Havadar v Novin Ahvaz

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Havadar win at 46%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Havadar was 46% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 46–34–21
3. 1′KICK-OFF Havadar v Novin Ahvaz
4. 35′THE CALL SWINGS · 35' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Havadar win 40%)
5. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Havadar win: 46% at kick-off, 36% now
6. 45′We said Havadar at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–48–18
7. 45′HALF-TIME Havadar 0–0 Novin Ahvaz
8. 46′SECOND HALF Havadar 0–0 Novin Ahvaz
9. 56′We said Havadar at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–55–16
10. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Havadar win: 46% at kick-off, 26% now
11. 65′We said Havadar at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–63–13
12. 72′We said Havadar at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–70–11
13. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Havadar win: 46% at kick-off, 16% now
14. 78′We said Havadar at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–78–8
15. 83′We said Havadar at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–86–5
16. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Havadar win: 46% at kick-off, 6% now
17. 90′We said Havadar at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–94–2
18. 94′A goal for Novin Ahvaz on 90′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 0–1–99
19. 94′⚽ GOAL · 90+4' Havadar 0–1 Novin Ahvaz
20. 94′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+4' Novin Ahvaz win is now our likeliest result at 99% (was Draw 98%)
21. FTFULL TIME Havadar 0–1 Novin Ahvaz
22. FTHavadar 0–1 Novin Ahvaz · Havadar win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.