Home › Football › Liga Alef › Hapoel Azor v FC Jerusalem

Hapoel Azor v FC Jerusalem

Hapoel Azor

13:00Upcoming

FC Jerusalem

Liga Alef · FRI 30 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Hapoel AzorDrawFC Jerusalem

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · FC Jerusalem 38%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with FC Jerusalem just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Hapoel Azor 35%, draw 27%, FC Jerusalem 38%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Hapoel Azor v FC JerusalemBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Hapoel Azor win35%

Draw27%

FC Jerusalem win38%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 13:00

RoundSouth · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Hapoel Azor

FC Jerusalem

8Days since last match7

Last match: 22 Oct · Liga Alef

Last match: 23 Oct · Liga Alef

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
16	Hapoel Azor	7	+2	11
18	FC Jerusalem	8	−3	11

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fc jerusalem winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

38% The market–

Us38%

We make FC Jerusalem a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Hapoel Azor v FC Jerusalem~~1.39 – 1.46

~~Form · last six in Liga Alef this season · since 9 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 11 v 11~~16 v 18

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hapoel Azor win	35%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
FC Jerusalem win	38%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	53%	–	–
Both teams to score	57%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	78%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	32%	–	–
Hapoel Azor or draw	62%	–	–
Hapoel Azor clean sheet	24%	–	–
FC Jerusalem clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.3%

0123450 7.4 7.7 6.3 3.1 1 7.2 12.3 8.1 4.0 2 5.6 7.7 5.5 2.7 3 2.7 3.6 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hapoel Azor down, FC Jerusalem across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,485 Liga Alef matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga Alef matches have gone over 2.5 in 52.6% of games this season, across 137 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Hapoel Azor at home: 1.50 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). FC Jerusalem away: 2.67 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.39 goals for Hapoel Azor, 1.46 for FC Jerusalem. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 3

~~Both scored~~2 of 3

~~Last meetings~~FCJ 1–1 HAP · HAP 0–3 FCJ · FCJ 3–1 HAP

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga Alef this season · since 9 Sept

HAPOEL AZOR

WLWDDW2–0 · 0–3 · 2–0 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 5–1

FC JERUSALEM

WDWLLL3–1 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 2–4 · 0–5

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tira	8	+10	20
2	Ironi Nesher	8	+18	19
3	Shimshon Tel Aviv	8	+11	19
4	Dimona	7	+6	18
5	Holon Yermiyahu	8	+8	16
6	Beitar Nahariya	8	+6	16
7	Maccabi Kiryat Malachi	8	+8	15
8	Hapoel Hadera	8	+6	15
9	Hapoel Ramat HaSharon	8	+2	15
10	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	8	+6	14
11	Hapoel Herzliya	8	0	13
12	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	7	+3	12
13	Hapoel Nazareth Illit	7	+2	12
14	Hapoel Beit Shean	6	+6	11
15	Hapoel Sderot	8	+4	11
16	Hapoel Azor	7	+2	11
17	Ironi Beit Shemesh	8	−1	11
18	FC Jerusalem	8	−3	11
19	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	7	+2	10
20	Maccabi Ashdod	8	+2	10
21	Maccabi K. Ata Bialik	8	0	10
22	Maccabi Yavne	7	+4	9
23	Maccabi Neve Sha'anan	8	0	9
24	Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt	8	−2	9
25	Hapoel Marmorek	7	+1	8
26	Ironi Baka El Garbiya	8	−1	8
27	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	8	−4	7
28	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	8	−6	6
29	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	8	−7	6
30	Tzeirey Tamra	7	−10	6
31	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	8	−15	5
32	Kfar Saba 1928	8	−6	4
33	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	8	−11	4
34	Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm	4	−4	3
35	Tzeirey Tira	8	−15	0
36	Nordia Jerusalem	8	−22	0