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Kheybar Khorramabad v Persepolis FC
Kheybar Khorramabad
Persepolis FCPersian Gulf Pro League · WED 14 OCT · Takhti Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Persepolis FC win at 47%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Persepolis FC 47% before kick-off, 49% now. 0–0 · 23–28–49
- 1′KICK-OFF Kheybar Khorramabad v Persepolis FC
- 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Persepolis FC win: 47% at kick-off, 37% now
- 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Persepolis FC win 37%)
- 45′HALF-TIME Kheybar Khorramabad 0–0 Persepolis FC
- 46′SECOND HALF Kheybar Khorramabad 0–0 Persepolis FC
- 49′We said Persepolis FC at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 35%. 0–0 · 19–46–35
- 51′We said Persepolis FC at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 19–47–34
- 60′We said Persepolis FC at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 17–54–29
- 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Persepolis FC win: 47% at kick-off, 27% now
- 68′We said Persepolis FC at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 14–62–24
- 74′We said Persepolis FC at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 11–70–19
- 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Persepolis FC win: 47% at kick-off, 17% now
- 80′We said Persepolis FC at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 0–0 · 8–79–13
- 84′We said Persepolis FC at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 0–0 · 5–87–8
- 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Persepolis FC win: 47% at kick-off, 7% now
- 90′We said Persepolis FC at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 3–93–4
- FTFULL TIME Kheybar Khorramabad 0–0 Persepolis FC
- FTKheybar Khorramabad 0–0 Persepolis FC · Persepolis FC win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassChelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.
Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.
Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.
Pre-match prediction
Published 14 Oct 14:19 · locked at kick-off
Kheybar Khorramabad win22%
Persepolis FC win47%Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 14:30
VenueTakhti Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Kheybar KhorramabadMIN
Persepolis FCEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Kheybar Khorramabad
Persepolis FC
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
Kheybar Khorramabad
Persepolis FC
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
Line-ups
Kheybar Khorramabad
Formation not confirmed
12 M. Dinarvand
17 H. Hajiaghaei
15 M. Mohebi
3 E. Ghahremani
77 A. Safarzadeh
88 E. Babaei
8 F. Yousefi
11 H. Shanani
23 A. M. Khanzadi
76 A. Farsi
10 I. Moradi
Coach · –
Substitutes
1 · E. Moradian
4 · S. Pasandideh
6 · T. Shariati
14 · S. Khadempour
19 · M. Ghanbari
20 · A. Teymouri
22 · S. D. Baghaki
30 · P. Hassani
70 · H. Zarouni
78 · M. Amiri
99 · A. Maleki
Persepolis FC
Formation not confirmed
1 P. Niazmand
20 E. Majid
5 H. Abarghouei
4 M. Zare
8 M. Tikdari
10 M. Mohebi
66 P. Pourali
77 M. Khodabandelou
70 O. Urunov
11 I. Sergeev
9 A. Alipour
Coach · –
Substitutes
3 · A. Jalali
7 · M. Omri
21 · P. Shahrabadi
22 · A. Rafiei
23 · T. Bifouma
34 · A. Mahmoudi
45 · M. Sadeghi
80 · Y. Salmani
88 · M. Bakic
89 · D. Eiri
99 · P. Latififar
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Kheybar Khorramabad
Formation not confirmed
12 M. Dinarvand
17 H. Hajiaghaei
15 M. Mohebi
3 E. Ghahremani
77 A. Safarzadeh
88 E. Babaei
8 F. Yousefi
11 H. Shanani
23 A. M. Khanzadi
76 A. Farsi
10 I. Moradi
Coach · –
Substitutes
1 · E. Moradian
4 · S. Pasandideh
6 · T. Shariati
14 · S. Khadempour
19 · M. Ghanbari
20 · A. Teymouri
22 · S. D. Baghaki
30 · P. Hassani
70 · H. Zarouni
78 · M. Amiri
99 · A. Maleki
Persepolis FC
Formation not confirmed
1 P. Niazmand
20 E. Majid
5 H. Abarghouei
4 M. Zare
8 M. Tikdari
10 M. Mohebi
66 P. Pourali
77 M. Khodabandelou
70 O. Urunov
11 I. Sergeev
9 A. Alipour
Coach · –
Substitutes
3 · A. Jalali
7 · M. Omri
21 · P. Shahrabadi
22 · A. Rafiei
23 · T. Bifouma
34 · A. Mahmoudi
45 · M. Sadeghi
80 · Y. Salmani
88 · M. Bakic
89 · D. Eiri
99 · P. Latififar
We make Persepolis FC a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 61%. We are 14 points less confident than the market. The model expects 0.9–1.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 61% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kheybar Khorramabad win | 22% | 14% | +8 |
| Draw | 31% | 25% | +6 |
| Persepolis FC win | 47% | 61% | −14 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 42% | −3 |
| Both teams to score | 44% | 39% | +5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% | 66% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | 22% | −3 |
| Kheybar Khorramabad or draw | 53% | 39% | +14 |
| Kheybar Khorramabad clean sheet | 26% | – | – |
| Persepolis FC clean sheet | 43% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2024Form · last six in Persian Gulf Pro League
KHEYBAR KHORRAMABAD
PERSEPOLIS FC
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tractor Sazi | 8 | 7 | 17 |
| 2 | Persepolis FC | 7 | 11 | 16 |
| 3 | Esteghlal FC | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| 4 | Sepahan FC | 8 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | Foolad FC | 8 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | Aluminium Arak | 8 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Gol Gohar | 8 | 3 | 13 |
| 8 | Fajr Sepasi | 8 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 | Paykan | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Nassaji Mazandaran | 8 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | Chadormalu SC | 8 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 | Malavan | 8 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 | Kheybar Khorramabad | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | ZOB Ahan | 8 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Shams Azar Qazvin | 8 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 | Esteghlal Khuzestan | 8 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 | Mes Shahr-e Babak | 8 | -6 | 5 |
| 18 | Sanat Naft | 8 | -8 | 4 |
The competition's standings.
Tractor Sazi
Esteghlal FC
Sepahan FC
Foolad FC
Aluminium Arak
Gol Gohar
Fajr Sepasi
Paykan
Nassaji Mazandaran
Chadormalu SC
Malavan
ZOB Ahan
Shams Azar Qazvin
Esteghlal Khuzestan
Mes Shahr-e Babak
Sanat Naft