Waterford v Drogheda United

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Waterford win at 45%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Waterford 45% before kick-off, 45% now. 0–0 · 45–26–29
3. 1′KICK-OFF Waterford v Drogheda United
4. 24′We said Waterford at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 0–1 · 18–23–58
5. 24′⚽ GOAL · 24' Waterford 0–1 Drogheda United
6. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' Waterford win: 45% at kick-off, 18% now
7. 24′THE CALL SWINGS · 24' Drogheda United win is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Waterford win 42%)
8. 26′Drogheda United ahead on 24′ through Leo Burney. 0–1. 0–1 · 18–23–59
9. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 0–1 · 17–24–59
10. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Waterford win: 45% at kick-off, 15% now
11. 39′We said Waterford at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–24–62
12. 43′SUBSTITUTION · 42' Drogheda United · On: Mark Doyle · Off: Warren Davis
13. 44′Padraig Amond scores for Waterford on 43′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 37–37–26
14. 44′⚽ GOAL · 44' Waterford 1–1 Drogheda United
15. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Waterford win: 45% at kick-off, 37% now
16. 45′HALF-TIME Waterford 1–1 Drogheda United
17. 45′SECOND HALF Waterford 1–1 Drogheda United
18. 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Drogheda United win 63%)
19. 54′We said Waterford at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 33%. 1–1 · 33–43–24
20. 62′We said Waterford at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–49–22
21. 67′We said Waterford at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 81%. 2–1 · 81–16–3
22. 67′⚽ GOAL · 67' Waterford 2–1 Drogheda United
23. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 67' Waterford win: 45% at kick-off, 81% now
24. 67′THE CALL SWINGS · 67' Waterford win is now our likeliest result at 81% (was Draw 53%)
25. 68′67′: C.Noonan on the scoresheet for Waterford, making it 2–1. 2–1 · 81–16–3
26. 68′3 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 81–16–3
27. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Drogheda United · On: Alfie Bates · Off: ethan brien o
28. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Drogheda United · On: Keegan Ancelin · Off: Shane Farrell
29. 75′We said Waterford at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
30. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 75' Waterford win: 45% at kick-off, 85% now
31. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Drogheda United · On: Ryan Markey · Off: Leo Burney
32. 81′We said Waterford at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–10–1
33. 83′We said Waterford at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
34. 83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Waterford 3–1 Drogheda United
35. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Waterford win: 45% at kick-off, over 99% now
36. 84′Waterford ahead on 83′ through Padraig Amond. 3–1. 3–1 · 100–0–0
37. 84′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 100–0–0
38. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Waterford · On: Luke Heeney · Off: Evan McLaughlin
39. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Waterford · On: Dean Mcmenamy · Off: C.Noonan
40. 89′🟨 YELLOW · 88' Stephen McMullan · Waterford
41. 90′3–1 at the end. Our 45% on Waterford comes in. 3–1 · 100–0–0
42. 93′🟨 YELLOW · 88' Luke Heeney · Waterford
43. 93′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Conor Keeley · Drogheda United
44. FTFULL TIME Waterford 3–1 Drogheda United
45. FTWaterford 3–1 Drogheda United · Waterford win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.