

Beitar Nahariya v Hapoel Beit Shean
Beitar Nahariya
Hapoel Beit SheanLiga Alef · FRI 23 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Beitar Nahariya win at 42%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Beitar Nahariya 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 42–28–31
- 1′KICK-OFF Beitar Nahariya v Hapoel Beit Shean
- 13′Hapoel Beit Shean find the net on 13′. 0–1. 0–1 · 18–22–60
- 13′⚽ GOAL · 13' Beitar Nahariya 0–1 Hapoel Beit Shean
- 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 13' Beitar Nahariya win: 42% at kick-off, 18% now
- 13′THE CALL SWINGS · 13' Hapoel Beit Shean win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Beitar Nahariya win 40%)
- 14′We said Beitar Nahariya at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 0–1 · 18–22–60
- 27′Hapoel Beit Shean ahead on 14′ through R. Tahaish. 0–1. 0–1 · 15–23–62
- 30′We said Beitar Nahariya at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–23–63
- 31′The goal count is tracking the 2.6 we expected. 0–1 · 14–23–63
- 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Beitar Nahariya win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Beitar Nahariya 0–1 Hapoel Beit Shean
- 46′SECOND HALF Beitar Nahariya 0–1 Hapoel Beit Shean
- 49′We said Beitar Nahariya at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–23–68
- 62′A goal for Hapoel Beit Shean on 62′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 1–5–94
- 62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Beitar Nahariya 0–2 Hapoel Beit Shean
- 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Beitar Nahariya win: 42% at kick-off, 1% now
- 63′We said Beitar Nahariya at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 1%. 0–2 · 1–5–95
- FTFULL TIME Beitar Nahariya 0–2 Hapoel Beit Shean
- FTBeitar Nahariya 0–2 Hapoel Beit Shean · Beitar Nahariya win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Beitar Nahariya are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Beitar Nahariya 42%, draw 28%, Hapoel Beit Shean 31%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 53%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Beitar Nahariya win42%
Hapoel Beit Shean win31%Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 11:00
RoundNorth · matchday 8
Match timeline
All events
Beitar NahariyaMIN
Hapoel Beit SheanEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Beitar Nahariya
Hapoel Beit Shean
Last match: 19 Oct · Liga Alef
Last match: 19 Oct · Liga Alef
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Beitar Nahariya a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 53%. We are 11 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 39%, 42% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 53% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beitar Nahariya win | 42% | 53% | −11 |
| Draw | 28% | 26% | +2 |
| Hapoel Beit Shean win | 31% | 22% | +9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 51% | −2 |
| Both teams to score | 53% | 53% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 74% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 30% | −2 |
| Beitar Nahariya or draw | 69% | 78% | −9 |
| Beitar Nahariya clean sheet | 31% | – | – |
| Hapoel Beit Shean clean sheet | 25% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2026/27No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Liga Alef this season · since 10 Sept
BEITAR NAHARIYA
HAPOEL BEIT SHEAN
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tira | 8 | +10 | 20 |
| 2 | Ironi Nesher | 7 | +17 | 16 |
| 3 | Beitar Nahariya | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 4 | Shimshon Tel Aviv | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | 7 | +9 | 15 |
| 6 | Dimona | 6 | +4 | 15 |
| 7 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon | 7 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | 7 | +6 | 13 |
| 9 | Holon Yermiyahu | 7 | +5 | 13 |
| 10 | Hapoel Herzliya | 8 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Hapoel Hadera | 7 | +5 | 12 |
| 12 | FC Jerusalem | 7 | +2 | 11 |
| 13 | Hapoel Nazareth Illit | 6 | +2 | 11 |
| 14 | Hapoel Azor | 7 | +2 | 11 |
| 15 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 16 | Maccabi Yavne | 7 | +4 | 9 |
| 17 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 6 | +2 | 9 |
| 18 | Hapoel Beit Shean | 5 | +4 | 8 |
| 19 | Hapoel Marmorek | 7 | +1 | 8 |
| 20 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 21 | Hapoel Sderot | 7 | −1 | 8 |
| 22 | Ironi Beit Shemesh | 7 | −6 | 8 |
| 23 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 24 | Maccabi Ashdod | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 25 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | 7 | −3 | 7 |
| 26 | Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | 7 | −2 | 6 |
| 27 | Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt | 7 | −4 | 6 |
| 28 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan | 7 | −4 | 6 |
| 29 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 7 | −4 | 6 |
| 30 | Tzeirey Tamra | 7 | −10 | 6 |
| 31 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 7 | −11 | 5 |
| 32 | Kfar Saba 1928 | 7 | −4 | 4 |
| 33 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | 8 | −11 | 4 |
| 34 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | 4 | −4 | 3 |
| 35 | Tzeirey Tira | 7 | −12 | 0 |
| 36 | Nordia Jerusalem | 7 | −19 | 0 |
Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.
Tira
Ironi Nesher
Shimshon Tel Aviv
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi
Dimona
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
Holon Yermiyahu
Hapoel Herzliya
Hapoel Hadera
FC Jerusalem
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
Hapoel Azor
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik
Maccabi Yavne
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
Hapoel Marmorek
Ironi Baka El Garbiya
Hapoel Sderot
Ironi Beit Shemesh
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Maccabi Ashdod
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Tzeirey Tamra
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
Kfar Saba 1928
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm
Tzeirey Tira
Nordia Jerusalem