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Hapoel Beit Shean v Tira

Hapoel Beit Shean

10:25Upcoming

Tira

Liga Alef · FRI 30 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Hapoel Beit SheanDrawTira

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 10:25

Before kick-off · Match result · Tira 42%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Tira are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Hapoel Beit Shean 29%, draw 29%, Tira 42%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Hapoel Beit Shean v TiraBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Hapoel Beit Shean win29%

Draw29%

Tira win42%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 10:25

RoundNorth · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Hapoel Beit Shean

Tira

7Days since last match8

Last match: 23 Oct · Liga Alef

Last match: 22 Oct · Liga Alef

3Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tira	8	+10	20
14	Hapoel Beit Shean	6	+6	11

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · tira winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Tira a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Hapoel Beit Shean v Tira~~1.12 – 1.39

~~Form · last six in Liga Alef this season · since 18 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W4 D2 L0

~~Table places · points 11 v 20~~14 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hapoel Beit Shean win	29%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
Tira win	42%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	46%	–	–
Both teams to score	50%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	72%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	25%	–	–
Hapoel Beit Shean or draw	58%	–	–
Hapoel Beit Shean clean sheet	26%	–	–
Tira clean sheet	34%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.1%

0123450 9.9 10.3 7.8 3.7 1 8.2 13.1 8.3 4.0 2 5.1 6.8 4.7 2.2 3 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hapoel Beit Shean down, Tira across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,485 Liga Alef matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga Alef matches have gone over 2.5 in 52.6% of games this season, across 137 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Hapoel Beit Shean at home: 0.67 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Tira away: 1.50 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.12 goals for Hapoel Beit Shean, 1.39 for Tira. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 3

~~Both scored~~2 of 3

~~Last meetings~~HAP 0–0 TIR · TIR 3–2 HAP · HAP 1–3 TIR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga Alef this season · since 18 Sept

HAPOEL BEIT SHEAN

LWWDDW0–1 · 2–1 · 4–0 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 2–0

TIRA

DDWWWW1–1 · 1–1 · 3–2 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tira	8	+10	20
2	Ironi Nesher	8	+18	19
3	Shimshon Tel Aviv	8	+11	19
4	Dimona	7	+6	18
5	Holon Yermiyahu	8	+8	16
6	Beitar Nahariya	8	+6	16
7	Maccabi Kiryat Malachi	8	+8	15
8	Hapoel Hadera	8	+6	15
9	Hapoel Ramat HaSharon	8	+2	15
10	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	8	+6	14
11	Hapoel Herzliya	8	0	13
12	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	7	+3	12
13	Hapoel Nazareth Illit	7	+2	12
14	Hapoel Beit Shean	6	+6	11
15	Hapoel Sderot	8	+4	11
16	Hapoel Azor	7	+2	11
17	Ironi Beit Shemesh	8	−1	11
18	FC Jerusalem	8	−3	11
19	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	7	+2	10
20	Maccabi Ashdod	8	+2	10
21	Maccabi K. Ata Bialik	8	0	10
22	Maccabi Yavne	7	+4	9
23	Maccabi Neve Sha'anan	8	0	9
24	Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt	8	−2	9
25	Hapoel Marmorek	7	+1	8
26	Ironi Baka El Garbiya	8	−1	8
27	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	8	−4	7
28	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	8	−6	6
29	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	8	−7	6
30	Tzeirey Tamra	7	−10	6
31	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	8	−15	5
32	Kfar Saba 1928	8	−6	4
33	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	8	−11	4
34	Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm	4	−4	3
35	Tzeirey Tira	8	−15	0
36	Nordia Jerusalem	8	−22	0