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Naft Masjed Soleyman v Saipa
Naft Masjed Soleyman
SaipaAzadegan League · MON 19 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Naft Masjed Soleyman win at 37%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Naft Masjed Soleyman was 37% before kick-off and our model makes it 37% now. 0–0 · 37–35–27
- 1′KICK-OFF Naft Masjed Soleyman v Saipa
- 18′Saipa find the net on 18′. 0–1. 0–1 · 13–22–65
- 18′A goal for Saipa on 18′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 4–9–87
- 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Naft Masjed Soleyman 0–1 Saipa
- 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 18' Naft Masjed Soleyman win: 37% at kick-off, 13% now
- 18′THE CALL SWINGS · 18' Saipa win is now our likeliest result at 65% (was Naft Masjed Soleyman win 37%)
- 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Naft Masjed Soleyman 0–2 Saipa
- 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 18' Naft Masjed Soleyman win: 37% at kick-off, 4% now
- 19′We said Naft Masjed Soleyman at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 3%. 0–2 · 3–9–87
- 22′Naft Masjed Soleyman score on 22′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 12–22–66
- 22′We said Naft Masjed Soleyman at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 12%. 1–2 · 12–22–66
- 22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Naft Masjed Soleyman 1–2 Saipa
- 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Naft Masjed Soleyman win: 37% at kick-off, 12% now
- 25′GOAL DISALLOWED · 25' Saipa
- 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Naft Masjed Soleyman win: 37% at kick-off, 34% now
- 25′THE CALL SWINGS · 25' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Saipa win 66%)
- 45′HALF-TIME Naft Masjed Soleyman 1–1 Saipa
- 46′SECOND HALF Naft Masjed Soleyman 1–1 Saipa
- 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+5' Naft Masjed Soleyman win: 37% at kick-off, 27% now
- 55′We said Naft Masjed Soleyman at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 25%. 1–1 · 25–55–20
- 58′We said Naft Masjed Soleyman at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–57–19
- 67′We said Naft Masjed Soleyman at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–65–15
- 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Naft Masjed Soleyman win: 37% at kick-off, 17% now
- 75′Goals are coming at about the 1.9 we expected. 1–1 · 14–74–11
- 81′We said Naft Masjed Soleyman at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–83–7
- 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Naft Masjed Soleyman win: 37% at kick-off, 7% now
- FTFULL TIME Naft Masjed Soleyman 1–1 Saipa
- FTNaft Masjed Soleyman 1–1 Saipa · Naft Masjed Soleyman win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Naft Masjed Soleyman just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Naft Masjed Soleyman 37%, draw 35%, Saipa 27%. Over 2.5 goals 31%, both teams to score 39%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 13 Oct 05:25 · locked at kick-off
Naft Masjed Soleyman win37%
Saipa win27%Kick-offMON 19 OCT · 15:30
RoundMatchday 6
Match timeline
All events
Naft Masjed SoleymanMIN
SaipaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Naft Masjed Soleyman
Saipa
Last match: 11 Oct · Azadegan League
Last match: 12 Oct · Azadegan League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Naft Masjed Soleyman a 37% chance to win. The market has them at 34%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–0.9.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 34% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Naft Masjed Soleyman win | 37% | 34% | +3 |
| Draw | 35% | 32% | +3 |
| Saipa win | 27% | 34% | −7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 31% | 31% | 0 |
| Both teams to score | 39% | 40% | −1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 59% | 57% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 14% | 16% | −2 |
| Naft Masjed Soleyman or draw | 73% | 66% | +7 |
| Naft Masjed Soleyman clean sheet | 43% | – | – |
| Saipa clean sheet | 36% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Azadegan League this season · since 16 Sept
NAFT MASJED SOLEYMAN
SAIPA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pars Jonoubi JAM | 5 | +3 | 11 |
| 2 | Mes Rafsanjan | 5 | +3 | 11 |
| 3 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 5 | +2 | 9 |
| 4 | Saipa | 5 | +1 | 9 |
| 5 | Ario Eslamshahr | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 | Fard Alborz | 5 | +3 | 8 |
| 7 | Naft Masjed Soleyman | 5 | +2 | 7 |
| 8 | Be'sat Kermanshah | 5 | +2 | 7 |
| 9 | Naft Bandar Abbas | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Shahin Bandar Ameri | 5 | −1 | 6 |
| 11 | Mes Soongoun | 5 | −2 | 5 |
| 12 | Novin Ahvaz | 5 | −1 | 4 |
| 13 | Niroye Zamini | 5 | −2 | 4 |
| 14 | Mes Kerman | 5 | −2 | 3 |
| 15 | Naft Gachsaran | 5 | −2 | 3 |
| 16 | Havadar | 5 | −6 | 2 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Pars Jonoubi JAM
Mes Rafsanjan
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
Ario Eslamshahr
Fard Alborz
Be'sat Kermanshah
Naft Bandar Abbas
Shahin Bandar Ameri
Mes Soongoun
Novin Ahvaz
Niroye Zamini
Mes Kerman
Naft Gachsaran
Havadar