Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.1

Home › Football › Persian Gulf Pro League › Kheybar Khorramabad v Persepolis FC

Back
Iran flag

Kheybar Khorramabad v Persepolis FC

Kheybar Khorramabad
0–0Full time
Persepolis FC

Persian Gulf Pro League · WED 14 OCT · Takhti Stadium

Full timeGraded 14 Oct 17:24
Kheybar Khorramabad 0–0 Persepolis FC PERSEPOLIS FC WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Persepolis FC win47%
The market said62%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.747
The market’s Brier score0.972

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 9 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Persepolis FC win at 47%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Persepolis FC 47% before kick-off, 49% now. 0–0 · 23–28–49
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Kheybar Khorramabad v Persepolis FC
  4. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Persepolis FC win: 47% at kick-off, 37% now
  5. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Persepolis FC win 37%)
  6. 45′HALF-TIME Kheybar Khorramabad 0–0 Persepolis FC
  7. 46′SECOND HALF Kheybar Khorramabad 0–0 Persepolis FC
  8. 49′We said Persepolis FC at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 35%. 0–0 · 19–46–35
  9. 51′We said Persepolis FC at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 19–47–34
  10. 60′We said Persepolis FC at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 17–54–29
  11. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Persepolis FC win: 47% at kick-off, 27% now
  12. 68′We said Persepolis FC at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 14–62–24
  13. 74′We said Persepolis FC at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 11–70–19
  14. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Persepolis FC win: 47% at kick-off, 17% now
  15. 80′We said Persepolis FC at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 0–0 · 8–79–13
  16. 84′We said Persepolis FC at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 0–0 · 5–87–8
  17. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Persepolis FC win: 47% at kick-off, 7% now
  18. 90′We said Persepolis FC at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 3–93–4
  19. FTFULL TIME Kheybar Khorramabad 0–0 Persepolis FC
  20. FTKheybar Khorramabad 0–0 Persepolis FC · Persepolis FC win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Example · Everton v Chelsea · written before kick-off

Chelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.

Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.

Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.

The AI’s read on Kheybar Khorramabad v Persepolis FCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 14 Oct 14:19 · locked at kick-off

Kheybar Khorramabad win22%
Draw31%
Persepolis FC win47%

Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 14:30

VenueTakhti Stadium

Line-ups

Kheybar Khorramabad

Persepolis FC

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Kheybar Khorramabad

Persepolis FC

5Days since last match5
1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
2Persepolis FC71116
13Kheybar Khorramabad707

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Kheybar Khorramabad

Formation not confirmed

12 M. Dinarvand

17 H. Hajiaghaei

15 M. Mohebi

3 E. Ghahremani

77 A. Safarzadeh

88 E. Babaei

8 F. Yousefi

11 H. Shanani

23 A. M. Khanzadi

76 A. Farsi

10 I. Moradi

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · E. Moradian

4 · S. Pasandideh

6 · T. Shariati

14 · S. Khadempour

19 · M. Ghanbari

20 · A. Teymouri

22 · S. D. Baghaki

30 · P. Hassani

70 · H. Zarouni

78 · M. Amiri

99 · A. Maleki

Persepolis FC

Formation not confirmed

1 P. Niazmand

20 E. Majid

5 H. Abarghouei

4 M. Zare

8 M. Tikdari

10 M. Mohebi

66 P. Pourali

77 M. Khodabandelou

70 O. Urunov

11 I. Sergeev

9 A. Alipour

Coach · –

Substitutes

3 · A. Jalali

7 · M. Omri

21 · P. Shahrabadi

22 · A. Rafiei

23 · T. Bifouma

34 · A. Mahmoudi

45 · M. Sadeghi

80 · Y. Salmani

88 · M. Bakic

89 · D. Eiri

99 · P. Latififar

Our number · persepolis fc winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 14 Oct 14:19 · locked at kick-off
47% The market61%
Us47%
Market61%

We make Persepolis FC a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 61%. We are 14 points less confident than the market. The model expects 0.9–1.4.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Kheybar Khorramabad v Persepolis FC0.86 – 1.38
Last six in Persian Gulf Pro LeagueW1 D3 L2 · W4 D1 L1
Table places · points 7 v 1613 v 2
The market · Persepolis FC win61% · ours 47%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55%60%65% 9 OCT 06:1914 OCT 14:29
Our probability · persepolis fc win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 61% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Kheybar Khorramabad win22%14%+8
Draw31%25%+6
Persepolis FC win47%61%−14
Over 2.5 goals39%42%−3
Both teams to score44%39%+5
Over 1.5 goals67%66%+1
Over 3.5 goals19%22%−3
Kheybar Khorramabad or draw53%39%+14
Kheybar Khorramabad clean sheet26%––
Persepolis FC clean sheet43%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 14.0%
0123450 12.8 13.0 10.0 4.7 1 7.6 14.0 8.3 3.9 2 4.0 5.3 3.6 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Kheybar Khorramabad down, Persepolis FC across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024
Goals a meeting3.00
Over 2.54 of 4
Both scored4 of 4
Last meetingsPER 1–2 KHE · KHE 2–1 PER · KHE 1–2 PER · PER 2–1 KHE

Form · last six in Persian Gulf Pro League

KHEYBAR KHORRAMABAD

DLDWLD1–1 · 2–3 · 2–2 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 2–2

PERSEPOLIS FC

WLWDWW4–1 · 0–1 · 3–0 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 3–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Tractor Sazi8717
2Persepolis FC71116
3Esteghlal FC8816
4Sepahan FC8716
5Foolad FC8415
6Aluminium Arak8413
7Gol Gohar8313
8Fajr Sepasi8-410
9Paykan8-19
10Nassaji Mazandaran8-29
11Chadormalu SC8-59
12Malavan8-48
13Kheybar Khorramabad707
14ZOB Ahan8-37
15Shams Azar Qazvin8-36
16Esteghlal Khuzestan8-86
17Mes Shahr-e Babak8-65
18Sanat Naft8-84

The competition's standings.