it 98%. 3–0 · 98–1–0
14. 34′⚽ GOAL · 33' Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 3–0 Hapoel Nazareth Illit
15. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 34' Hapoel Ironi Karmiel win: 45% at kick-off, 98% now
16. 35′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 3–0 · 99–1–0
17. 39′A goal for Hapoel Nazareth Illit on 39′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 93–5–1
18. 39′⚽ GOAL · 39' Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 3–1 Hapoel Nazareth Illit
19. 40′4 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 94–5–1
20. 45′HALF-TIME Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 3–3 Hapoel Nazareth Illit
21. 46′Hapoel Nazareth Illit score on 45′ to make it 3–2. 3–2 · 77–18–6
22. 46′⚽ GOAL · 45+1' Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 3–2 Hapoel Nazareth Illit
23. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+1' Hapoel Ironi Karmiel win: 45% at kick-off, 77% now
24. 46′SECOND HALF Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 3–3 Hapoel Nazareth Illit
25. 47′Hapoel Nazareth Illit find the net on 45′. 3–3. 3–3 · 35–42–23
26. 47′⚽ GOAL · 45+2' Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 3–3 Hapoel Nazareth Illit
27. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+2' Hapoel Ironi Karmiel win: 45% at kick-off, 35% now
28. 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+2' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Hapoel Ironi Karmiel win 77%)
29. 48′6 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 3–3 · 34–43–23
30. 51′We said Hapoel Ironi Karmiel at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 33%. 3–3 · 33–44–22
31. 60′We said Hapoel Ironi Karmiel at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 3–3 · 29–51–20
32. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Hapoel Ironi Karmiel win: 45% at kick-off, 25% now
33. 68′We said Hapoel Ironi Karmiel at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 3–3 · 24–59–17
34. 74′We said Hapoel Ironi Karmiel at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 3–3 · 19–67–14
35. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Hapoel Ironi Karmiel win: 45% at kick-off, 15% now
36. 80′We said Hapoel Ironi Karmiel at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 3–3 · 13–77–10
37. 84′We said Hapoel Ironi Karmiel at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 3–3 · 9–85–6
38. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Hapoel Ironi Karmiel win: 45% at kick-off, 5% now
39. 91′We said Hapoel Ironi Karmiel at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 3–3 · 4–93–3
40. FTFULL TIME Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 3–3 Hapoel Nazareth Illit
41. FTHapoel Ironi Karmiel 3–3 Hapoel Nazareth Illit · Hapoel Ironi Karmiel win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.