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Shams Azar Qazvin v Sepahan FC
Shams Azar Qazvin
Sepahan FCPersian Gulf Pro League · SUN 18 OCT · Sardar Azadegan Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Sepahan FC win at 50%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Sepahan FC was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 50% now. 0–0 · 19–31–50
- 1′KICK-OFF Shams Azar Qazvin v Sepahan FC
- 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Sepahan FC win: 50% at kick-off, 40% now
- 43′THE CALL SWINGS · 43' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Sepahan FC win 39%)
- 45′We said Sepahan FC at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 38%. 0–0 · 17–45–38
- 45′HALF-TIME Shams Azar Qazvin 0–0 Sepahan FC
- 46′SECOND HALF Shams Azar Qazvin 0–0 Sepahan FC
- 53′We said Sepahan FC at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 16–50–34
- 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' Sepahan FC win: 50% at kick-off, 30% now
- 62′We said Sepahan FC at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 14–57–29
- 69′We said Sepahan FC at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 12–64–24
- 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Sepahan FC win: 50% at kick-off, 20% now
- 74′We said Sepahan FC at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 10–71–19
- 79′We said Sepahan FC at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 7–78–14
- 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Sepahan FC win: 50% at kick-off, 10% now
- 84′We said Sepahan FC at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 0–0 · 4–87–8
- 90′We said Sepahan FC at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 2–93–4
- FTFULL TIME Shams Azar Qazvin 0–0 Sepahan FC
- FTShams Azar Qazvin 0–0 Sepahan FC · Sepahan FC win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Sepahan FC are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Shams Azar Qazvin 19%, draw 31%, Sepahan FC 50%. Over 2.5 goals 36%, both teams to score 40%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Shams Azar Qazvin win19%
Sepahan FC win50%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 15:00
RoundMatchday 9
VenueSardar Azadegan Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Shams Azar QazvinMIN
Sepahan FCEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Shams Azar Qazvin
Sepahan FC
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Shams Azar Qazvin
Sepahan FC
Last match: 10 Oct · Persian Gulf Pro League
Last match: 13 Oct · Persian Gulf Pro League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Shams Azar Qazvin
Formation not confirmed
49 A. Zarei
30 A. Taher
20 A. Rezaei
2 M. Nejadmehdi
19 A. Karami
11 M. Mamizadeh
10 A. Mohkamkar
86 A. Nasiri
48 M. Sourgi
16 M. Mansouri
7 R. Mohammadi
Coach · –
Sepahan FC
Formation not confirmed
1 S. Hosseini
14 A. Yousefi
2 H. Mohammadi
5 M. Hazbavi
28 E. Hajsafi
6 A. Hajieydi
19 O. Noorafkan
79 M. Lotfi
88 A. Rezavand
7 M. Limouchi
9 K. Rezaei
Coach · Moharram Navidkia
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Shams Azar Qazvin
Formation not confirmed
49 A. Zarei
30 A. Taher
20 A. Rezaei
2 M. Nejadmehdi
19 A. Karami
11 M. Mamizadeh
10 A. Mohkamkar
86 A. Nasiri
48 M. Sourgi
16 M. Mansouri
7 R. Mohammadi
Coach · –
Sepahan FC
Formation not confirmed
1 S. Hosseini
14 A. Yousefi
2 H. Mohammadi
5 M. Hazbavi
28 E. Hajsafi
6 A. Hajieydi
19 O. Noorafkan
79 M. Lotfi
88 A. Rezavand
7 M. Limouchi
9 K. Rezaei
Coach · Moharram Navidkia
We make Sepahan FC a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 62%. We are 12 points less confident than the market. The model expects 0.7–1.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 62% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shams Azar Qazvin win | 19% | 11% | +8 |
| Draw | 31% | 26% | +5 |
| Sepahan FC win | 50% | 62% | −12 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | 32% | +4 |
| Both teams to score | 40% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64% | 59% | +5 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% | – | – |
| Shams Azar Qazvin or draw | 50% | 38% | +12 |
| Shams Azar Qazvin clean sheet | 25% | – | – |
| Sepahan FC clean sheet | 48% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 1 bookmaker, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
6 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Persian Gulf Pro League this season · since 23 Aug
SHAMS AZAR QAZVIN
SEPAHAN FC
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persepolis FC | 8 | +11 | 17 |
| 2 | Tractor Sazi | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 3 | Esteghlal FC | 8 | +8 | 16 |
| 4 | Sepahan FC | 8 | +7 | 16 |
| 5 | Foolad FC | 8 | +4 | 15 |
| 6 | Aluminium Arak | 9 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 | Gol Gohar | 8 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 | Fajr Sepasi | 8 | −4 | 10 |
| 9 | Paykan | 8 | −1 | 9 |
| 10 | Nassaji Mazandaran | 8 | −2 | 9 |
| 11 | Chadormalu SC | 8 | −5 | 9 |
| 12 | Kheybar Khorramabad | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Malavan | 8 | −4 | 8 |
| 14 | ZOB Ahan | 8 | −3 | 7 |
| 15 | Sanat Naft | 9 | −7 | 7 |
| 16 | Shams Azar Qazvin | 8 | −3 | 6 |
| 17 | Esteghlal Khuzestan | 8 | −8 | 6 |
| 18 | Mes Shahr-e Babak | 8 | −6 | 5 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Persepolis FC
Tractor Sazi
Esteghlal FC
Foolad FC
Aluminium Arak
Gol Gohar
Fajr Sepasi
Paykan
Nassaji Mazandaran
Chadormalu SC
Kheybar Khorramabad
Malavan
ZOB Ahan
Sanat Naft
Esteghlal Khuzestan
Mes Shahr-e Babak