Malavan v Chadormalu SC prediction · Persian Gulf Pro League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

MalavanDrawChadormalu SC

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:15

Before kick-off · Match result · Draw 36%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

A draw is the likeliest result.

The Pitchside prediction: Malavan 33%, draw 36%, Chadormalu SC 31%. Over 2.5 goals 30%, both teams to score 39%.

The AI’s read on Malavan v Chadormalu SCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Malavan win33%

Draw36%

Chadormalu SC win31%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 13:15

RoundMatchday 11

VenueSirous Ghayeghran Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Malavan

Chadormalu SC

17Days since last match7

Last match: 13 Oct · Persian Gulf Pro League

Last match: 23 Oct · Persian Gulf Pro League

0Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Chadormalu SC	10	−4	13
13	Malavan	8	−4	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · drawFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

36% The market–

Us36%

We make the draw a 36% chance. The model expects 1.0–0.9, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 17%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Malavan v Chadormalu SC~~0.98 – 0.93

~~Form · last six in Persian Gulf Pro League this season · since 24 Aug~~W1 D1 L4 · W3 D3 L0

~~Table places · points 8 v 13~~13 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Malavan win	33%	–	–
Draw	36%	–	–
Chadormalu SC win	31%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	30%	–	–
Both teams to score	39%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	58%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	13%	–	–
Malavan or draw	69%	–	–
Malavan clean sheet	40%	–	–
Chadormalu SC clean sheet	38%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 17.2%

0123450 17.2 11.8 6.4 2.0 1 12.6 15.1 6.1 2 7.1 6.4 3.0 3 2.4 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Malavan down, Chadormalu SC across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,216 Persian Gulf Pro League matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Persian Gulf Pro League matches have gone over 2.5 in 29.8% of games this season, across 84 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 5 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 5 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Malavan at home: 0.83 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Chadormalu SC away: 0.83 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.98 goals for Malavan, 0.93 for Chadormalu SC. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 5

~~Both scored~~2 of 5

~~Last meetings~~MAL 1–0 CHA · CHA 0–0 MAL · CHA 1–0 MAL · CHA 2–2 MAL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Persian Gulf Pro League this season · since 24 Aug

MALAVAN

LLLWDL0–1 · 0–3 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 1–2

CHADORMALU SC

DWWDWD1–1 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Persepolis FC	9	+14	20
2	Tractor Sazi	9	+10	20
3	Esteghlal FC	10	+9	20
4	Sepahan FC	9	+7	17
5	Foolad FC	9	+4	16
6	Aluminium Arak	10	+3	14
7	Kheybar Khorramabad	10	+2	14
8	Gol Gohar	10	+1	13
9	Fajr Sepasi	9	−2	13
10	Chadormalu SC	10	−4	13
11	Nassaji Mazandaran	9	−2	10
12	Paykan	9	−3	9
13	Malavan	8	−4	8
14	ZOB Ahan	10	−4	8
15	Shams Azar Qazvin	9	−3	7
16	Sanat Naft	10	−10	7
17	Esteghlal Khuzestan	9	−9	6
18	Mes Shahr-e Babak	9	−9	5