Nassaji Mazandaran v Persepolis FC prediction · Persian Gulf Pro League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Nassaji MazandaranDrawPersepolis FC

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Persepolis FC 50%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Persepolis FC are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Nassaji Mazandaran 17%, draw 33%, Persepolis FC 50%. Over 2.5 goals 30%, both teams to score 35%.

The AI’s read on Nassaji Mazandaran v Persepolis FCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Nassaji Mazandaran win17%

Draw33%

Persepolis FC win50%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 11

VenueVatani Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Nassaji Mazandaran

Persepolis FC

12Days since last match11

Last match: 18 Oct · Persian Gulf Pro League

Last match: 19 Oct · Persian Gulf Pro League

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · persepolis fc winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

50% The market–

Us50%

We make Persepolis FC a 50% chance to win. The model expects 0.6–1.3, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 17%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Nassaji Mazandaran v Persepolis FC~~0.63 – 1.26

~~Form · last six in Persian Gulf Pro League this season · since 28 Aug~~W2 D3 L1 · W4 D2 L0

~~Table places · points 10 v 20~~11 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Nassaji Mazandaran win	17%	–	–
Draw	33%	–	–
Persepolis FC win	50%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	30%	–	–
Both teams to score	35%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	58%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	13%	–	–
Nassaji Mazandaran or draw	50%	–	–
Nassaji Mazandaran clean sheet	29%	–	–
Persepolis FC clean sheet	54%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 17.2%

0123450 17.2 17.1 11.9 5.1 1 7.8 13.4 7.2 3.1 2 3.1 3.8 2.3 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Nassaji Mazandaran down, Persepolis FC across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,216 Persian Gulf Pro League matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Persian Gulf Pro League matches have gone over 2.5 in 29.8% of games this season, across 84 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.88 goals a meeting; 5 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Nassaji Mazandaran at home: 0.33 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Persepolis FC away: 1.17 scored, 0.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.63 goals for Nassaji Mazandaran, 1.26 for Persepolis FC. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.88

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 8

~~Both scored~~4 of 8

~~Last meetings~~NAS 0–1 PER · PER 0–1 NAS · NAS 1–2 PER · PER 1–0 NAS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Persian Gulf Pro League this season · since 28 Aug

NASSAJI MAZANDARAN

LWWDDD0–2 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 0–0

PERSEPOLIS FC

WDWWDW3–0 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 3–1 · 0–0 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Persepolis FC	9	+14	20
2	Tractor Sazi	9	+10	20
3	Esteghlal FC	10	+9	20
4	Sepahan FC	9	+7	17
5	Foolad FC	9	+4	16
6	Aluminium Arak	10	+3	14
7	Kheybar Khorramabad	10	+2	14
8	Gol Gohar	10	+1	13
9	Fajr Sepasi	9	−2	13
10	Chadormalu SC	10	−4	13
11	Nassaji Mazandaran	9	−2	10
12	Paykan	9	−3	9
13	Malavan	8	−4	8
14	ZOB Ahan	10	−4	8
15	Shams Azar Qazvin	9	−3	7
16	Sanat Naft	10	−10	7
17	Esteghlal Khuzestan	9	−9	6
18	Mes Shahr-e Babak	9	−9	5