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Foolad FC v Nassaji Mazandaran
Foolad FC
Nassaji MazandaranPersian Gulf Pro League · SUN 18 OCT · Foolad Arena
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Foolad FC win at 47%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Foolad FC 47% before kick-off, 47% now. 0–0 · 47–35–18
- 1′KICK-OFF Foolad FC v Nassaji Mazandaran
- 21′🟨 YELLOW · 21' Nassaji Mazandaran
- 34′THE CALL SWINGS · 34' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Foolad FC win 39%)
- 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Foolad FC win: 47% at kick-off, 37% now
- 44′We said Foolad FC at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 35%. 0–0 · 35–49–16
- 45′HALF-TIME Foolad FC 0–0 Nassaji Mazandaran
- 46′We said Foolad FC at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–50–16
- 46′SECOND HALF Foolad FC 0–0 Nassaji Mazandaran
- 53′🟨 YELLOW · 52' Foolad FC
- 55′SUBSTITUTION · 47' Foolad FC · On: M. Mohammadi · Off: F. Ahmadzadeh
- 55′SUBSTITUTION · 48' Nassaji Mazandaran · On: I. Akbari · Off: A. Nasiri
- 58′We said Foolad FC at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 28%. 0–0 · 28–58–14
- 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' Foolad FC win: 47% at kick-off, 27% now
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Foolad FC · On: Y. Mazrae · Off: A. Bagheri
- 65′We said Foolad FC at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–64–12
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Foolad FC · On: K. Latifi · Off: A. Jolani
- 72′We said Foolad FC at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–72–9
- 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Foolad FC win: 47% at kick-off, 17% now
- 77′We said Foolad FC at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–78–7
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Foolad FC · On: A. Abolfazlzadeh · Off: M. Sarlak
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Nassaji Mazandaran · On: F. Najafi · Off: J. Aghaeipour
- 82′We said Foolad FC at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–86–5
- 82′🟨 YELLOW · 82' Foolad FC
- 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Foolad FC win: 47% at kick-off, 7% now
- 89′We said Foolad FC at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–93–2
- 96′SUBSTITUTION · 38' Nassaji Mazandaran · On: Y. Barajeh · Off: B. Norouzifard
- 96′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Foolad FC · On: V. Amiri · Off: E. Mahrooghi
- FTFULL TIME Foolad FC 0–0 Nassaji Mazandaran
- FTFoolad FC 0–0 Nassaji Mazandaran · Foolad FC win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Foolad FC are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Foolad FC 47%, draw 34%, Nassaji Mazandaran 18%. Over 2.5 goals 28%, both teams to score 34%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Foolad FC win47%
Nassaji Mazandaran win18%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 16:45
RoundMatchday 9
VenueFoolad Arena
Match timeline
All events
Foolad FCMIN
Nassaji MazandaranEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Foolad FC
Nassaji Mazandaran
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Foolad FC
Nassaji Mazandaran
Last match: 13 Oct · Persian Gulf Pro League
Last match: 8 Oct · Persian Gulf Pro League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Foolad FC
Formation not confirmed
81 H. Lak
3 S. Ansari
– A. Akvan
5 A. Saedi
2 A. Razzaghpour
30 A. Akbarzadeh
66 M. Sarlak
78 A. Jolani
9 E. Mahrooghi
23 A. Bagheri
10 F. Ahmadzadeh
Coach · –
Substitutes
1 · M. Forouzan
6 · O. Hamedifar
7 · M. Mohammadi
11 · V. Amiri
13 · M. Badragheh
20 · Y. Mazrae
21 · M. Moradi
26 · M. Kazemi
29 · G. Latifi
70 · A. Attar
77 · M. Keshavarzi
Nassaji Mazandaran
Formation not confirmed
1 A. Jafarpour
2 A. Koohi
26 B. Norouzifard
3 H. Rabizadeh
17 A. Arasteh
24 A. Nasiri
6 A. Sarabadani
14 P. Rezazadeh
46 F. Emamali
9 J. Aghaeipour
8 A. Sadeghi
Coach · –
Substitutes
– · I. Akbari
– · Y. Barajeh
87 · A. Sheikhirad
10 · A. Mohammadnejad
19 · A. Mahdavikia
20 · A. Aarabi
22 · O. Amiri
72 · M. Hosseinzadehfard
77 · F. Najafi
99 · K. Ezhdehakosh
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Foolad FC
Formation not confirmed
81 H. Lak
3 S. Ansari
– A. Akvan
5 A. Saedi
2 A. Razzaghpour
30 A. Akbarzadeh
66 M. Sarlak
78 A. Jolani
9 E. Mahrooghi
23 A. Bagheri
10 F. Ahmadzadeh
Coach · –
Substitutes
1 · M. Forouzan
6 · O. Hamedifar
7 · M. Mohammadi
11 · V. Amiri
13 · M. Badragheh
20 · Y. Mazrae
21 · M. Moradi
26 · M. Kazemi
29 · G. Latifi
70 · A. Attar
77 · M. Keshavarzi
Nassaji Mazandaran
Formation not confirmed
1 A. Jafarpour
2 A. Koohi
26 B. Norouzifard
3 H. Rabizadeh
17 A. Arasteh
24 A. Nasiri
6 A. Sarabadani
14 P. Rezazadeh
46 F. Emamali
9 J. Aghaeipour
8 A. Sadeghi
Coach · –
Substitutes
– · I. Akbari
– · Y. Barajeh
87 · A. Sheikhirad
10 · A. Mohammadnejad
19 · A. Mahdavikia
20 · A. Aarabi
22 · O. Amiri
72 · M. Hosseinzadehfard
77 · F. Najafi
99 · K. Ezhdehakosh
We make Foolad FC a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 57%. We are 10 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–0.6.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 57% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Foolad FC win | 47% | 57% | −10 |
| Draw | 34% | 29% | +5 |
| Nassaji Mazandaran win | 18% | 14% | +4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 28% | 27% | +1 |
| Both teams to score | 34% | 30% | +4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 56% | 53% | +3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 11% | 12% | −1 |
| Foolad FC or draw | 82% | 86% | −4 |
| Foolad FC clean sheet | 53% | – | – |
| Nassaji Mazandaran clean sheet | 31% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 2 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
8 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Persian Gulf Pro League this season · since 23 Aug
FOOLAD FC
NASSAJI MAZANDARAN
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persepolis FC | 8 | +11 | 17 |
| 2 | Tractor Sazi | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 3 | Esteghlal FC | 8 | +8 | 16 |
| 4 | Sepahan FC | 8 | +7 | 16 |
| 5 | Foolad FC | 8 | +4 | 15 |
| 6 | Aluminium Arak | 9 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 | Gol Gohar | 8 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 | Fajr Sepasi | 8 | −4 | 10 |
| 9 | Paykan | 8 | −1 | 9 |
| 10 | Nassaji Mazandaran | 8 | −2 | 9 |
| 11 | Chadormalu SC | 8 | −5 | 9 |
| 12 | Kheybar Khorramabad | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Malavan | 8 | −4 | 8 |
| 14 | ZOB Ahan | 8 | −3 | 7 |
| 15 | Sanat Naft | 9 | −7 | 7 |
| 16 | Shams Azar Qazvin | 8 | −3 | 6 |
| 17 | Esteghlal Khuzestan | 8 | −8 | 6 |
| 18 | Mes Shahr-e Babak | 8 | −6 | 5 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Persepolis FC
Tractor Sazi
Esteghlal FC
Sepahan FC
Aluminium Arak
Gol Gohar
Fajr Sepasi
Paykan
Chadormalu SC
Kheybar Khorramabad
Malavan
ZOB Ahan
Sanat Naft
Shams Azar Qazvin
Esteghlal Khuzestan
Mes Shahr-e Babak