Home › Football › Azadegan League › Shenavarsazi Qeshm v Mes Kerman
Back

Shenavarsazi Qeshm v Mes Kerman
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
Mes KermanAzadegan League · TUE 20 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said a draw at 43%.
- 1′KICK-OFF Shenavarsazi Qeshm v Mes Kerman
- 2′Little has changed for our model: the draw 43% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 30–43–27
- 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 34' Draw: 43% at kick-off, 53% now
- 39′We said the draw at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 55%. 0–0 · 23–55–22
- 48′We said the draw at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 60%. 0–0 · 21–60–19
- 70′We said the draw at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 76%. 0–0 · 12–76–12
- 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' Draw: 43% at kick-off, 76% now
- 74′We said the draw at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 0–0 · 10–80–10
- 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Draw: 43% at kick-off, 83% now
- 79′79′: M. Ranjbari on the scoresheet for Shenavarsazi Qeshm, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 93–7–0
- 79′⚽ GOAL · 79' Shenavarsazi Qeshm 1–0 Mes Kerman · M. Ranjbari
- 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Draw: 43% at kick-off, 7% now
- 79′THE CALL SWINGS · 79' Shenavarsazi Qeshm win is now our likeliest result at 93% (was Draw 85%)
- 80′We said the draw at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 6%. 1–0 · 94–6–0
- 81′The goal count is tracking the 1.3 we expected. 1–0 · 94–6–0
- 84′We said the draw at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–0 · 96–4–0
- 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Draw: 43% at kick-off, 3% now
- FTFULL TIME Shenavarsazi Qeshm 1–0 Mes Kerman
- FTShenavarsazi Qeshm 1–0 Mes Kerman · Draw: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Under 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
A draw is the likeliest result.
The Pitchside prediction: Shenavarsazi Qeshm 30%, draw 43%, Mes Kerman 27%. Over 2.5 goals 16%, both teams to score 25%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off
Shenavarsazi Qeshm win30%
Mes Kerman win27%Kick-offTUE 20 OCT · 15:00
RoundMatchday 6
Match timeline
All events
Shenavarsazi QeshmMIN
Mes KermanEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
Mes Kerman
Last match: 12 Oct · Azadegan League
Last match: 12 Oct · Azadegan League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make the draw a 43% chance. The market has it at 26%. We are 17 points more confident than the market. The model expects 0.7–0.7.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 26% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shenavarsazi Qeshm win | 30% | 61% | −31 |
| Draw | 43% | 26% | +17 |
| Mes Kerman win | 27% | 13% | +14 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 16% | 39% | −23 |
| Both teams to score | 25% | 36% | −11 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 41% | 62% | −21 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 5% | 22% | −17 |
| Shenavarsazi Qeshm or draw | 73% | 87% | −14 |
| Shenavarsazi Qeshm clean sheet | 53% | – | – |
| Mes Kerman clean sheet | 50% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 2 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2025/26Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Azadegan League this season · since 15 Sept
SHENAVARSAZI QESHM
MES KERMAN
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pars Jonoubi JAM | 5 | +3 | 11 |
| 2 | Mes Rafsanjan | 5 | +3 | 11 |
| 3 | Saipa | 6 | +1 | 10 |
| 4 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 5 | +2 | 9 |
| 5 | Ario Eslamshahr | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 | Naft Masjed Soleyman | 6 | +2 | 8 |
| 7 | Fard Alborz | 6 | +1 | 8 |
| 8 | Mes Soongoun | 6 | −1 | 8 |
| 9 | Be'sat Kermanshah | 5 | +2 | 7 |
| 10 | Novin Ahvaz | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Naft Gachsaran | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Naft Bandar Abbas | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 13 | Shahin Bandar Ameri | 6 | −2 | 6 |
| 14 | Niroye Zamini | 5 | −2 | 4 |
| 15 | Mes Kerman | 5 | −2 | 3 |
| 16 | Havadar | 6 | −7 | 2 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Pars Jonoubi JAM
Mes Rafsanjan
Saipa
Ario Eslamshahr
Naft Masjed Soleyman
Fard Alborz
Mes Soongoun
Be'sat Kermanshah
Novin Ahvaz
Naft Gachsaran
Naft Bandar Abbas
Shahin Bandar Ameri
Niroye Zamini
Havadar