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Tractor Sazi v Sanat Naft
Tractor Sazi
Sanat NaftPersian Gulf Pro League · THU 22 OCT · Yadegar-e-Emam Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Tractor Sazi win at 69%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Tractor Sazi was 69% before kick-off and our model makes it 69% now. 0–0 · 69–23–8
- 1′KICK-OFF Tractor Sazi v Sanat Naft
- 14′SUBSTITUTION · 10' Tractor Sazi · On: P. Jafari · Off: A. Beiranvand
- 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Tractor Sazi win: 69% at kick-off, 59% now
- 36′We said Tractor Sazi at 69%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 57%. 0–0 · 57–33–10
- 42′We said Tractor Sazi at 69%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 54%. 0–0 · 54–36–10
- 45′HALF-TIME Tractor Sazi 0–0 Sanat Naft
- 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Tractor Sazi win: 69% at kick-off, 53% now
- 46′SECOND HALF Tractor Sazi 0–0 Sanat Naft
- 51′We said Tractor Sazi at 69%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 49–42–10
- 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+6' Tractor Sazi win: 69% at kick-off, 49% now
- 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Tractor Sazi win: 69% at kick-off, 49% now
- 55′We expected about 2.5 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 46–45–9
- 57′We said Tractor Sazi at 69%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–46–9
- 57′🟨 YELLOW · 56' Tractor Sazi
- 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Draw is now our likeliest result at 48% (was Tractor Sazi win 45%)
- 62′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Tractor Sazi · On: M. Shiri · Off: S. Karimazar
- 63′We said Tractor Sazi at 69%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–52–9
- 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Tractor Sazi win: 69% at kick-off, 39% now
- 63′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Tractor Sazi · On: T. Strkalj · Off: O. Khamrobekov
- 68′We said Tractor Sazi at 69%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–58–8
- 73′We said Tractor Sazi at 69%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 28%. 0–0 · 28–65–7
- 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Tractor Sazi win: 69% at kick-off, 28% now
- 74′Tractor Sazi score on 73′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 93–6–0
- 74′We published Tractor Sazi at 69%. Our model now makes it 93%. 1–0 · 93–6–0
- 74′⚽ GOAL · 73' Tractor Sazi 1–0 Sanat Naft
- 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Tractor Sazi win: 69% at kick-off, 93% now
- 74′THE CALL SWINGS · 74' Tractor Sazi win is now our likeliest result at 93% (was Draw 65%)
- 76′74′: A. Hosseinzadeh on the scoresheet for Tractor Sazi, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 94–6–0
- 78′We published Tractor Sazi at 69%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
- 78′🟨 YELLOW · 78' Sanat Naft
- 78′🟨 YELLOW · 78' Tractor Sazi
- 84′Tractor Sazi find the net on 83′. 2–0. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- 84′We published Tractor Sazi at 69%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- 84′⚽ GOAL · 83' Tractor Sazi 2–0 Sanat Naft
- 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 84' Tractor Sazi win: 69% at kick-off, over 99% now
- 85′Tractor Sazi ahead on 84′ through S. Moghanlou. 2–0. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- 87′Goals are coming at about the 2.5 we expected. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- 87′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Sanat Naft · On: A. Kouliyan · Off: M. Aghajanpour
- 89′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Sanat Naft · On: R. Rezaei · Off: M. Abbasi
- 90′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Sanat Naft · On: M. Fakhreddini · Off: M. Karimzadeh
- 90′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Tractor Sazi · On: M. Kazemayn · Off: S. Moghanlou
- 93′A goal for Tractor Sazi on 90′ — 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 93′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' Tractor Sazi 3–0 Sanat Naft
- 93′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90+3' Tractor Sazi
- 98′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Tractor Sazi · On: A. Khorrami · Off: M. Hosseini
- 100′🟨 YELLOW · 90+10' Sanat Naft
- FTFULL TIME Tractor Sazi 3–0 Sanat Naft
- FTTractor Sazi 3–0 Sanat Naft · Tractor Sazi win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Tractor Sazi are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Tractor Sazi 69%, draw 22%, Sanat Naft 8%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 36%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 16 Oct 00:00 · locked at kick-off
Tractor Sazi win69%
Sanat Naft win8%Kick-offTHU 22 OCT · 14:30
RoundMatchday 10
VenueYadegar-e-Emam Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Tractor SaziMIN
Sanat NaftEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Tractor Sazi
Sanat Naft
Last match: 12 Oct · AFC Champions League Elite
Last match: 17 Oct · Persian Gulf Pro League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Tractor Sazi a 69% chance to win. The market has them at 75%. We are 6 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.0–0.5.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 70%, 69% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 75% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tractor Sazi win | 69% | 75% | −6 |
| Draw | 22% | 19% | +3 |
| Sanat Naft win | 8% | 7% | +1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 51% | −5 |
| Both teams to score | 36% | 36% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 74% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 31% | −6 |
| Tractor Sazi or draw | 92% | 93% | −1 |
| Tractor Sazi clean sheet | 59% | – | – |
| Sanat Naft clean sheet | 15% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
6 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Persian Gulf Pro League this season · since 24 Aug
TRACTOR SAZI
SANAT NAFT
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persepolis FC | 9 | +14 | 20 |
| 2 | Esteghlal FC | 9 | +9 | 19 |
| 3 | Sepahan FC | 9 | +7 | 17 |
| 4 | Tractor Sazi | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 | Foolad FC | 9 | +4 | 16 |
| 6 | Aluminium Arak | 9 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 | Gol Gohar | 9 | +2 | 13 |
| 8 | Fajr Sepasi | 9 | −2 | 13 |
| 9 | Chadormalu SC | 9 | −4 | 12 |
| 10 | Kheybar Khorramabad | 9 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 | Nassaji Mazandaran | 9 | −2 | 10 |
| 12 | Paykan | 9 | −3 | 9 |
| 13 | Malavan | 8 | −4 | 8 |
| 14 | Shams Azar Qazvin | 9 | −3 | 7 |
| 15 | ZOB Ahan | 9 | −4 | 7 |
| 16 | Sanat Naft | 9 | −7 | 7 |
| 17 | Esteghlal Khuzestan | 9 | −9 | 6 |
| 18 | Mes Shahr-e Babak | 9 | −9 | 5 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Persepolis FC
Esteghlal FC
Sepahan FC
Foolad FC
Aluminium Arak
Gol Gohar
Fajr Sepasi
Chadormalu SC
Kheybar Khorramabad
Nassaji Mazandaran
Paykan
Malavan
Shams Azar Qazvin
ZOB Ahan
Esteghlal Khuzestan
Mes Shahr-e Babak