Waterford v Galway United

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Waterford win at 40%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Waterford 40% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 40–27–32
3. 1′KICK-OFF Waterford v Galway United
4. 18′We said Waterford at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 69%. 1–0 · 69–19–12
5. 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Waterford 1–0 Galway United
6. 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 18' Waterford win: 40% at kick-off, 69% now
7. 19′18′: Padraig Amond on the scoresheet for Waterford, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 69–19–12
8. 26′We said Waterford at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 1–0 · 70–20–11
9. 26′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 26' Waterford win: 40% at kick-off, 70% now
10. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.7 we expected. 1–0 · 70–20–10
11. 33′🟨 YELLOW · 32' Stephen Walsh · Galway United
12. 35′🟨 YELLOW · 34' Noah Mawene · Waterford
13. 45′HALF-TIME Waterford 2–0 Galway United
14. 46′We said Waterford at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 93%. 2–0 · 93–6–1
15. 46′Waterford ahead on 45′ through Padraig Amond. 2–0. 2–0 · 93–6–1
16. 46′⚽ GOAL · 45+1' Waterford 2–0 Galway United
17. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+1' Waterford win: 40% at kick-off, 93% now
18. 46′SECOND HALF Waterford 2–0 Galway United
19. 47′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Galway United · On: francely lomboto · Off: Kristopher Twardek
20. 53′3 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 74–20–6
21. 53′Lee Devitt Molloy scores for Galway United on 52′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 74–20–6
22. 53′🟨 YELLOW · 52' Gianfranco Facchineri · Galway United
23. 53′SUBSTITUTION · 52' Galway United · On: Matthew Wolfe · Off: Ed McCarthy Corrected
24. 53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Waterford 2–1 Galway United
25. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Waterford win: 40% at kick-off, 74% now
26. 54′We said Waterford at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 2–1 · 75–20–6
27. 57′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Galway United · On: Matthew Wolfe · Off: Ed McCarthy
28. 60′We said Waterford at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 27%. 2–2 · 27–49–23
29. 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Waterford 2–2 Galway United
30. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' Waterford win: 40% at kick-off, 27% now
31. 60′THE CALL SWINGS · 60' Draw is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Waterford win 77%)
32. 61′60′: Stephen Walsh on the scoresheet for Galway United, making it 2–2. 2–2 · 27–50–23
33. 62′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 26–51–22
34. 66′🟨 YELLOW · 65' Graham Coughlan · Waterford
35. 67′We said Waterford at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 24–56–20
36. 68′🟨 YELLOW · 67' Aaron Bolger · Galway United
37. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Waterford win: 40% at kick-off, 20% now
38. 73′We said Waterford at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 19–64–17
39. 73′Waterford have had 13 attempts to 7 and it is still 2–2. 2–2 · 19–64–17
40. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Galway United · On: Frantz Pierrot · Off: Stephen Walsh
41. 79′We said Waterford at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 14–74–12
42. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Waterford · On: Dean Mcmenamy · Off: C.Noonan
43. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Waterford · On: Luke Heeney · Off: Noah Mawene
44. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Waterford · On: Jørgen Voilås · Off: Jordan Houston
45. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Waterford win: 40% at kick-off, 10% now
46. 85′We said Waterford at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 2–2 · 8–85–7
47. 86′Waterford have had 17 attempts to 9 and it is still 2–2. 2–2 · 7–87–6
48. 89′We said Waterford at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 3–2 · 95–4–0
49. 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Waterford 3–2 Galway United
50. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 89' Waterford win: 40% at kick-off, 95% now
51. 89′THE CALL SWINGS · 89' Waterford win is now our likeliest result at 95% (was Draw 90%)
52. 90′Waterford ahead on 89′ through Tom Lonergan. 3–2. 3–2 · 96–4–0
53. 91′5 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 97–3–0
54. 91′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Tom Lonergan · Waterford
55. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Galway United · On: Junior Thiam · Off: Lee Devitt Molloy
56. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Galway United · On: Dylan Connolly · Off: Aaron Bolger
57. FTFULL TIME Waterford 3–2 Galway United
58. FTWaterford 3–2 Galway United · Waterford win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.