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Home › Football › Persian Gulf Pro League › Shams Azar Qazvin v Sepahan FC

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Shams Azar Qazvin v Sepahan FC

Shams Azar Qazvin
0–0Full time
Sepahan FC

Persian Gulf Pro League · SUN 18 OCT · Sardar Azadegan Stadium

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 18:02
Shams Azar Qazvin 0–0 Sepahan FC SEPAHAN FC WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Sepahan FC win50%
The market said62%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.765
The market’s Brier score0.946

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 9 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Sepahan FC win at 50%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Sepahan FC was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 50% now. 0–0 · 19–31–50
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Shams Azar Qazvin v Sepahan FC
  4. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Sepahan FC win: 50% at kick-off, 40% now
  5. 43′THE CALL SWINGS · 43' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Sepahan FC win 39%)
  6. 45′We said Sepahan FC at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 38%. 0–0 · 17–45–38
  7. 45′HALF-TIME Shams Azar Qazvin 0–0 Sepahan FC
  8. 46′SECOND HALF Shams Azar Qazvin 0–0 Sepahan FC
  9. 53′We said Sepahan FC at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 16–50–34
  10. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' Sepahan FC win: 50% at kick-off, 30% now
  11. 62′We said Sepahan FC at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 14–57–29
  12. 69′We said Sepahan FC at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 12–64–24
  13. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Sepahan FC win: 50% at kick-off, 20% now
  14. 74′We said Sepahan FC at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 10–71–19
  15. 79′We said Sepahan FC at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 7–78–14
  16. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Sepahan FC win: 50% at kick-off, 10% now
  17. 84′We said Sepahan FC at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 0–0 · 4–87–8
  18. 90′We said Sepahan FC at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 2–93–4
  19. FTFULL TIME Shams Azar Qazvin 0–0 Sepahan FC
  20. FTShams Azar Qazvin 0–0 Sepahan FC · Sepahan FC win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Sepahan FC are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Shams Azar Qazvin 19%, draw 31%, Sepahan FC 50%. Over 2.5 goals 36%, both teams to score 40%.

The AI’s read on Shams Azar Qazvin v Sepahan FCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Shams Azar Qazvin win19%
Draw31%
Sepahan FC win50%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 9

VenueSardar Azadegan Stadium

Line-ups

Shams Azar Qazvin

Sepahan FC

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Shams Azar Qazvin

Sepahan FC

8Days since last match5

Last match: 10 Oct · Persian Gulf Pro League

Last match: 13 Oct · Persian Gulf Pro League

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
4Sepahan FC8+716
16Shams Azar Qazvin8−36

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Shams Azar Qazvin

Formation not confirmed

49 A. Zarei

30 A. Taher

20 A. Rezaei

2 M. Nejadmehdi

19 A. Karami

11 M. Mamizadeh

10 A. Mohkamkar

86 A. Nasiri

48 M. Sourgi

16 M. Mansouri

7 R. Mohammadi

Coach · –

Sepahan FC

Formation not confirmed

1 S. Hosseini

14 A. Yousefi

2 H. Mohammadi

5 M. Hazbavi

28 E. Hajsafi

6 A. Hajieydi

19 O. Noorafkan

79 M. Lotfi

88 A. Rezavand

7 M. Limouchi

9 K. Rezaei

Coach · Moharram Navidkia

Our number · sepahan fc winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · updated 18 Oct 12:43 · locked at kick-off
50% The market62%
Us50%
Market62%

We make Sepahan FC a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 62%. We are 12 points less confident than the market. The model expects 0.7–1.4.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Shams Azar Qazvin v Sepahan FC0.74 – 1.40
Form · last six in Persian Gulf Pro League this season · since 23 AugW1 D2 L3 · W4 D1 L1
Table places · points 6 v 1616 v 4
The market · Sepahan FC win62% · ours 50%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55%60%65% 12 OCT 04:0218 OCT 14:25
Our probability · Sepahan FC win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 62% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Shams Azar Qazvin win19%11%+8
Draw31%26%+5
Sepahan FC win50%62%−12
Over 2.5 goals36%32%+4
Both teams to score40%––
Over 1.5 goals64%59%+5
Over 3.5 goals17%––
Shams Azar Qazvin or draw50%38%+12
Shams Azar Qazvin clean sheet25%––
Sepahan FC clean sheet48%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 1 bookmaker, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 14.6%
0123450 13.9 14.6 11.3 5.4 1 7.2 13.7 8.2 3.9 2 3.4 4.5 3.1 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Shams Azar Qazvin down, Sepahan FC across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.17
Over 2.52 of 6
Both scored2 of 6
Last meetingsSHA 0–1 SEP · SHA 1–1 SEP · SEP 1–0 SHA · SEP 4–1 SHA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Persian Gulf Pro League this season · since 23 Aug

SHAMS AZAR QAZVIN

LWDLLD1–2 · 2–0 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 2–3 · 1–1

SEPAHAN FC

LWDWWW0–2 · 2–0 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 6–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Persepolis FC8+1117
2Tractor Sazi8+717
3Esteghlal FC8+816
4Sepahan FC8+716
5Foolad FC8+415
6Aluminium Arak9+313
7Gol Gohar8+313
8Fajr Sepasi8−410
9Paykan8−19
10Nassaji Mazandaran8−29
11Chadormalu SC8−59
12Kheybar Khorramabad808
13Malavan8−48
14ZOB Ahan8−37
15Sanat Naft9−77
16Shams Azar Qazvin8−36
17Esteghlal Khuzestan8−86
18Mes Shahr-e Babak8−65

The competition's standings before kick-off.