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Hapoel Ironi Arraba v Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt

Hapoel Ironi Arraba

0–0Full time

Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt

Liga Alef · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 15:03

Hapoel Ironi Arraba 0–0 Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt HAPOEL IHUD BNEI JATT WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt win~~47%

~~The market said~~43%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.877

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.808

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Hapoel Ironi Arraba win29%

Draw24%

Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt win47%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 12:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hapoel ihud bnei jatt winPublished 9 Oct 12:32

47% The market43%

Us47%

~~Market~~43%

We make Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 43%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.8.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · hapoel ihud bnei jatt win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 37% to 43% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hapoel Ironi Arraba win	29%	30%	−1
Draw	24%	27%	−3
Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt win	47%	43%	+4
Over 2.5 goals	61%	54%	+7
Both teams to score	62%	58%	+3
Over 1.5 goals	83%	76%	+7
Over 3.5 goals	40%	34%	+5
Hapoel Ironi Arraba or draw	53%	57%	−4
Hapoel Ironi Arraba clean sheet	18%	–	–
Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.8%

0123450 5.4 6.7 6.6 4.1 1 5.1 10.8 8.7 5.2 2.5 2 4.1 6.9 5.9 3.6 3 3.3 2.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hapoel Ironi Arraba down, Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,442 Liga Alef matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Liga Alef matches have gone over 2.5 in 47.9% of games this season, across 94 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Hapoel Ironi Arraba at home: 1.00 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt away: 1.50 scored, 3.50 conceded (last 2).

What the model expects

1.39 goals for Hapoel Ironi Arraba, 1.82 for Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Liga Alef

HAPOEL IRONI ARRABA

WLLLLD2–1 · 0–1 · 0–4 · 0–4 · 1–4 · 1–1

HAPOEL IHUD BNEI JATT

LLDLW1–3 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 3–5 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tira	6	+7	14
2	Ironi Nesher	6	+13	13
3	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	6	+6	12
4	Beitar Nahariya	5	+4	12
5	Hapoel Herzliya	6	+4	12
6	Hapoel Ramat HaSharon	6	+3	12
7	Dimona	5	+1	12
8	Maccabi Kiryat Malachi	5	+8	11
9	FC Jerusalem	5	+5	11
10	Maccabi K. Ata Bialik	5	+7	10
11	Shimshon Tel Aviv	5	+4	10
12	Holon Yermiyahu	6	+3	10
13	Hapoel Nazareth Illit	5	+2	10
14	Maccabi Yavne	5	+6	8
15	Hapoel Hadera	5	+4	8
16	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	5	+2	8
17	Hapoel Azor	6	−2	8
18	Hapoel Sderot	5	+2	7
19	Maccabi Ashdod	6	+1	7
20	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	4	+1	6
21	Tzeirey Tamra	6	−8	6
22	Ironi Baka El Garbiya	6	−2	5
23	Hapoel Marmorek	6	−2	5
24	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	5	−3	5
25	Kfar Saba 1928	5	0	4
26	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	5	−1	4
27	Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt	5	−4	4
28	Ironi Beit Shemesh	5	−8	4
29	Hapoel Beit Shean	2	0	3
30	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	5	−4	3
31	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	6	−4	3
32	Maccabi Neve Sha'anan	5	−4	3
33	Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm	4	−4	3
34	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	5	−12	1
35	Tzeirey Tira	5	−9	0
36	Nordia Jerusalem	6	−16	0