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Dimona v Hapoel Herzliya

Dimona

10:30Upcoming

Hapoel Herzliya

Liga Alef · FRI 30 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

DimonaDrawHapoel Herzliya

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 10:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Dimona 52%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Dimona are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Dimona 52%, draw 25%, Hapoel Herzliya 23%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Dimona v Hapoel HerzliyaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Dimona win52%

Draw25%

Hapoel Herzliya win23%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 10:30

RoundSouth · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Dimona

Hapoel Herzliya

7Days since last match8

Last match: 23 Oct · Liga Alef

Last match: 22 Oct · Liga Alef

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Dimona	7	+6	18
11	Hapoel Herzliya	8	0	13

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · dimona winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

52% The market–

Us52%

We make Dimona a 52% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Dimona v Hapoel Herzliya~~1.74 – 1.06

~~Form · last six in Liga Alef this season · since 9 Sept~~W5 D0 L1 · W1 D4 L1

~~Table places · points 18 v 13~~4 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Dimona win	52%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Hapoel Herzliya win	23%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	52%	–	–
Both teams to score	53%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	77%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	31%	–	–
Dimona or draw	77%	–	–
Dimona clean sheet	36%	–	–
Hapoel Herzliya clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.8%

0123450 7.7 5.8 3.6 1 9.8 11.8 5.8 2.1 2 9.0 9.1 4.8 3 5.3 5.2 2.8 4 2.4 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Dimona down, Hapoel Herzliya across0–5 goals a side shown (98.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,485 Liga Alef matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga Alef matches have gone over 2.5 in 52.6% of games this season, across 137 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 7 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 3 of 7 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Dimona at home: 1.50 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Hapoel Herzliya away: 0.67 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.74 goals for Dimona, 1.06 for Hapoel Herzliya. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 7

~~Both scored~~2 of 7

~~Last meetings~~HAP 0–0 DIM · DIM 3–0 HAP · HAP 2–1 DIM · HAP 1–4 DIM

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga Alef this season · since 9 Sept

DIMONA

WWLWWW1–0 · 1–0 · 1–5 · 3–2 · 4–1 · 2–0

HAPOEL HERZLIYA

DWDDDL0–0 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 0–0 · 2–2 · 1–5

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tira	8	+10	20
2	Ironi Nesher	8	+18	19
3	Shimshon Tel Aviv	8	+11	19
4	Dimona	7	+6	18
5	Holon Yermiyahu	8	+8	16
6	Beitar Nahariya	8	+6	16
7	Maccabi Kiryat Malachi	8	+8	15
8	Hapoel Hadera	8	+6	15
9	Hapoel Ramat HaSharon	8	+2	15
10	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	8	+6	14
11	Hapoel Herzliya	8	0	13
12	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	7	+3	12
13	Hapoel Nazareth Illit	7	+2	12
14	Hapoel Beit Shean	6	+6	11
15	Hapoel Sderot	8	+4	11
16	Hapoel Azor	7	+2	11
17	Ironi Beit Shemesh	8	−1	11
18	FC Jerusalem	8	−3	11
19	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	7	+2	10
20	Maccabi Ashdod	8	+2	10
21	Maccabi K. Ata Bialik	8	0	10
22	Maccabi Yavne	7	+4	9
23	Maccabi Neve Sha'anan	8	0	9
24	Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt	8	−2	9
25	Hapoel Marmorek	7	+1	8
26	Ironi Baka El Garbiya	8	−1	8
27	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	8	−4	7
28	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	8	−6	6
29	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	8	−7	6
30	Tzeirey Tamra	7	−10	6
31	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	8	−15	5
32	Kfar Saba 1928	8	−6	4
33	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	8	−11	4
34	Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm	4	−4	3
35	Tzeirey Tira	8	−15	0
36	Nordia Jerusalem	8	−22	0