Home › Football › Liga 2 › Tornado Pekanbaru v Deltras

Tornado Pekanbaru v Deltras

Tornado Pekanbaru

2–2Full time

Deltras

Liga 2 · SAT 24 OCT · Stadion Sriwedari

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 15:38

Tornado Pekanbaru 2–2 Deltras TORNADO PEKANBARU WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Tornado Pekanbaru win~~62%

~~The market said~~41%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.035

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.813

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay21 notes · 34 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Tornado Pekanbaru win at 62%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Tornado Pekanbaru 62% before kick-off, 62% now. 0–0 · 62–22–16
1′KICK-OFF Tornado Pekanbaru v Deltras
15′🟨 YELLOW · 15' Deltras
23′A goal for Deltras on 23′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 30–27–43
23′⚽ GOAL · 23' Tornado Pekanbaru 0–1 Deltras
23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Tornado Pekanbaru win: 62% at kick-off, 30% now
23′THE CALL SWINGS · 23' Deltras win is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Tornado Pekanbaru win 57%)
24′We said Tornado Pekanbaru at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 30%. 0–1 · 30–27–44
25′We said Tornado Pekanbaru at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–1 · 29–27–44
30′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 0–1 · 27–27–46
36′We said Tornado Pekanbaru at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–28–48
40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Tornado Pekanbaru win: 62% at kick-off, 22% now
43′🟨 YELLOW · 43' Deltras
44′Tornado Pekanbaru score on 44′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 49–35–16
44′⚽ GOAL · 44' Tornado Pekanbaru 1–1 Deltras
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Tornado Pekanbaru win: 62% at kick-off, 49% now
44′THE CALL SWINGS · 44' Tornado Pekanbaru win is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Deltras win 51%)
45′We said Tornado Pekanbaru at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 48%. 1–1 · 48–36–16
45′43′: Patrick on the scoresheet for Tornado Pekanbaru, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 48–36–16
45′HALF-TIME Tornado Pekanbaru 1–1 Deltras
46′SECOND HALF Tornado Pekanbaru 1–1 Deltras
47′🟨 YELLOW · 45+1' Deltras
50′Tornado Pekanbaru find the net on 50′. 2–1. 2–1 · 84–13–3
50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Tornado Pekanbaru 2–1 Deltras
50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Tornado Pekanbaru win: 62% at kick-off, 84% now
51′We said Tornado Pekanbaru at 62% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 84%. 2–1 · 84–13–3
51′3 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 84–13–3
51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Tornado Pekanbaru win: 62% at kick-off, 84% now
53′We said Tornado Pekanbaru at 62% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–3
60′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Tornado Pekanbaru
62′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Deltras · On: A. Dwi · Off: M. Irman
62′🟨 YELLOW · 62' Tornado Pekanbaru
62′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Deltras · On: A. Krisna · Off: G. Kritanto
74′We said Tornado Pekanbaru at 62% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–10–1
79′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Deltras · On: C. Deo · Off: A. Rahman
79′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Tornado Pekanbaru · On: J. Al Ghony · Off: Y. Alkanza
79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Tornado Pekanbaru win: 62% at kick-off, 92% now
81′A goal for Deltras on 81′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 17–76–7
81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Tornado Pekanbaru 2–2 Deltras
81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Tornado Pekanbaru win: 62% at kick-off, 17% now
81′THE CALL SWINGS · 81' Draw is now our likeliest result at 76% (was Tornado Pekanbaru win 92%)
82′We said Tornado Pekanbaru at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 15%. 2–2 · 15–78–6
82′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 15–78–6
83′We said Tornado Pekanbaru at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 14–81–6
84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Tornado Pekanbaru win: 62% at kick-off, 12% now
85′N. A. Pramana scores for Deltras on 80′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 11–84–5
87′We said Tornado Pekanbaru at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–87–4
91′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Deltras · On: W. Pratama · Off: Taher Jahanbakhsh
91′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Deltras · On: R. Pellu · Off: M. Cingi
91′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Tornado Pekanbaru · On: D. Rizky · Off: Patrick
92′We said Tornado Pekanbaru at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–94–2
92′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Tornado Pekanbaru · On: R. Lastori · Off: O. Camara
92′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Tornado Pekanbaru · On: E. Deva · Off: T. Hamdani
94′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+4' Tornado Pekanbaru win: 62% at kick-off, 2% now
FTFULL TIME Tornado Pekanbaru 2–2 Deltras
FTTornado Pekanbaru 2–2 Deltras · Tornado Pekanbaru win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Tornado Pekanbaru are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Tornado Pekanbaru 62%, draw 21%, Deltras 16%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Tornado Pekanbaru v DeltrasBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Tornado Pekanbaru win62%

Draw21%

Deltras win16%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 7

VenueStadion Sriwedari

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Tornado Pekanbaru

Deltras

8Days since last match6

Last match: 16 Oct · Liga 2

Last match: 18 Oct · Liga 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Tornado Pekanbaru	6	+12	14
3	Deltras	6	+9	14

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · tornado pekanbaru winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 24 Oct 04:03 · locked at kick-off

62% The market41%

Us62%

~~Market~~41%

We make Tornado Pekanbaru a 62% chance to win. The market has them at 41%. We are 21 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.0–0.9.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Tornado Pekanbaru v Deltras~~2.01 – 0.89

~~Form · Liga 2 this season · since 12 Sept~~W4 D2 L0 · W4 D2 L0

~~Table places · points 14 v 14~~2 v 3

~~The market · Tornado Pekanbaru win~~41% · ours 62%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Tornado Pekanbaru win The market, margin stripped

Published at 61%, 62% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 41% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Tornado Pekanbaru win	62%	41%	+21
Draw	21%	27%	−6
Deltras win	16%	33%	−17
Over 2.5 goals	54%	54%	0
Both teams to score	50%	58%	−8
Over 1.5 goals	78%	76%	+2
Over 3.5 goals	33%	33%	0
Tornado Pekanbaru or draw	84%	67%	+17
Tornado Pekanbaru clean sheet	42%	–	–
Deltras clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 11.1%

0123450 6.3 5.0 2.3 1 11.1 9.9 4.3 2 10.9 9.3 4.1 3 7.2 6.2 2.7 4 3.8 3.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Tornado Pekanbaru down, Deltras across0–5 goals a side shown (97.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,109 Liga 2 matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 59.0% of games this season, across 61 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 2.33 goals a meeting; 1 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Tornado Pekanbaru at home: 3.17 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Deltras away: 2.33 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.01 goals for Tornado Pekanbaru, 0.89 for Deltras. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~2.33

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 3

~~Both scored~~1 of 3

~~Last meetings~~DEL 0–2 TOR · DEL 3–1 TOR · TOR 0–1 DEL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Liga 2 this season · since 12 Sept

TORNADO PEKANBARU

WDDWWW1–0 · 0–0 · 2–2 · 2–0 · 6–0 · 3–0

DELTRAS

WWWWDD5–0 · 3–2 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 3–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	PSPS	7	+7	18
2	Tornado Pekanbaru	6	+12	14
3	Deltras	6	+9	14
4	Persela Lamongan	6	+9	13
5	RANS Nusantara	6	+7	13
6	Barito Putera	7	+6	13
7	Persikad Depok FC	7	−2	12
8	PSMS Medan	6	+10	11
9	Persipura Jayapura	7	+8	11
10	Sumsel United	6	+3	10
11	Semen Padang	6	+1	8
12	PSIS Semarang	5	0	8
13	PSGC Ciamis	6	−4	7
14	Persis Solo	6	+3	6
15	Bekasi City	6	+1	5
16	Dejan	6	−4	5
17	Persiraja Banda Aceh	6	−2	4
18	Persiku Kudus	5	−14	1
19	Persiba Balikpapan	7	−14	0
20	PSBS Biak Numfor	7	−36	0