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Tornado Pekanbaru v PSBS Biak Numfor

Tornado Pekanbaru

6–0Full time

PSBS Biak Numfor

Liga 2 · SAT 10 OCT · Stadion Sriwedari

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 15:38

Tornado Pekanbaru 6–0 PSBS Biak Numfor TORNADO PEKANBARU WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT3–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Tornado Pekanbaru win~~88%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.024

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay6 notes · 36 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Tornado Pekanbaru win at 88%.
1′Much as we predicted: Tornado Pekanbaru was 88% before kick-off and our model makes it 91% now. 0–0 · 91–6–3
1′KICK-OFF Tornado Pekanbaru v PSBS Biak Numfor
6′⚽ GOAL · 5' Tornado Pekanbaru 1–0 PSBS Biak Numfor
6′⚽ GOAL · 6' Tornado Pekanbaru 2–0 PSBS Biak Numfor
13′⚽ GOAL · 13' Tornado Pekanbaru 3–0 PSBS Biak Numfor
22′Tornado Pekanbaru ahead on 21′ through O. Camara. 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Tornado Pekanbaru win: 88% at kick-off, 100% now
45′We published Tornado Pekanbaru at 88%. Our model now makes it 100%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
45′HALF-TIME Tornado Pekanbaru 3–0 PSBS Biak Numfor
50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' PSBS Biak Numfor · On: K. Zidan · Off: F. Galih
50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Tornado Pekanbaru · On: A. Oktaviansyah · Off: O. Camara
50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Tornado Pekanbaru · On: R. Lastori · Off: I. Siregar
50′SECOND HALF Tornado Pekanbaru 3–0 PSBS Biak Numfor
53′Tornado Pekanbaru ahead on 23′ through O. Camara. 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
58′PENALTY MISSED · 57' Tornado Pekanbaru
60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Tornado Pekanbaru 4–0 PSBS Biak Numfor
69′Tornado Pekanbaru find the net on 69′. 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
70′⚽ GOAL · 69' Tornado Pekanbaru 5–0 PSBS Biak Numfor
71′⚽ GOAL · 69' Tornado Pekanbaru 5–0 PSBS Biak Numfor
74′⚽ GOAL · 73' Tornado Pekanbaru 6–0 PSBS Biak Numfor
76′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Tornado Pekanbaru · On: B. Walidain · Off: M. Fatchu Rochman
76′⚽ GOAL · 73' Tornado Pekanbaru 6–0 PSBS Biak Numfor
77′SUBSTITUTION · 75' PSBS Biak Numfor · On: F. Nabil · Off: G. Ganendra
85′⚽ GOAL · 4' Tornado Pekanbaru 6–0 PSBS Biak Numfor · A. Firmansyah (assist I. Siregar)
85′⚽ GOAL · 15' Tornado Pekanbaru 6–0 PSBS Biak Numfor · Y. Alkanza (assist A. Firmansyah)
85′⚽ GOAL · 23' Tornado Pekanbaru 6–0 PSBS Biak Numfor · O. Camara
85′SUBSTITUTION · 46' PSBS Biak Numfor · On: K. Zidan · Off: F. Galih
85′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Tornado Pekanbaru · On: A. Oktaviansyah · Off: O. Camara
85′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Tornado Pekanbaru · On: R. Lastori · Off: I. Siregar
85′PENALTY MISSED · 57' Tornado Pekanbaru
85′⚽ GOAL · 59' Tornado Pekanbaru 6–0 PSBS Biak Numfor · R. Lastori (assist Patrick)
85′SUBSTITUTION · 68' PSBS Biak Numfor · On: M. Ilhan · Off: K. Maheswara
85′SUBSTITUTION · 68' PSBS Biak Numfor · On: N. Al-Ghani · Off: W. Naufal
85′⚽ GOAL · 69' Tornado Pekanbaru 6–0 PSBS Biak Numfor · A. Firmansyah (assist A. Oktaviansyah)
85′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Tornado Pekanbaru · On: D. Rizky · Off: Y. Alkanza
85′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Tornado Pekanbaru · On: B. Walidain · Off: M. Fatchu Rochman
85′⚽ GOAL · 73' Tornado Pekanbaru 6–0 PSBS Biak Numfor · D. Rizky
85′SUBSTITUTION · 75' PSBS Biak Numfor · On: F. Nabil · Off: G. Ganendra
90′D. Rizky scores for Tornado Pekanbaru on 73′ — 6–0. 6–0 · 100–0–0
90′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Tornado Pekanbaru · On: D. Nofiansyah · Off: R. Aprianto
90′🟨 YELLOW · 93' Tornado Pekanbaru
FTFULL TIME Tornado Pekanbaru 6–0 PSBS Biak Numfor
FTTornado Pekanbaru 6–0 PSBS Biak Numfor · Tornado Pekanbaru win: right · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 3–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Tornado Pekanbaru win88%

Draw8%

PSBS Biak Numfor win4%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 13:00

Venue · Stadion Sriwedari

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Tornado Pekanbaru

Formation not confirmed

37 E. Deva

4 F. Afriyanto

6 R. Aprianto

9 Patrick

11 Y. Alkanza

13 A. Prasetyo

16 I. Siregar

24 M. Fatchu Rochman

27 D. Sukarno

57 A. Firmansyah

99 O. Camara

Coach · –

Substitutes

34 · T. Hamdani

8 · A. Oktaviansyah

12 · D. Rizky

14 · A. Diaz

15 · S. Anwar

19 · D. Nofiansyah

20 · J. Al Ghony

25 · Z. Salmon

31 · B. Walidain

33 · J. Kurniady

46 · F. Wahyu

86 · R. Lastori

PSBS Biak Numfor

Formation not confirmed

89 K. Maheswara

11 W. Naufal

12 A. Tri

19 F. Galih

23 P. Susilo

27 R. Aji

32 P. Rumere

44 M. Madjar

49 S. Alwansyah

66 G. Ganendra

98 S. Gwijangge

Coach · Marian Mihail

Substitutes

20 · M. Ilhan

22 · L. Andreas

3 · G. Suparman

14 · I. Rumbewas

17 · A. Sumantri

29 · N. Al-Ghani

33 · K. Zidan

37 · B. Angkasa

43 · R. Rihhadatul

77 · F. Nabil

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Tornado Pekanbaru

Formation not confirmed

37 E. Deva

4 F. Afriyanto

6 R. Aprianto

9 Patrick

11 Y. Alkanza

13 A. Prasetyo

16 I. Siregar

24 M. Fatchu Rochman

27 D. Sukarno

57 A. Firmansyah

99 O. Camara

Coach · –

Substitutes

34 · T. Hamdani

8 · A. Oktaviansyah

12 · D. Rizky

14 · A. Diaz

15 · S. Anwar

19 · D. Nofiansyah

20 · J. Al Ghony

25 · Z. Salmon

31 · B. Walidain

33 · J. Kurniady

46 · F. Wahyu

86 · R. Lastori

PSBS Biak Numfor

Formation not confirmed

89 K. Maheswara

11 W. Naufal

12 A. Tri

19 F. Galih

23 P. Susilo

27 R. Aji

32 P. Rumere

44 M. Madjar

49 S. Alwansyah

66 G. Ganendra

98 S. Gwijangge

Coach · Marian Mihail

Substitutes

20 · M. Ilhan

22 · L. Andreas

3 · G. Suparman

14 · I. Rumbewas

17 · A. Sumantri

29 · N. Al-Ghani

33 · K. Zidan

37 · B. Angkasa

43 · R. Rihhadatul

77 · F. Nabil

Our number · tornado pekanbaru winPublished 10 Oct 13:12

88% The market–

Us88%

We make Tornado Pekanbaru a 88% chance to win. The model expects 3.8–0.6, and 3–0 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Tornado Pekanbaru win	88%	–	–
Draw	8%	–	–
PSBS Biak Numfor win	4%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	78%	–	–
Both teams to score	45%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	91%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	62%	–	–
Tornado Pekanbaru or draw	96%	–	–
Tornado Pekanbaru clean sheet	53%	–	–
PSBS Biak Numfor clean sheet	4%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 3–0 at 9.5%

0123450 1 5.6 3.8 2 8.7 5.7 3 9.5 6.1 2.1 4 8.3 5.2 5 6.5 3.8

under 2% 5% 12%+Tornado Pekanbaru down, PSBS Biak Numfor across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,089 Liga 2 matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Liga 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.5% of games this season, across 41 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Tornado Pekanbaru at home: 2.83 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). PSBS Biak Numfor away: 1.00 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

3.84 goals for Tornado Pekanbaru, 0.65 for PSBS Biak Numfor. Most likely score 3–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Liga 2

TORNADO PEKANBARU

LWWDDW0–1 · 5–0 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 2–2 · 2–0

PSBS BIAK NUMFOR

WWLLLL3–0 · 3–0 · 0–5 · 0–7 · 0–6 · 1–5

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Persela Lamongan	4	+10	12
2	Deltras	4	+9	12
3	PSMS Medan	4	+11	10
4	RANS Nusantara	5	+6	10
5	PSPS	4	+2	9
6	Persikad Depok FC	4	−1	9
7	Tornado Pekanbaru	4	+3	8
8	Semen Padang	4	+2	7
9	PSIS Semarang	4	0	7
10	PSGC Ciamis	4	0	6
11	Persipura Jayapura	5	−1	5
12	Persis Solo	4	+3	4
13	Barito Putera	4	−1	4
14	Dejan	4	−2	4
15	Sumsel United	4	−2	4
16	Persiraja Banda Aceh	5	−2	3
17	Bekasi City	4	−3	1
18	Persiku Kudus	3	−7	1
19	Persiba Balikpapan	4	−5	0
20	PSBS Biak Numfor	4	−22	0