Home › Football › Persian Gulf Pro League › Chadormalu SC v Kheybar Khorramabad

Chadormalu SC v Kheybar Khorramabad

Chadormalu SC

2–2Full time

Kheybar Khorramabad

Persian Gulf Pro League · FRI 9 OCT · Nassiri Stadium

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 17:04

Chadormalu SC 2–2 Kheybar Khorramabad CHADORMALU SC WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG0–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Chadormalu SC win~~40%

~~The market said~~37%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.660

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.700

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Chadormalu SC win40%

Draw34%

Kheybar Khorramabad win25%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 14:15

Venue · Nassiri Stadium

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Chadormalu SC

Formation not confirmed

12 Edson Mardden

10 D. Torres

2 S. Mohammadfar

5 S. Sadeghian

8 A. Gholami

30 P. Lashak

76 R. Dehghan

13 R. Mahmoudabadi

78 M. Khosravi

11 Renny

77 R. Mirzaei

Coach · –

Substitutes

3 · A. Arta

4 · S. M. Hosseini

7 · A. Safari Laksar

9 · M. Asadi

16 · M. Tabatabaei

19 · A. Kamali

20 · A. Anafjeh

24 · S. Hosseini

69 · M. Ghojoghi

82 · A. Kalbasi

99 · A. Ahmadsadeghi

Kheybar Khorramabad

Formation not confirmed

12 M. Dinarvand

44 F. Mohammadimehr

15 M. Mohebi

3 E. Ghahremani

77 A. Safarzadeh

17 H. Hajiaghaei

23 A. M. Khanzadi

10 I. Moradi

88 E. Babaei

8 F. Yousefi

76 A. Farsi

Coach · –

Substitutes

6 · T. Shariati

7 · H. Taherkhani

19 · M. Ghanbari

20 · A. Teymouri

78 · M. Amiri

99 · A. Maleki

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Chadormalu SC

Formation not confirmed

12 Edson Mardden

10 D. Torres

2 S. Mohammadfar

5 S. Sadeghian

8 A. Gholami

30 P. Lashak

76 R. Dehghan

13 R. Mahmoudabadi

78 M. Khosravi

11 Renny

77 R. Mirzaei

Coach · –

Substitutes

3 · A. Arta

4 · S. M. Hosseini

7 · A. Safari Laksar

9 · M. Asadi

16 · M. Tabatabaei

19 · A. Kamali

20 · A. Anafjeh

24 · S. Hosseini

69 · M. Ghojoghi

82 · A. Kalbasi

99 · A. Ahmadsadeghi

Kheybar Khorramabad

Formation not confirmed

12 M. Dinarvand

44 F. Mohammadimehr

15 M. Mohebi

3 E. Ghahremani

77 A. Safarzadeh

17 H. Hajiaghaei

23 A. M. Khanzadi

10 I. Moradi

88 E. Babaei

8 F. Yousefi

76 A. Farsi

Coach · –

Substitutes

6 · T. Shariati

7 · H. Taherkhani

19 · M. Ghanbari

20 · A. Teymouri

78 · M. Amiri

99 · A. Maleki

Our number · chadormalu sc winPublished 9 Oct 14:02

40% The market37%

Us40%

~~Market~~37%

We make Chadormalu SC a 40% chance to win. The market has them at 37%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–0.8.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Chadormalu SC win	40%	37%	+3
Draw	34%	32%	+2
Kheybar Khorramabad win	25%	31%	−5
Over 2.5 goals	32%	33%	−2
Both teams to score	40%	42%	−2
Over 1.5 goals	60%	59%	+1
Over 3.5 goals	14%	16%	−2
Chadormalu SC or draw	75%	69%	+5
Chadormalu SC clean sheet	43%	–	–
Kheybar Khorramabad clean sheet	33%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 3 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 16.1%

0123450 16.1 10.0 5.0 1 13.9 14.7 5.5 2 8.8 7.3 3.1 3 3.4 2.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Chadormalu SC down, Kheybar Khorramabad across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,197 Persian Gulf Pro League matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Persian Gulf Pro League matches have gone over 2.5 in 23.1% of games this season, across 65 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 2.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Chadormalu SC at home: 1.50 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Kheybar Khorramabad away: 1.00 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.13 goals for Chadormalu SC, 0.84 for Kheybar Khorramabad. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 4

~~Both scored~~1 of 4

~~Last meetings~~KHE 0–2 CHA · CHA 2–1 KHE · KHE 2–0 CHA · CHA 1–0 KHE

Form · last six in Persian Gulf Pro League

CHADORMALU SC

DLLDWW0–0 · 0–3 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 2–1

KHEYBAR KHORRAMABAD

DDLDWL1–1 · 1–1 · 2–3 · 2–2 · 2–0 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tractor Sazi	8	+7	17
2	Esteghlal FC	8	+8	16
3	Persepolis FC	6	+9	13
4	Sepahan FC	7	+6	13
5	Aluminium Arak	7	+5	13
6	Gol Gohar	8	+3	13
7	Foolad FC	7	+3	12
8	Nassaji Mazandaran	8	−2	9
9	Paykan	7	−1	8
10	Malavan	7	−3	8
11	Chadormalu SC	7	−5	8
12	ZOB Ahan	7	−2	7
13	Fajr Sepasi	7	−5	7
14	Kheybar Khorramabad	6	0	6
15	Esteghlal Khuzestan	8	−8	6
16	Shams Azar Qazvin	7	−3	5
17	Mes Shahr-e Babak	8	−6	5
18	Sanat Naft	7	−6	4